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Oktoberfest Nightclub

  • #3,141
  • Mar 20, 2014 3:29am Mar 20, 2014 3:29am
Quoting USD-Bear
added a long on HKG33 averaging positions to 21.513 HKG33 D1: {image}
bad day, added one @ 21.177 but preparing for defeat @ 21.000
Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #3,142
  • Mar 20, 2014 3:35am Mar 20, 2014 3:35am
Quoting Ken A
Long E/CAD - don't see anything else to trade {image} @ Bear - HSI at 21182.16 down 1.79% and N225 14224.23 down 1.65%
yes I know Ken, it's a massacre over there, holding my breath
Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #3,143
  • Mar 20, 2014 3:35am Mar 20, 2014 3:35am
Quoting hadox
nice catch on cable.. would like to see a test of 1.665x or 1.643x - don't think it's going to happen today though.. the dax is also tricky -
Back from running...
1st target is 6578, rest runner for the top . Dax/S&P: if the lows are not even tested today/tomorrow, we'll test the daily top again, I guess. Don't know what has to happen for this thing to correct in a meaningful way...

Quoting Hickson
True, I pay much attention to fundamentals, because I am also interested in the world.
...you can only adapt what you know by experience.
Interested in the world, this is why I'm trading, and following the concepts 'putting my money where my mouth is'/'skin in the game'. The problem is though, that my opinions and fundamental knowledge tend to show me only the longer term directions (2 months up), trading doesn't work for me this way.

Two books that helped me immensely: 'Bird watching in lion country' and 'Antifragile'. Like Bismarck said: I like to learn from the mistakes of others...

PS: honor where honor is due, I don't even remotely trade on the level of Schickeria, Ken, Bear, Hadox. I started 3 years ago and am just about profitable, far from my target of 100% p.a.
Fail better.
  • #3,144
  • Mar 20, 2014 3:50am Mar 20, 2014 3:50am
Quoting USD-Bear
{quote} yes I know Ken, it's a massacre over there, holding my breath
Dollar rally from FOMC all Asia Indices down let's see how Europe and US-Canada respond later
  • #3,145
  • Mar 20, 2014 4:11am Mar 20, 2014 4:11am
E/U if 1.380 don't hold might get S/O on E/CAD long

Short Crude

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  • #3,146
  • Mar 20, 2014 4:14am Mar 20, 2014 4:14am
Quoting LarryDarrell
{quote} Back from running... 1st target is 6578, rest runner for the top . Dax/S&P: if the lows are not even tested today/tomorrow, we'll test the daily top again, I guess. Don't know what has to happen for this thing to correct in a meaningful way... {quote} Interested in the world, this is why I'm trading, and following the concepts 'putting my money where my mouth is'/'skin in the game'. The problem is though, that my opinions and fundamental knowledge tend to show me only the longer term directions (2 months up), trading doesn't...
could be a good one, still waiting for the edges though..

and just for the record, I don't see myself as an exceptionel trader, there are people who trade way better than I, and I don't have tons of experience like some guys in this site, but I'm learning every day.. I don't mind sharing a setup from time to time, but a lot of my trading I still keep to myself, I like it that way - but I do like sharing my general outlook for the day though, just like I enjoy others oppinions and sometimes a different view.. I focus on the higher TF so some weeks are good some weeks are bad, but slow and steady wins the race..
Patience is a virtue...
  • #3,147
  • Mar 20, 2014 4:37am Mar 20, 2014 4:37am
Quoting LarryDarrell
{quote} Back from running... 1st target is 6578, rest runner for the top . Dax/S&P: if the lows are not even tested today/tomorrow, we'll test the daily top again, I guess. Don't know what has to happen for this thing to correct in a meaningful way... {quote} Interested in the world, this is why I'm trading, and following the concepts 'putting my money where my mouth is'/'skin in the game'. The problem is though, that my opinions and fundamental knowledge tend to show me only the longer term directions (2 months up), trading doesn't work...
Not everyday is profitable day some are good and some are bad get S/O from A but gain from B or C

Did you still keep E/A short? Just opened one short but not from the top.

