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AUD/USD

  • #74,781
  • Mar 19, 2014 7:44pm Mar 19, 2014 7:44pm
saw this from order flow trading: A/U Bids to attempt support of fall at 0.9005-0.8990. Sell stops on break of 0.8985
I'd rather look for Nzd/Usd longs though.
  • #74,782
  • Mar 19, 2014 7:48pm Mar 19, 2014 7:48pm
RBA research paper quantifies AUD depreciation adding to GDP


Headlines on the wires:

  1. A temporary 10% drop in the Australian dollar adds 0.25 to 0.5% to GDP
  2. A permanent 10% drop in the Australian dollar adds 1% to GDP over 2 to 3 years
  3. A permanent 10% drop in the Australian dollar adds 0.25 to 0.5% to inflation

Bloomberg

  • #74,783
  • Mar 19, 2014 7:55pm Mar 19, 2014 7:55pm
Thank you God for your blessing upon me.. To FOMC and Yellen for changed aud to my target.

Closed all my Short from 3 days ago with all green ^^V
I've failed many times, but I took the lessons,and never give up.God Bless.
  • #74,784
  • Mar 19, 2014 7:58pm Mar 19, 2014 7:58pm
Quoting Balmain Boy
RBA research paper quantifies AUD depreciation adding to GDP Headlines on the wires: A temporary 10% drop in the Australian dollar adds 0.25 to 0.5% to GDP A permanent 10% drop in the Australian dollar adds 1% to GDP over 2 to 3 years A permanent 10% drop in the Australian dollar adds 0.25 to 0.5% to inflation Bloomberg
so Aussie GDP must be 5% by now
  • #74,785
  • Mar 19, 2014 8:59pm Mar 19, 2014 8:59pm
Attached Image
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  • #74,786
  • Mar 19, 2014 9:17pm Mar 19, 2014 9:17pm
Quoting AussieForexM
{image}
http://www.easyfreesmileys.com/smileys/dancing-baby.jpg
  • #74,787
  • Mar 19, 2014 9:45pm Mar 19, 2014 9:45pm
Opened long at .9018, expect to get someb up retrace

Level 0.8990 might be the Bear taking serious attack
I've failed many times, but I took the lessons,and never give up.God Bless.
  • #74,788
  • Mar 19, 2014 9:50pm Mar 19, 2014 9:50pm
Quoting EmeraldEyes
saw this from order flow trading: A/U Bids to attempt support of fall at 0.9005-0.8990. Sell stops on break of 0.8985 I'd rather look for Nzd/Usd longs though.
Here's Aud/Usd making a retrace off of bids ~.900
  • #74,789
  • Mar 19, 2014 10:18pm Mar 19, 2014 10:18pm
aud usd can try to bull again in session asian, i bull aud usd
  • #74,790
  • Mar 19, 2014 11:42pm Mar 19, 2014 11:42pm
green day for all
  • #74,791
  • Mar 19, 2014 11:45pm Mar 19, 2014 11:45pm
Quoting Fermy17
aud usd can try to bull again in session asian, i bull aud usd
AUS/USD BULL, MEANS AUD/JPY BULL TOO ?

nikkie dropping today, but dont see aud/jpy going north..

holding long , red now
  • #74,792
  • Mar 20, 2014 12:54am Mar 20, 2014 12:54am
Quoting Forexia
{quote} Honestly I don't know why everybody thinks Yellen is so hawkish. To me the FOMC statement didn't really introduce anything new. Everybody knew beforehand that they are not going to raise interest until the unemployment rate is below 6.5% and even after that they will look and see to make sure the economy is really on track before they do anything and they also stated that they are not really in a hurry because right now the inflation rate is well below their target of 2%. "To support continued progress toward maximum employment and price...
the big surprise was the drop of the unemployment rate as a threshold for interest rate rise, also the fed forecast of 2016 rate rise has been moved earlier to 2015.
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
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  • #74,793
  • Mar 20, 2014 1:21am Mar 20, 2014 1:21am
Quoting waifong
{quote} AUS/USD BULL, MEANS AUD/JPY BULL TOO ? nikkie dropping today, but dont see aud/jpy going north.. holding long , red now
After yesterday bearish move after FOMC, I am of the view that the recent upmove is a bulltrap. I may be wrong.
If you look at monthly/weekly chart, the bulltrap is much more obvious. Will post chart when I am home.
We may want to see if .9 levels are supporting or giving way.
The true fact is market doesn't care, risk mgt is important.
  • #74,794
  • Mar 20, 2014 3:01am Mar 20, 2014 3:01am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} the big surprise was the drop of the unemployment rate as a threshold for interest rate rise, also the fed forecast of 2016 rate rise has been moved earlier to 2015.
Oh you ALSO have to read their projection to spot any changes. I didn't read that and that's why I was so confused why the candle is still spiking when there isn't anything new in the FOMC statement. So I thought it's just a temporary spike and I closed it early. If I had known to read that and spot the changes, I would've held it longer.

And another lesson learned: The actual news has to be EXACTLY = to what everybody expects, basically copy-and-paste. Even if it's just ONE word of change, there is going to be movements. And EVEN if EVERYTHING is expected like the RBNZ's rate hike, a currency like NZ still went up like 70 pips.

Thanks for the explanation. Hope you got some green pips out of the "hawkishness".
Make your losses in demo. Earn your profits live.
  • #74,795
  • Mar 20, 2014 4:13am Mar 20, 2014 4:13am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} the big surprise was the drop of the unemployment rate as a threshold for interest rate rise, also the fed forecast of 2016 rate rise has been moved earlier to 2015.
yeah but don't get too excited about the idea that dropping the threshold for unemployment means reaching the objective earlier. I am under the impression that it means later. She is linking IR to many other variables such as wages and qualitative factors. On top of that she is aware that a big chunk of the recovery is due to a high level of personal debt so a rate hike will make impossible for many people to be solvent. When time comes, she will be very careful with IR hikes.
  • #74,796
  • Mar 20, 2014 4:53am Mar 20, 2014 4:53am
Looks like we are back into the range again. 8920-9120. I will hold off until we see the lower end break.

Anyone else see something else?
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  • #74,797
  • Mar 20, 2014 5:23am Mar 20, 2014 5:23am
Quoting Citiboy
Looks like we are back into the range again. 8920-9120. I will hold off until we see the lower end break. Anyone else see something else?
I see higher high & above round number, current 9020.

time to think long.
  • #74,798
  • Mar 20, 2014 5:24am Mar 20, 2014 5:24am
hmms... just watching if it breaks today's low....... near H4 200ema.. may not mean anything... but just watching
  • #74,799
  • Mar 20, 2014 7:07am Mar 20, 2014 7:07am
Hi guys. Aussie on the menu today. Sold the pair @ 0,9012. SL @ 0,9052.

Green pips to everyone!
Twitter: MrC_Forex ; Facebook: /pages/MrC-Forex/197693770247397
  • #74,800
  • Mar 20, 2014 7:27am Mar 20, 2014 7:27am
Quoting Ssm
{quote} After yesterday bearish move after FOMC, I am of the view that the recent upmove is a bulltrap. I may be wrong. If you look at monthly/weekly chart, the bulltrap is much more obvious. Will post chart when I am home. We may want to see if .9 levels are supporting or giving way.
http://i1116.photobucket.com/albums/...psc01507a1.jpg
The true fact is market doesn't care, risk mgt is important.
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