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AUD/USD

  • #75,001
  • Mar 24, 2014 8:52pm Mar 24, 2014 8:52pm
Quoting 50pipsperday
Long 3 lots @0.9150 Come at me bro.
LOL, back again, you seem to disappear a little longer each time, taking a bit longer to get something to trade with each time. Sine your already firing trades off this may be a little late ha. Not saying its right or wrong but the aud is in a tricky area to be using all your ammo. There is a whole gaggle of things right here on the daily chart, the 200 sma, the quarterly pivot although that will be changing soon. Also at the 272 fib extension of the price swing in the circle . I have a few small longs yet from the quarterly open holding out for the 618 extension at 9250 area , the stops are tightened to 9040. I did take a day trade short at 9148. Looking for 9000 with that. Will see what happens there if we get there. A daily close or two above the 200 we could get a nice run up.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Aud daily.jpg Size: 412 KB
  • #75,002
  • Mar 24, 2014 8:56pm Mar 24, 2014 8:56pm
Quoting digger1
{quote}LOL, back again, you seem to disappear a little longer each time, taking a bit longer to get something to trade with each time. Sine your already firing trades off this may be a little late ha. Not saying its right or wrong but the aud is in a tricky area to be using all your ammo. There is a whole gaggle of things right here on the daily chart, the 200 sma, the quarterly pivot although that will be changing soon. Also at the 272 fib extension of the price swing in the circle . I have a few small longs yet from the quarterly open holding...

Nice chart Digger. I am also short. Under water at the moment. But my stop is right above that 200DMA I will be watching i closely. But my instincts tell me this thing is ready for a serious downfall for a correction. I think the market has been on either extreme for the last couple of weeks in terms of trying to settle at a good range to price forward. But this time I think the cycle to come is downward.
The coincidental success is more dangerous than the expected failure
  • #75,003
  • Mar 24, 2014 8:59pm Mar 24, 2014 8:59pm
yes, i made a strong mistake and took short on friday.now i again take short to reduce losses
Imagination is more important than knowledge.
  • #75,004
  • Mar 24, 2014 9:05pm Mar 24, 2014 9:05pm
Quoting Neqrotik
{quote} Nice chart Digger. I am also short. Under water at the moment. But my stop is right above that 200DMA I will be watching i closely. But my instincts tell me this thing is ready for a serious downfall for a correction. I think the market has been on either extreme for the last couple of weeks in terms of trying to settle at a good range to price forward. But this time I think the cycle to come is downward.
Thanx man, I hear you on the extreme, One would think there should be a drop coming but then thinking will kill an acct lol.
  • #75,005
  • Mar 24, 2014 9:07pm Mar 24, 2014 9:07pm
Quoting 50pipsperday
{quote} Bro, I was suspended I have no idea why and no one tell me why or answer my message when I ask why I was suspended for?? I do nothing wrong I just trade and I get suspended?? now I find after 5 days I'm not suspended anymore?? Come at me bro.
That is odd, well good you didn't go broke. carry on man.
  • #75,006
  • Mar 24, 2014 9:12pm Mar 24, 2014 9:12pm
All hands on deck on this pair @ 11:45 PM
The coincidental success is more dangerous than the expected failure
  • #75,007
  • Mar 24, 2014 9:28pm Mar 24, 2014 9:28pm
AUD is losing upward momentum, but hasn't yet. No clear reversal signal as yet - at least to me.
  • #75,008
  • Mar 24, 2014 9:44pm Mar 24, 2014 9:44pm
Quoting Didgeridoo
AUD is losing upward momentum, but hasn't yet. No clear reversal signal as yet - at least to me.
I don't think its losing any momentum no indication of that yet at all.

More then like its going to attempt to .9200
There are those who know, and there are those who don't know.
  • #75,009
  • Mar 24, 2014 9:47pm Mar 24, 2014 9:47pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/news.php?do=news&id=476832
  • #75,010
  • Mar 24, 2014 9:47pm Mar 24, 2014 9:47pm
I bet China is behind this. They are increasing their foreign reserve, especially AUD since Aussie is their source for raw mats
  • #75,011
  • Mar 24, 2014 10:08pm Mar 24, 2014 10:08pm
I 100% jumped too early on this pair for a short - however are going to hold.

