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AUD/USD

  • #75,021
  • Mar 24, 2014 11:53pm Mar 24, 2014 11:53pm
closed my short.......
man way to kill a bear.............frustrated and exhausted
  • #75,022
  • Mar 24, 2014 11:54pm Mar 24, 2014 11:54pm
Interesting choice of words here. spare tyre - reinforcing the Toyota, Ford, Holden closures and job losses.

In terms of stability, one of the arguments for a vibrant corporate bond market is that it can effectively act as a ‘spare tyre’ – if the banking system gets into difficulty, the bond market can take its place in providing credit to businesses and thus allow the economy to continue operating relatively normally.
A genius is born every minute, me I am lucky if my socks match.
  • #75,023
  • Mar 24, 2014 11:59pm Mar 24, 2014 11:59pm
Quoting whackdiddy
Interesting choice of words here. spare tyre - reinforcing the Toyota, Ford, Holden closures and job losses. In terms of stability, one of the arguments for a vibrant corporate bond market is that it can effectively act as a ‘spare tyre’ – if the banking system gets into difficulty, the bond market can take its place in providing credit to businesses and thus allow the economy to continue operating relatively normally.
So one word , LONG ?
  • #75,024
  • Mar 25, 2014 12:02am Mar 25, 2014 12:02am
Quoting ozboy
{quote} So one word , LONG ?
Yup, entered Long although resistance is still present, but still keeping shorts in play.
A genius is born every minute, me I am lucky if my socks match.
  • #75,025
  • Mar 25, 2014 12:05am Mar 25, 2014 12:05am
Quoting whackdiddy
{quote} Yup, entered Long although resistance is still present, but still keeping shorts in play.
Cool bro !!! I'm in .. Long AU and short EA , let see how
  • #75,026
  • Mar 25, 2014 12:19am Mar 25, 2014 12:19am
Quoting ozboy
{quote} Cool bro !!! I'm in .. Long AU and short EA , let see how
M15 we have a weak area of support that we could potentially break through. Coming up in the next 15 minutes, so we might just go bear yet.. I am tightening the SL on the long.
A genius is born every minute, me I am lucky if my socks match.
  • #75,027
  • Mar 25, 2014 12:28am Mar 25, 2014 12:28am
Quoting whackdiddy
{quote} M15 we have a weak area of support that we could potentially break through. Coming up in the next 15 minutes, so we might just go bear yet.. I am tightening the SL on the long.
Bears are really testing this support on the M15 at the moment, if they can continue the pressure for the next couple of minutes we will be through for a small amount of downside and below the cloud. Two 15 minute candles to go below the 0.91300 and we are bear... whoop
A genius is born every minute, me I am lucky if my socks match.
  • #75,028
  • Mar 25, 2014 12:52am Mar 25, 2014 12:52am
Closed long for loss.

We are 50% confirmed bear, the chinkou (trailing average 26 points behind) is in the cloud, if price breaks below 0.91200 or if we hold current price for another 30 minutes we will have a 100% signal of bear.
A genius is born every minute, me I am lucky if my socks match.
  • #75,029
  • Mar 25, 2014 12:57am Mar 25, 2014 12:57am
Quoting whackdiddy
Closed long for loss. We are 50% confirmed bear, the chinkou (trailing average 26 points behind) is in the cloud, if price breaks below 0.91200 or if we hold current price for another 30 minutes we will have a 100% signal of bear.

Curious.What else is in the Samurai showdown or Kamonichi Jadi cloud in terms of a target for downside?
The coincidental success is more dangerous than the expected failure
  • #75,030
  • Mar 25, 2014 1:04am Mar 25, 2014 1:04am
Quoting Neqrotik
{quote} Curious.What else is in the Samurai showdown or Kamonichi Jadi cloud in terms of a target for downside?
M1 - is below cloud
M5 - is below cloud
M15 - we are waiting for it to break and hold below the 0.91200
M30 - TK cross above cloud so not a stong bear even if it does break as per above.
H1 - Potential bounce off the Kijun - if bounce we are more upside and potential position for a long @ 0.91212
H4 - We are still in bull but dipping - bulls exhausted so more bear
Daily - is showing more bull than bear, however again bulls exhausted - very weak signal
A genius is born every minute, me I am lucky if my socks match.
  • #75,031
  • Mar 25, 2014 1:09am Mar 25, 2014 1:09am
a word of cautioned which is mentioned couple of hrs back and I was rite. It retraced. 0.9108 is where it is heading. if it stops at 10 we are probably going back to 0.9138. if not we are heading to 0.9072
  • #75,032
  • Mar 25, 2014 1:12am Mar 25, 2014 1:12am
Bulls are putting on a really good show.
The H1 scenario above is looking promising at the moment. Tempted to long it long it, but staying out and keeping current trades in play.
A genius is born every minute, me I am lucky if my socks match.
  • #75,033
  • Mar 25, 2014 1:26am Mar 25, 2014 1:26am
Maybe a rising wedge? Any opinion?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 140325-audusdh4.png Size: 29 KB
  • #75,034
  • Mar 25, 2014 1:28am Mar 25, 2014 1:28am
Quoting giveachance
a word of cautioned which is mentioned couple of hrs back and I was rite. It retraced. 0.9108 is where it is heading. if it stops at 10 we are probably going back to 0.9138. if not we are heading to 0.9072
I am happy with the 0.9072 mark.
And can confirm this as potential support area on my H1, now if only we can break the 0.91200 and hold it.
A genius is born every minute, me I am lucky if my socks match.
  • #75,035
  • Mar 25, 2014 1:35am Mar 25, 2014 1:35am
Quoting tan_h5s
Maybe a rising wedge? Any opinion? {image}
I wouldn't call that a rising wedge.
FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #75,036
  • Mar 25, 2014 1:55am Mar 25, 2014 1:55am
Quoting bogus
{quote} I wouldn't call that a rising wedge.
Aye. Had to correct my earlier post. It looks like a wedge here.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot1.png Size: 50 KB
The coincidental success is more dangerous than the expected failure
  • #75,037
  • Mar 25, 2014 2:06am Mar 25, 2014 2:06am
Quoting Neqrotik
{quote} Aye. Had to correct my earlier post. It looks like a wedge here. {image}
You beat me to it. What he drew was not a wedge. What you drew was. The difference being the time frame and where the lines were drawn from.
FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #75,038
  • Edited 2:35am Mar 25, 2014 2:10am | Edited 2:35am
I got out of my long hours ago and took a short which I closed on the back of the daily downtrend line. I'm flat. Price is making HL on daily and has broken the high. A retracement is what I want to see before entering long again.
FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #75,039
  • Mar 25, 2014 3:10am Mar 25, 2014 3:10am
london opening, au excited... the previous resistance at the 9135-ish area seems to have been broekn and retested now as support (based on H4) , so i am long from 9141. SL 9120, TP 9156.
We don't see things as they are - we see things as we are.
  • #75,040
  • Mar 25, 2014 3:14am Mar 25, 2014 3:14am
Quoting sonicvista12
london opening, au excited... the previous resistance at the 9135-ish area seems to have been broekn and retested now as support (based on H4) , so i am long from 9141. SL 9120, TP 9156.
it seems like your stoploss will be gone easily.
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