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AUD/USD

  • #75,841
  • Apr 5, 2014 2:54am Apr 5, 2014 2:54am
Quoting Davit
{quote} 9350 a key number 1.618 fib extension.Harmonic classic turning point. Watch that number. Regards {image}
make sense ... but personally i never know about level mate
not euphoria follower
  • #75,842
  • Apr 5, 2014 2:56am Apr 5, 2014 2:56am
Quoting iqyu5an
{quote} make sense ... but personally i never know about level mate
I'll PM you
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #75,843
  • Apr 5, 2014 3:55am Apr 5, 2014 3:55am
Quoting Davit
{quote} ok it makes sense now.Good luck with your longs
Davit, thank you. Having reviewed my models once again, there is 70-80% confidence in the following
for next 4-8 weeks on AU. provided that we already printed 9205 this month, 20-30 pips is marginal, so the low might be IN already
Once you have a high confidence that LOW was printed, we try to aim for the high:

0.9175 AU LOW

0.9515 AU HIGH
  • #75,844
  • Apr 5, 2014 10:23pm Apr 5, 2014 10:23pm
The surplus-to-GDP ratio of China has comfortably fallen below the threshold that some US officials have recommended as necessary to keep the global economy well balanced
not euphoria follower
  • #75,845
  • Apr 5, 2014 11:09pm Apr 5, 2014 11:09pm
i see 0.9500 from here, 100% for sure . make your best strategy to get in touch.
  • #75,846
  • Apr 6, 2014 1:51am Apr 6, 2014 1:51am
Quoting tedsung
i see 0.9500 from here, 100% for sure . make your best strategy to get in touch.
How do you know AU will touch 0.9500??
100% for sure??
Give me your best reason

For me, AU fails to make a new high and closing above 0.93
I don't see a reason to long here..
GL
Forex as Leverage
  • #75,847
  • Apr 6, 2014 4:26am Apr 6, 2014 4:26am
au bears might as well review ucad w1 chart. If that's not screaming market top, than i'm sorry, run out of arguments. :d
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  • #75,848
  • Edited 7:20am Apr 6, 2014 7:07am | Edited 7:20am
Quoting ruffryders
au bears might as well review ucad w1 chart. If that's not screaming market top, than i'm sorry, run out of arguments. :d {image}
Look at GA... there is no support until 500pip below (daily chart).. which mean another 200 pip up for AU is still possible..
Peace Yo!
  • #75,849
  • Apr 6, 2014 7:25am Apr 6, 2014 7:25am
Quoting mrluckystar
{quote} Look at GA... there is no support until 500pip below (daily chart).. which mean another 200 pip up for AU is still possible..
Mr Luckystar, can't believe that there is actually someone in AU bull camp finally.

Yeah, I'm actually short EU AU big time (35 mln), pretty much same target as you mention on GU AU (400-500 points).

