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  • #75,341
  • Edited 5:27pm Mar 27, 2014 5:07pm | Edited 5:27pm
Quoting Compulsive
{quote} You are fighting a wave that you can't ride
Pretty much agree with you. It's a waste of money to be shorting right now.

Took a couple pip loss and over it. Probably will come down now but whatever

Shorting EU and GU way safer at this point.

People like you sicken me though. Why are you talking trash in a forex forum? Are you that insecure about being long or something? Pathetic idiot.
  • #75,342
  • Mar 27, 2014 5:25pm Mar 27, 2014 5:25pm
Quoting Davit
Aussie needs serious correction.Watching for weakness. {image}
Agree, but unfortunately I know now almost nothing about this pair: when are the news releases, which can change the trend.
The USD I know, but the AUD?
I want to buy PATIENCE
  • #75,343
  • Mar 27, 2014 5:28pm Mar 27, 2014 5:28pm
Oh yeah! I forgot these things trade in pairs!
The coincidental success is more dangerous than the expected failure
  • #75,344
  • Mar 27, 2014 5:44pm Mar 27, 2014 5:44pm
Quoting matheszabi
{quote} Agree, but unfortunately I know now almost nothing about this pair: when are the news releases, which can change the trend. The USD I know, but the AUD?

In terms of economic data than can affect the AUD , take a look here .
I put this out about 16 months ago and I'd still adhere mostly to it ;


During the Australian business day , in terms of importance , you could bracket this into 3 distinct groups ; Essential , Potential and Irrelevant .

Essential .
Unemployment Rate
CPI
GDP
Chinese GDP
Chinese Manufacturing PMI (both HSBC & NBS)

Potential
RBA Minutes
RBA SoMP
Trade Balance
Retail Sales
Chinese : CPI , Trade Balance and Industrial Production .

Irrelevant
PPI
New Motor Vehicle Sales
Building Permits (Approvals) and anything Construction related .
Home Loans
Private Sector Credit
New Home Sales .
Chinese PPI
Conference Board Leading index .
All other Indexes released by various financial institutions with the exception of Westpac's Consumer Confidence which can cause the odd blip or two.


As for the actual monthly & quarterly release dates & times , there's plenty of economic calenders out there ,
like this one for example ; http://www.fxstreet.com/economic-calendar/
  • #75,345
  • Edited 6:15pm Mar 27, 2014 5:59pm | Edited 6:15pm
Short
0,9258 weekly R, stops at 0,9273 Wish to tp at 0,9135
swing it!
  • #75,346
  • Mar 27, 2014 6:06pm Mar 27, 2014 6:06pm
Quoting Balmain Boy
{quote} In terms of economic data than can affect the AUD , take a look here . I put this out about 16 months ago and I'd still adhere mostly to it ; During the Australian business day , in terms of importance , you could bracket this into 3 distinct groups ; Essential , Potential and Irrelevant . Essential . Unemployment Rate CPI GDP Chinese GDP Chinese Manufacturing PMI (both HSBC & NBS) Potential RBA Minutes RBA SoMP Trade Balance Retail Sales Chinese : CPI , Trade Balance and Industrial Production . Irrelevant PPI New Motor Vehicle Sales Building...
thank you very much!

Can you explain why Chinese GDP has effect in AUD, and not at Yuan or JPY?
I want to buy PATIENCE
  • #75,347
  • Mar 27, 2014 6:23pm Mar 27, 2014 6:23pm
Seems like each one of us has a different opinion on the AUDUSD and the way to trade it next

For me it's all about identification of a possible turning point, entry and ...patience. I really dont' care what AUDUSD is going to do now, the R:R for the bearish butterfly I posted earlier was simply too good for me to be ignored.

I do not understand an edge with waiting for any additional confirmations. The the SL would have to be bigger and anyway probability that market goes up or down would stay the same, right?
  • #75,348
  • Mar 27, 2014 6:32pm Mar 27, 2014 6:32pm
Quoting Ck87
{quote} Pretty much agree with you. It's a waste of money to be shorting right now. Took a couple pip loss and over it. Probably will come down now but whatever Shorting EU and GU way safer at this point. People like you sicken me though. Why are you talking trash in a forex forum? Are you that insecure about being long or something? Pathetic idiot.
Is not trash, but of course I am the idiot


