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NZD/USD

  • #4,961
  • Apr 24, 2014 6:56am Apr 24, 2014 6:56am
Quoting spinozagr
Forget to say...For those who look for more south: Triple bottom... very strong support... {image}
ok. lets test your wisdom. I am short @67 and will add more @40. I think we are heading to 0.8328 in the long term
  • #4,962
  • Apr 24, 2014 7:13am Apr 24, 2014 7:13am
Quoting giveachance
{quote} ok. lets test your wisdom. I am short @67 and will add more @40. I think we are heading to 0.8328 in the long term
my wisdom?

I am not a teacher or professor but in any case if you read carefully i said "strong support"
and not "this is the end of south"

I am talkink about very short term... and yes my opinion for the long term is sort... just like audusd...

talking about the sort term... take a look at stoch... there will be a some kind of retracement soon....
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: BgY4TfO.png Size: 151 KB
The good thing with the future is that it is progressively approaching...
  • #4,963
  • Apr 24, 2014 8:20am Apr 24, 2014 8:20am
Out of NZDUSD shorts at .8550. Bank holiday and want to close out for the weekend and not take that carry on the chin.

Good trading gents.
  • #4,964
  • Edited 7:16pm Apr 27, 2014 6:16pm | Edited 7:16pm
Today's Bank of New Zealand bank report Commonwealth's report & Westpac's Australian & NZ Weekly

Good trading this week!
  • #4,965
  • Apr 27, 2014 6:42pm Apr 27, 2014 6:42pm
Quoting spinozagr
{quote} my wisdom? I am not a teacher or professor but in any case if you read carefully i said "strong support" and not "this is the end of south" I am talkink about very short term... and yes my opinion for the long term is sort... just like audusd... talking about the sort term... take a look at stoch... there will be a some kind of retracement soon.... {image}
Agree going North 1st support at 8580 zone very strong
Agree long term south
Limits waiting 8680+
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #4,966
  • Apr 27, 2014 7:11pm Apr 27, 2014 7:11pm
Interesting evidence of big money selling on recent highs

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: nzdusdm15.png Size: 185 KB
  • #4,967
  • Apr 27, 2014 10:41pm Apr 27, 2014 10:41pm
Post-April OCR hike review by the Bank of New Zealand today:

  1. The RBNZ has raised the OCR by a further 0.25%
  2. We continue to see the OCR at 5.0% by end-2015
  3. However, continued strength in the NZD could influence the pace of rate hikes nearer term
  4. We see value in hedging at least part of borrowing over a 3-4-year period
  5. We also see opportunity to take advantage of the recent decline in long (10-year) fixed rates
  6. We see wholesale fixed rates moving higher over the coming 18 months
  7. Bank funding costs should decline at the margin, but provide only limited offset to a rising OCR

Full PDF from BNZ

  • #4,968
  • Apr 28, 2014 1:55am Apr 28, 2014 1:55am
Gidday NZ


The last time NZ tried playing around with rates hikes

they had to do the reverse turtle back flip

The punters just stop spending

The average punter has no money

an wages are low.

If the GST 15 % take is down

Houses prices are more expensive in the best areas

You don't have to be a rocket scientists work out were all the cheap houses are.

I am not sure what the answer is to fixing all the problems in any country.

Most the workers are shipped in,the locals are to busy getting stoned

an are unemployable
  • #4,969
  • Apr 28, 2014 6:11am Apr 28, 2014 6:11am
Quoting Spik
Perfect moment. Went short 6 lots @0,8621, SL @0,8661, TP@ 0,8541 (1/3), 0,8526 (1/3), 0,8511 (1/3). RR 1:2 as usual.
First third (+80 pips) taken, let's see if we can meet the remaining thirds.
  • #4,970
  • Apr 28, 2014 12:22pm Apr 28, 2014 12:22pm
Hi all, long time lurker here, first ever post, I'm thinking of taking a short term small long [email protected], my thinking is that its bottomed out and I may get a nice bounce on NZ trade balance today...This pair has been so up and down for me I figured I would get someone elses opinion, thoughts??
  • #4,971
  • Apr 28, 2014 5:32pm Apr 28, 2014 5:32pm
Bullish Run to begin in this pair...
Classical chart patterns of currencies from 15+ Year Pro Trader
  • #4,972
  • Apr 28, 2014 5:35pm Apr 28, 2014 5:35pm
Quoting aviz12
Bullish Run to begin in this pair...
I followed you on your usd/cad trade awhile back and made some great pips on that one as well!
  • #4,973
  • Apr 28, 2014 5:46pm Apr 28, 2014 5:46pm
NZ March Trade Balance in at 920M vs market expectations of 919M to 968M. Prev (Feb) was 818M
  • #4,974
  • Apr 28, 2014 5:57pm Apr 28, 2014 5:57pm
Quoting eliteincome
Gidday NZ The last time NZ tried playing around with rates hikes they had to do the reverse turtle back flip The punters just stop spending The average punter has no money an wages are low. If the GST 15 % take is down Houses prices are more expensive in the best areas You don't have to be a rocket scientists work out were all the cheap houses are. I am not sure what the answer is to fixing all the problems in any country. Most the workers are shipped in,the locals are to busy getting stoned an are unemployable
Yep...you knows whats up
I live in NZ myself and couldn't agree more..
  • #4,975
  • Apr 28, 2014 5:58pm Apr 28, 2014 5:58pm
Not much happening with this news.
  • #4,976
  • Apr 28, 2014 6:04pm Apr 28, 2014 6:04pm
Quoting zen252
Not much happening with this news.
I would like to see it visiting 8560-8580 at least.
Get Rich or Die Tryin
  • #4,977
  • Apr 28, 2014 6:07pm Apr 28, 2014 6:07pm
Quoting hoom
{quote} I would like to see it visiting 8560-8580 at least.

I was thinking the same around 8580.... maybe it's the Japanese holiday and there is no volume
  • #4,978
  • Apr 28, 2014 9:24pm Apr 28, 2014 9:24pm
Quoting EmeraldEyes
NZ March Trade Balance in at 920M vs market expectations of 919M to 968M. Prev (Feb) was 818M
Bank of New Zealand analyzes today's Trade Balance data, pdf: BNZ - Strong Trade Supports Macro Metrics
  • #4,979
  • Apr 29, 2014 4:37pm Apr 29, 2014 4:37pm
Quoting EmeraldEyes
{quote} Bank of New Zealand analyzes today's Trade Balance data, pdf: BNZ - Strong Trade Supports Macro Metrics
Awesome!!! Should expect a good ANZ number tonight then.
Make your losses in demo. Earn your profits live.
  • #4,980
  • Apr 29, 2014 9:38pm Apr 29, 2014 9:38pm
a similar chart seen before,
market will not run south as most expected,
frankly,to break last high @.874X is also taken in to consider though the probability is still low.
no other killers to me but emotion
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