have a good trading week
  • #75,850
  • Apr 6, 2014 7:33am Apr 6, 2014 7:33am
Quoting ruffryders
{quote} Mr Luckystar, can't believe that there is actually someone in AU bull camp finally. Yeah, I'm actually short EU AU big time (35 mln), pretty much same target as you mention on GU AU (400-500 points). have a good trading week
Both high impact member (ague with u) is just visting this thread... they are not regular commentor in this thread....
Gud luck to both of us for next week...
Peace Yo!
  • #75,851
  • Apr 6, 2014 10:22am Apr 6, 2014 10:22am
macd show some divergence in over bought region some downward movement of price can be expected
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  • #75,852
  • Apr 6, 2014 10:27am Apr 6, 2014 10:27am
Quoting ruffryders
au bears might as well review ucad w1 chart. If that's not screaming market top, than i'm sorry, run out of arguments. :d {image}
can you guarantee your post 100% for sure??
sorry for my poor english..
But, let's see tomorrow..
bye
Forex as Leverage
  • #75,853
  • Edited 10:56am Apr 6, 2014 10:54am | Edited 10:56am
Quoting Chanlie
{quote} can you guarantee your post 100% for sure?? sorry for my poor english.. But, let's see tomorrow.. bye
Dear sister. I don't think anyone can give that guarantee. ^_^, high probability is likely. I notice you have open short in AUDUSD, my advice is to let it run a little until we see 9170, then you can begin scale up your position with more short. Until then, it still can bounce back to 9300.
The holy grail for everybody here, is to find a 100% sure predictions. Over the years, none have found it.
Don't blame the tools. Blame the carpenter.
  • #75,854
  • Apr 6, 2014 11:01am Apr 6, 2014 11:01am
Quoting KecoaKecil
{quote} Dear sister. I don't think anyone can give that guarantee. ^_^, high probability is likely. I notice you have open short in AUDUSD, my advice is to let it run a little until we see 9170, then you can begin scale up your position with more short. Until then, it still can bounce back to 9300. The holy grail for everybody here, is to find a 100% sure predictions. Over the years, none have found it.
Thanks Sis...
sempat terbawa emosi haha..
saran sis membesarkan..
Forex as Leverage
  • #75,855
  • Apr 6, 2014 11:04am Apr 6, 2014 11:04am
Quoting ruffryders
au bears might as well review ucad w1 chart. If that's not screaming market top, than i'm sorry, run out of arguments. :d {image}
You have a good post bro.
keep it up..
maybe i'm wrong
Forex as Leverage
  • #75,856
  • Apr 6, 2014 11:27am Apr 6, 2014 11:27am
I am in bull camp its ,buy dip set up
solid monthly last month
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On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #75,857
  • Apr 6, 2014 11:32am Apr 6, 2014 11:32am
Quoting Bones
I am in bull camp its ,buy dip set up solid monthly last month {image}
Nice
Forex as Leverage
  • #75,858
  • Apr 6, 2014 12:36pm Apr 6, 2014 12:36pm
Quoting ruffryders
au bears might as well review ucad w1 chart. If that's not screaming market top, than i'm sorry, run out of arguments. :d {image}

Look at August 2013 on the USD/CAD chart you posted. Similar pattern. Even a "double top". USD/CAD went on quite a bullish run afterwards. Is there a fundamental reason why AUD/USD should keep going higher? USD is relatively weak right now. Is it likely to get weaker or stronger? AUD is retracing a strong fall but is relatively strong right now. Is it likely to get stronger or weaker? Euro is very strong right now. Is it likely to get stronger or weaker. JPY has been strong but is weakening, and likely to weaken further. My opinion is that short EUR/AUD or long AUD/JPY is a better bet than long AUD/USD. And lets not kid ourselves -- we are betting. No one and no chart can predict the future. All you can do is try to put the odds in your favor, using fundamentals and technicals, but most importantly, good money management.

Best wishes on your trades.
  • #75,859
  • Apr 6, 2014 1:09pm Apr 6, 2014 1:09pm
Quoting Pmd1963
{quote} Look at August 2013 on the USD/CAD chart you posted. Similar pattern. Even a "double top". USD/CAD went on quite a bullish run afterwards. Is there a fundamental reason why AUD/USD should keep going higher? USD is relatively weak right now. Is it likely to get weaker or stronger? AUD is retracing a strong fall but is relatively strong right now. Is it likely to get stronger or weaker? Euro is very strong right now. Is it likely to get stronger or weaker. JPY has been strong but is weakening, and likely to weaken further. My opinion is that...
no comment. here's 8 week-stick UCAD longer-term chart. see the red line.
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  • #75,860
  • Apr 6, 2014 1:36pm Apr 6, 2014 1:36pm
Quoting ffleo
my take on aussie, {image} {image}
Quoting ffleo
{quote} on the following daily chart, as long as it closes above the critical support green line, it is bull. The green dashed line is the ledge of the market profile shown as the light blue profile on the right. {image}
my new take on aussie,

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ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
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