http://i.imgur.com/dvtNEHX.png
  • #75,349
  • Mar 27, 2014 6:42pm Mar 27, 2014 6:42pm
Quoting Balmain Boy
{quote} In terms of economic data than can affect the AUD , take a look here . I put this out about 16 months ago and I'd still adhere mostly to it ; During the Australian business day , in terms of importance , you could bracket this into 3 distinct groups ; Essential , Potential and Irrelevant . Essential . Unemployment Rate CPI GDP Chinese GDP Chinese Manufacturing PMI (both HSBC & NBS) Potential RBA Minutes RBA SoMP Trade Balance Retail Sales Chinese : CPI , Trade Balance and Industrial Production . Irrelevant PPI New Motor Vehicle Sales Building...
I personally like FF's calendar the best. Great explanations of varying releases IMO
  • #75,350
  • Mar 27, 2014 6:48pm Mar 27, 2014 6:48pm
Quoting Compulsive
{quote} Is not trash, but of course I am the idiot {image}
LOL! Enough said.
The coincidental success is more dangerous than the expected failure
  • #75,351
  • Mar 27, 2014 7:00pm Mar 27, 2014 7:00pm
Quoting matheszabi
{quote} thank you very much! Can you explain why Chinese GDP has effect in AUD, and not at Yuan or JPY?
China is the largest importer of Australia's raw materials .
Strong Chinese growth bodes well for future Australian exports .
The AUD is also seen by large international investors as a proxy for investment in China .
These correlations between the 2 nations have eased off just a touch recently ,
but never-the-less , the connection between positive Chinese growth and a stronger AUD remains very firmly entrenched .
  • #75,352
  • Mar 27, 2014 7:01pm Mar 27, 2014 7:01pm
You find with this pair if the 4H is closing above the 5ema don't even consider shorting it. AUDUSD is like a medieval rack that'll stretch until you snap. The last 4H bar that closed below was the bottom of this leg up at close price of 0.90206.
  • #75,353
  • Mar 27, 2014 7:11pm Mar 27, 2014 7:11pm
Loading bigger into short, aussie has a hoising bubble that wil pop any day now which will make this currency tank as the mining is already in the hole and auto industry. There was a huge bear bet in sp that caused it to push down quite a bit making cad aud nzd all rise aud obviously getting the most excitement from it.
All posts are my personal opinion
  • #75,354
  • Mar 27, 2014 7:11pm Mar 27, 2014 7:11pm
0.9300 strong resistance at daily tf...
Might have little retrace from there + next week will be early of 2nd quarter of 2014...
From 1H to daily tf stoch are overbought ... H4 divergence sign on macd, Stoch n cci...
Peace Yo!
  • #75,355
  • Mar 27, 2014 7:19pm Mar 27, 2014 7:19pm
up 7 days in a row. 3% up, and NZd up nearly 7-8% from the lows 2 months ago.

gone parabolic
  • #75,356
  • Mar 27, 2014 7:21pm Mar 27, 2014 7:21pm
Quoting 50pipsperday
Just went long 3 lots 9286 Come at me bro.
For Once I came with you BRO
  • #75,357
  • Mar 27, 2014 7:21pm Mar 27, 2014 7:21pm
Quoting 50pipsperday
Just went long 3 lots 9286 Come at me bro.
Do you think you're clever, boy? If you were you would be long at 9260 3 hours ago. In fact it looks like you bought the very top of a pinbar haha.
  • #75,358
  • Mar 27, 2014 7:28pm Mar 27, 2014 7:28pm
Quoting mrluckystar
0.9300 strong resistance at daily tf... Might have little retrace from there + next week will be early of 2nd quarter of 2014... From 1H to daily tf stoch are overbought ... H4 divergence sign on macd, Stoch n cci...
Today is end of month, friday. I agree there will be some profit taking, asian session will confirm it. Big Boys always greedy. Out my long. Begin with smallest short now. Wish you all good luck... and to me too.. ^_^ (we all need it)
Don't blame the tools. Blame the carpenter.
  • #75,359
  • Mar 27, 2014 7:33pm Mar 27, 2014 7:33pm
I am long looking to close and go short soon: 0.92886 is a level I am watching closely today.
  • #75,360
  • Mar 27, 2014 7:40pm Mar 27, 2014 7:40pm
Quoting Halba
up 7 days in a row. 3% up, and NZd up nearly 7-8% from the lows 2 months ago. gone parabolic
From now on only north direction is allowed, each and every day with white candle, there wont be any pull back up to 1.20, So that all of you guys can take longs and be rich in a short period of time.
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