On the weekly we are still in a down trend, and this recent up movement is just a retrace back to the Kijun sitting @ 0.92151. So we may get to that level and then kick down or we may break through. Above the Kijun we have thick cloud providing strong resistance to any more upside so strong likely hood that we will bounce off the Kijun for more downside. Therefore my entry point for a short should have been at the 0.92000 level. I still have much to learn in the discipline of forex trading.

I am currently sitting on 3 shorts and patiently
A genius is born every minute, me I am lucky if my socks match.
  • #75,012
  • Mar 24, 2014 10:09pm Mar 24, 2014 10:09pm
Quoting 50pipsperday
{quote} Bro, I was suspended I have no idea why and no one tell me why or answer my message when I ask why I was suspended for?? I do nothing wrong I just trade and I get suspended?? now I find after 5 days I'm not suspended anymore?? Come at me bro.
welcome back !!! come at me bro

Have you been buying Aussie?
  • #75,013
  • Mar 24, 2014 10:12pm Mar 24, 2014 10:12pm
[quote=giveachance;7359902]long aud/usd. target: 0.9155 and then probably 0.9180 tomorrow followed by 0.9230


target achieved overnite. 2nd and 3rd are still on. word of caution here. techs have stopped at 57. they ahould have taken out 58. I don't know what it means. but there is definitely caution.
  • #75,014
  • Mar 24, 2014 10:16pm Mar 24, 2014 10:16pm
Quoting whackdiddy
I 100% jumped too early on this pair for a short - however are going to hold. On the weekly we are still in a down trend, and this recent up movement is just a retrace back to the Kijun sitting @ 0.92151. So we may get to that level and then kick down or we may break through. Above the Kijun we have thick cloud providing strong resistance to any more upside so strong likely hood that we will bounce off the Kijun for more downside. Therefore my entry point for a short should have been at the 0.92000 level. I still have much to learn in the discipline...
IMHO the weekly is in an up trend since .9086 got taken out.
Attached Image
FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #75,015
  • Mar 24, 2014 10:20pm Mar 24, 2014 10:20pm
Quoting palabara
{quote} I don't think its losing any momentum no indication of that yet at all. More then like its going to attempt to .9200
Probably make .92. But, to me it looks like it's meeting increasing resistance. That last movement to ~ .9160 met increased opposition - at least to me.
  • #75,016
  • Mar 24, 2014 10:21pm Mar 24, 2014 10:21pm
Quoting 50pipsperday
{quote} Bro, I was suspended I have no idea why and no one tell me why or answer my message when I ask why I was suspended for?? I do nothing wrong I just trade and I get suspended?? now I find after 5 days I'm not suspended anymore?? Come at me bro.
you have to get used to it. this will happen time and again. the forum policies are bullshit. if you try to mess with oldies here you get fucked. simple as that
  • #75,017
  • Mar 24, 2014 11:12pm Mar 24, 2014 11:12pm
A hint of weakness...perhaps in anticipation of the RBA speach at 3.45 today?
  • #75,018
  • Mar 24, 2014 11:41pm Mar 24, 2014 11:41pm
Quoting GeoTrade
A hint of weakness...perhaps in anticipation of the RBA speach at 3.45 today?
I think Mr Lowe should open with a Dear Mr Speaker and floor... and then run around waving his arms like a crazy man shouting " we are doomed, recession recession" that might just help my currently open trades.
A genius is born every minute, me I am lucky if my socks match.
  • #75,019
  • Mar 24, 2014 11:44pm Mar 24, 2014 11:44pm
Quoting whackdiddy
{quote} I think Mr Lowe should open with a Dear Mr Speaker and floor... and then run around waving his arms like a crazy man shouting " we are doomed, recession recession" that might just help my currently open trades.

LMAO!!

Speech posted was butchchet
The coincidental success is more dangerous than the expected failure
  • #75,020
  • Mar 24, 2014 11:52pm Mar 24, 2014 11:52pm
This is the only real negative I can find.. So soft almost to warrant a major bull run to 0.92+

"Putting all this together, the Australian corporate bond market is relatively small in size and is less well developed than corporate bond markets in a number of other countries. Total outstandings in the domestic market amount to around $50 billion compared with total corporate debt outstanding of a much larger $920 billion. Notwithstanding this, regular activity is occurring in the market across much, although not all, of the credit spectrum. And over recent times, issuance appears to have picked up a little, particularly by lower-rated companies."
A genius is born every minute, me I am lucky if my socks match.
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