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NZD/USD

  • #4,181
  • Apr 7, 2014 1:33pm Apr 7, 2014 1:33pm
key for the kiwi direction.
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  • #4,182
  • Apr 7, 2014 2:34pm Apr 7, 2014 2:34pm
news soon NZIER Business Confidence
  • #4,183
  • Apr 7, 2014 2:40pm Apr 7, 2014 2:40pm
Quoting egkid
news soon NZIER Business Confidence
what do u think about the news mate?
  • #4,184
  • Apr 7, 2014 2:41pm Apr 7, 2014 2:41pm
monthly weekly and daily seems like bullish trend. but there is divergence and historical high is so close. so it is logical that waiting for good bearish pattern. recent days bulls have control. 8620 and 8650 levels will tell everything

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  • #4,185
  • Apr 7, 2014 2:46pm Apr 7, 2014 2:46pm
Quoting pouyanv
{quote} what do u think about the news mate?
I long somewhere down and i wait 8640
  • #4,186
  • Apr 7, 2014 2:49pm Apr 7, 2014 2:49pm
My 2 cents on the NZIER Business Confidence is the logical approach being, with a higher exchange rate this would do anything but increase confidence, namely amongst exporters. It would in fact do the opposite and dent confidence. Theres no such thing as certainty in the market though as it is anything but rational.
The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent. John Maynard Keynes
Time will tell what happens with this.
  • #4,187
  • Apr 7, 2014 3:14pm Apr 7, 2014 3:14pm
Q1 Business Confidence comes in big at 52, Q4's 52 revised up to 53 (all-time high).
Today's Market Wrap & Strategy from Bank of New Zealand
Today's Daily Alert from Commonwealth
  • #4,188
  • Apr 7, 2014 6:03pm Apr 7, 2014 6:03pm
Price is making new highs...nothing bearish about that.
FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #4,189
  • Apr 7, 2014 6:48pm Apr 7, 2014 6:48pm
Quoting bogus
Price is making new highs...nothing bearish about that.
  • #4,190
  • Apr 7, 2014 6:54pm Apr 7, 2014 6:54pm
Quoting srt
{quote} Based upon daily chart, I think price needs a good close below .8510 area before it's bearish. Important area @ .8638 on 4H. {image} {image}
Update:

Back to 4H resistance.
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  • #4,191
  • Apr 7, 2014 6:57pm Apr 7, 2014 6:57pm
Quoting srt
{quote} Update: Back to 4H resistance. {image}
Yep, It might turn down and complete a H&S. But until it turns around I'm long.
FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #4,192
  • Apr 7, 2014 9:05pm Apr 7, 2014 9:05pm
Thinking of shorting, but still shows a strong bullish trend IMO. 8696 test again may be a good bounce level for a new short.. if it makes it that high.. will be the 3rd test of that level..
  • #4,193
  • Edited 9:50pm Apr 7, 2014 9:12pm | Edited 9:50pm
wake me up... @ 8640-8690 mate .. i will re load more sell there.. holding multiple sell already since 8690 and my pips is dancing like a yoyo from zero till 190 pips per position ... am enjoying this adrenaline...


salam for all your family there buddy

near to dzuhur time here ...

Quoting egkid
{quote} I long somewhere down and i wait 8640
not euphoria follower
  • #4,194
  • Apr 7, 2014 9:48pm Apr 7, 2014 9:48pm
expensive in light of recent dairy price falls

shouldn't be close to records.
  • #4,195
  • Apr 7, 2014 10:03pm Apr 7, 2014 10:03pm
Quoting Halba
expensive in light of recent dairy price falls shouldn't be close to records.
you kinda remind me of another character here with dairy prices argument.
  • #4,196
  • Apr 7, 2014 10:09pm Apr 7, 2014 10:09pm
Hello NZ

Had to wait a few days, but me longs

been paying out good

Still got some in trade to 0.869

Must be costing you guys plenty holding shorts for days
  • #4,197
  • Apr 7, 2014 10:43pm Apr 7, 2014 10:43pm
Quoting Halba
expensive in light of recent dairy price falls shouldn't be close to records.
Theres more to the NZ economy than Dairy. The Business confidence report came out today at a 20 year high. Most business owners said they were going to raise their prices, which leads to inflation, which leads to higher interest rates which have been pretty well signaled. I have friends selling off parts of their rental portfolios because of the expected rate rise. the economy is booming. Another report came out on Friday saying NZ was the best place to live out of 130 countries surveyed...and so it goes on.
I trade technically so this has no impact on my trades. But listening to some people......


ps. Not talking about you Halba
FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #4,198
  • Apr 7, 2014 10:59pm Apr 7, 2014 10:59pm
Quoting dimosar
I can't see it climbing further than the 0.8640 area.. We started off with a gap down today.. the gap is now filled... I am focusing on the 0.8620 to 0.8520 range... I am looking for shorts.
All my shorts are now triggered still expecting a move downhill..
  • #4,199
  • Apr 8, 2014 12:24am Apr 8, 2014 12:24am
http://uploax.net/tnirkS30.jpg
  • #4,200
  • Apr 8, 2014 12:36am Apr 8, 2014 12:36am
Quoting ben82
{image}
Yeah Ben. The bear movement is probabibally starting. It has found a really strong annual resistance at the head of head & shoulders picture.
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