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Edit: closed for 50 pips don't look like will move
  • #3,148
  • Mar 20, 2014 4:51am Mar 20, 2014 4:51am
EU long s/o of course. UChf two position t/p'd, letting the one from 8766 run and will add on the retrace. EA: yes still in short, have another pending short @5401.
GU: might get the axe, have added some po's long lower.
Fail better.
  • #3,149
  • Mar 20, 2014 4:55am Mar 20, 2014 4:55am
E/A stop at 38.2% of monthly chart

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  • #3,150
  • Mar 20, 2014 5:44am Mar 20, 2014 5:44am
I have some euro S at 1.374x/2x - it looks pretty heavy atm..

the same with the dax, looks like the bull move was a pullback for the bears atm, if 911x slips I have 896x/3x as the next area..
Patience is a virtue...
  • #3,151
  • Mar 20, 2014 5:54am Mar 20, 2014 5:54am
Quoting hadox
I have some euro S at 1.374x/2x - it looks pretty heavy atm.. the same with the dax, looks like the bull move was a pullback for the bears atm, if 911x slips I have 896x/3x as the next area..
Dollar rally is serious from FOMC
  • #3,152
  • Mar 20, 2014 5:56am Mar 20, 2014 5:56am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} Dollar rally is serious from FOMC
one of those days I guess..
Patience is a virtue...
  • #3,153
  • Mar 20, 2014 6:40am Mar 20, 2014 6:40am
Quoting hadox
{quote} one of those days I guess..
This will temporarily change the course or the rally continue, until then nothing to see

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  • #3,154
  • Mar 20, 2014 6:52am Mar 20, 2014 6:52am
Quoting Ken A
E/A stop at 38.2% of monthly chart {image}
I needed some time to see this, eye opener, thank you. So would you say there is a good chance for 1.637 or 1.748? Or would the time at the 38.2 mark indicate a pull back to up to 1.32? I used fib's in a different way, but saw the significance of 61.2 lately.

GU longs stopped at be, UChf: out at 8668 (can't believe it myself), only the one from 8766 remains.
Fail better.
  • #3,155
  • Edited 7:25am Mar 20, 2014 7:13am | Edited 7:25am
Quoting LarryDarrell
{quote} I needed some time to see this, eye opener, thank you. So would you say there is a good chance for 1.637 or 1.748? Or would the time at the 38.2 mark indicate a pull back to up to 1.32? I used fib's in a different way, but saw the significance of 61.2 lately. GU longs stopped at be, UChf: out at 8668 (can't believe it myself), only the one from 8766 remains.
I am not sure Larry. Could just be confluence it halted at 38.2% of the monthly chart and because of Dollar rally, I can't see why people are selling EUR to buy AUD instead of USD.

When having doubts I close the positions then watch PA movement and analyse later. Pips are hard to come by from last week.

The only pairs have clear direction is U/CAD because Poloz last statement.

Plenty of supports E/A around that area for the past 24 Hrs
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  • #3,156
  • Mar 20, 2014 7:44am Mar 20, 2014 7:44am
Quoting Ken A
Plenty of supports E/A around that area for the past 24 Hrs {image}
I agree. And Eu seems to take a break, so EA might, too.
Today is nice for a change, t/p'd on two EU shorts already, hope to close two more, lower. Anyway entered a medium sized long @3764 and Gu long 1st position @6489.

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Fail better.
  • #3,157
  • Mar 20, 2014 7:48am Mar 20, 2014 7:48am
Quoting Ken A
E/U if 1.380 don't hold might get S/O on E/CAD long Short Crude {image}
marvelous timing Ken , what was your trigger?
Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #3,158
  • Mar 20, 2014 8:04am Mar 20, 2014 8:04am
Quoting USD-Bear
{quote} marvelous timing Ken , what was your trigger?
Thanks Bear.

For Crude, I can't find reason why it rallied from 97.37 to 100.79 in the first place - so just keep watching and entered short when the rally exhausted. A bit late to enter because I wasn't on the screens. Btw, already closed 50%.
  • #3,159
  • Mar 20, 2014 8:23am Mar 20, 2014 8:23am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} Thanks Bear. For Crude, I can't find reason why it rallied from 97.37 to 100.79 in the first place - so just keep watching and entered short when the rally exhausted. A bit late to enter because I wasn't on the screens. Btw, already closed 50%.
nicely done, didn't saw it coming
Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #3,160
  • Edited 10:07am Mar 20, 2014 8:36am | Edited 10:07am
Partialed 99% and 1% at BE+ spreads probably will get S/O

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Edit:

S/O and fresh short

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