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NZD/USD

  • #3,701
  • Mar 18, 2014 10:42am Mar 18, 2014 10:42am
This pair is unbelieveable..well the kiwi for that matter is a beast. Smartest thing i did last week was kill 3/4ths of my shorts against it. Lol...buy now this this is super overbought atm on every time frame! Time to see either a move to 0.88xx or at least a light pullback to 0.845x or 0.83xx ...ish.
  • #3,702
  • Mar 18, 2014 10:48am Mar 18, 2014 10:48am
wait for a reaction at .8670-.8680
the cautious seldom err....C
  • #3,703
  • Mar 18, 2014 12:54pm Mar 18, 2014 12:54pm
Quoting BDardenTrade
This pair is unbelieveable..well the kiwi for that matter is a beast. Smartest thing i did last week was kill 3/4ths of my shorts against it. Lol...buy now this this is super overbought atm on every time frame! Time to see either a move to 0.88xx or at least a light pullback to 0.845x or 0.83xx ...ish.
Yes I dont know why this pair isnt getting any attention! It is super hot for the last while and doesn't look to be slowing down. I shorted some NZDCAD after I bought some physical currency as I am leaving for the Kiwi tomorrow! I love the feeling of going to a country that has a currency that is booming.
All posts are my personal opinion
  • #3,704
  • Mar 18, 2014 1:30pm Mar 18, 2014 1:30pm
Gidday NZ

What part of the country are you visiting

Great place for the young families etc

Good for outdoor stuff

Hope you have a good time
  • #3,705
  • Mar 18, 2014 2:15pm Mar 18, 2014 2:15pm
Quoting eliteincome
Gidday NZ What part of the country are you visiting Great place for the young families etc Good for outdoor stuff Hope you have a good time
Yes I am a young man traveling the world in adventure still however I am very outdoors type of guy. Will be going mainly all south mostly in Queenstown. Thank you!
All posts are my personal opinion
  • #3,706
  • Mar 18, 2014 7:03pm Mar 18, 2014 7:03pm
Today's Bank of New Zealand report

Big NZD news; NZ and China agree on direct ccy trade, removing a 3rd ccy (usd) out of the big trading partners' import/export transactions.
  • #3,707
  • Mar 18, 2014 7:50pm Mar 18, 2014 7:50pm
Quoting EmeraldEyes
Today's Bank of New Zealand report Big NZD news; NZ and China agree on direct ccy trade, removing a 3rd ccy (usd) out of the big trading partners' import/export transactions.
got it, that is the trend,a required step for internationalisation of CNY.
CNY will be more acceptable especially in Asia-Pacific region the next few years.
no other killers to me but emotion
  • #3,708
  • Mar 18, 2014 7:52pm Mar 18, 2014 7:52pm
Now 85% retailers are short on this pairs. What will happens the next?
  • #3,709
  • Mar 18, 2014 7:52pm Mar 18, 2014 7:52pm
in another way,will it be the last bull news for NZD?
no other killers to me but emotion
  • #3,710
  • Mar 18, 2014 7:57pm Mar 18, 2014 7:57pm
Quoting Care forex
Now 85% retailers are short on this pairs. What will happens the next?
Short squeeeeeeeze!
Shit Happens
  • #3,711
  • Mar 18, 2014 8:00pm Mar 18, 2014 8:00pm
Quoting act333
{quote} Short squeeeeeeeze!
what do you mean short squeeze?
  • #3,712
  • Mar 18, 2014 8:01pm Mar 18, 2014 8:01pm
Quoting Care forex
{quote} what do you mean short squeeze?
I would like to quote http://wiki.fool.com/Short_squeeze and http://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/shortsqueeze.asp
Shit Happens
  • #3,713
  • Mar 18, 2014 9:02pm Mar 18, 2014 9:02pm
Quoting act333
{quote} I would like to quote http://wiki.fool.com/Short_squeeze and http://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/shortsqueeze.asp
do u have skype? Send me under pm. I can't send any private messages at the moment.
  • #3,714
  • Mar 18, 2014 9:48pm Mar 18, 2014 9:48pm
Quoting Care forex
Now 85% retailers are short on this pairs. What will happens the next?
Retailer trends show who's still holding on after a big move. Generally retailers hold on to losses longer than they hold on to profitable trades.
Another way to look at it is 99% of retailers take profit after a 50+pip move. That's why it looks like longs are the minority, they've already left.

FF's positioning ratios aren't that accurate. Its 20lots open of shorts and 4 lots open for longs. Not much data to go off of. Oanda has short/long at 61/39
  • #3,715
  • Mar 19, 2014 1:53am Mar 19, 2014 1:53am
Quoting EmeraldEyes
{quote} Retailer trends show who's still holding on after a big move. Generally retailers hold on to losses longer than they hold on to profitable trades. Another way to look at it is 99% of retailers take profit after a 50+pip move. That's why it looks like longs are the minority, they've already left. FF's positioning ratios aren't that accurate. Its 20lots open of shorts and 4 lots open for longs. Not much data to go off of. Oanda has short/long at 61/39
Oic. US might raise interests rate. That's a great news from USD. By then its time for NZD down!
  • #3,716
  • Mar 19, 2014 2:29am Mar 19, 2014 2:29am
Quoting Care forex
{quote} Oic. US might raise interests rate. That's a great news from USD. By then its time for NZD down!
FOMC members see a first Fed rate hike late-2015. So not til 2016, after Fed's QE is over.
  • #3,717
  • Mar 19, 2014 4:17am Mar 19, 2014 4:17am
morning all,it appears to be much clear now.
it is a nice opportunity for me to join in the short team.

Gold was a leading indicator with commodity currency.
But now it is targeting to 1300 or even below.
no other killers to me but emotion
  • #3,718
  • Mar 19, 2014 10:02am Mar 19, 2014 10:02am
Quoting EmeraldEyes
{quote} FOMC members see a first Fed rate hike late-2015. So not til 2016, after Fed's QE is over.
so tonight taper is not a big events. 10B to taper. When will N/U will come down then?
  • #3,719
  • Mar 19, 2014 10:33am Mar 19, 2014 10:33am
after several hours.......
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: pic12.png Size: 52 KB
the cautious seldom err....C
  • #3,720
  • Mar 19, 2014 1:17pm Mar 19, 2014 1:17pm
Quoting Spik
{quote} Remaining 2 thirds getting really fat now. I'll close second third @0,8647. This NZDUSD trade is thus far my best in last month. I expect NZDUSD to see 0,8700 later this week. Around there should be safe to close the last 1/3.
Biggest loser of FOMC is NZD, it lost exactly 1% is 15 minutes since release.

My remaining two thirds got SL'ed @0,8591. Expected more but it's been a good ride tho (+301 pips).
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