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NZD/USD

  • #4,881
  • Apr 23, 2014 3:51pm Apr 23, 2014 3:51pm
I live in NZ and am pretty certain there will be an increase in the OCR today. Economy is really picking up and there is a housing bubble in Auckland due to a shortage of supply and lots of immigrants.
  • #4,882
  • Apr 23, 2014 3:52pm Apr 23, 2014 3:52pm
I'm long at .8588. 4 HR and daily chart showing bullish divergence, and break of down trend channel, along with a test and bounce... confluence... Let's see, few more minutes.
  • #4,883
  • Apr 23, 2014 3:52pm Apr 23, 2014 3:52pm
Most probable scenario for today after RBNZ announcement: after some meandering just below 0,8600 persistent push towards 0,8515 is expected.

Whatever you do, don't buy NZDUSD in the next few hours. If you have any longs opened, i suggest you close them immediately.
  • #4,884
  • Apr 23, 2014 3:57pm Apr 23, 2014 3:57pm
Good morning all!
  • #4,885
  • Apr 23, 2014 4:01pm Apr 23, 2014 4:01pm
Quoting Pip Anon
Well, I was able to fix a speculative long : .55 lot, SL .8535 TP .8675 I was waiting for support to hold up at the 200 EMA. Small position that will pay off, and if it doesn't I can still drink the good stuff tonight {image}
Boom shaka laka


EDIT: eh, kinda lackluster lol
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #4,886
  • Apr 23, 2014 4:04pm Apr 23, 2014 4:04pm
Quoting Spik
Most probable scenario for today after RBNZ announcement: after some meandering just below 0,8600 persistent push towards 0,8515 is expected. Whatever you do, don't buy NZDUSD in the next few hours. If you have any longs opened, i suggest you close them immediately.
And why?
Fix up, trade sharp ...
  • #4,887
  • Apr 23, 2014 4:05pm Apr 23, 2014 4:05pm
anyone know where to se the live broadcast of the RBNZ statement?
  • #4,888
  • Apr 23, 2014 4:05pm Apr 23, 2014 4:05pm
Quoting Spik
Most probable scenario for today after RBNZ announcement: after some meandering just below 0,8600 persistent push towards 0,8515 is expected. Whatever you do, don't buy NZDUSD in the next few hours. If you have any longs opened, i suggest you close them immediately.
that is why I do not read these posts.....
  • #4,889
  • Apr 23, 2014 4:05pm Apr 23, 2014 4:05pm
my limit shorts are placed
3 IR it is
Just gonna seat back to have it hit or not.The reason I think this wont fly is poor Aussie data
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #4,890
  • Apr 23, 2014 4:07pm Apr 23, 2014 4:07pm
Quoting capetown
{quote} that is why I do not read these posts.....
LOL
I have no clue what I'm talking about.
  • #4,891
  • Apr 23, 2014 4:07pm Apr 23, 2014 4:07pm
Quoting Hickson
{quote} And why?
This second rate hike is long priced in and after initial adrenaline rush (happening just right now as expected) steep decline is to happen in next hours.
  • #4,892
  • Apr 23, 2014 4:08pm Apr 23, 2014 4:08pm
Quoting egkid
{quote} Possible for me i wait 8616
OUT@8608 with nice ++
  • #4,893
  • Apr 23, 2014 4:08pm Apr 23, 2014 4:08pm
Added to my short. The language is good for shorts.
  • #4,894
  • Apr 23, 2014 4:11pm Apr 23, 2014 4:11pm
Quoting zen252
anyone know where to se the live broadcast of the RBNZ statement?
Gidday Zen

Watching TV now

TV One normal

nothing on CNBC

all the dragons doing cooking shows at the moment

NZ is a we fart in a bottle

Nobody gives a shit about us
  • #4,895
  • Apr 23, 2014 4:11pm Apr 23, 2014 4:11pm
Quoting Spik
{quote} This second rate hike is long priced in and after initial adrenaline rush (happening just right now as expected) steep decline is to happen in next hours.
Maybe, I do not know
Fix up, trade sharp ...
  • #4,896
  • Apr 23, 2014 4:16pm Apr 23, 2014 4:16pm
Price Back Below 0.8600 ?
Making Ordinary To Be Extraordinary .
  • #4,897
  • Apr 23, 2014 4:21pm Apr 23, 2014 4:21pm
Quoting eliteincome
{quote} Gidday Zen Watching TV now TV One normal nothing on CNBC all the dragons doing cooking shows at the moment NZ is a we fart in a bottle Nobody gives a shit about us
I hear ya......... I think the kiwi is destined to sit aound the 8646 - 8512 mark over the next couple of months..... what do you think?
  • #4,898
  • Apr 23, 2014 4:25pm Apr 23, 2014 4:25pm
Quoting Spik
{quote} This second rate hike is long priced in and after initial adrenaline rush (happening just right now as expected) steep decline is to happen in next hours.
Disagree
Real volume will start after 8pm
For comparison look at last .25 raise.It started slow then shoot up
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #4,899
  • Apr 23, 2014 4:27pm Apr 23, 2014 4:27pm
Quoting mahras
Added to my short. The language is good for shorts.
just make sure you are not too early....
not even 6pm
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #4,900
  • Apr 23, 2014 4:28pm Apr 23, 2014 4:28pm
its a rate hike, its gotta go up, long frm 8596
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