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AUD/USD

  • #73,981
  • Mar 8, 2014 5:47am Mar 8, 2014 5:47am
Quoting KiwiOz
I see many judgements' being clouded by fundamentals.!!!!!! {image}
yes true but when you see charts like below. The first being my weekly chart where the AUD wants to get back to 0.9209, the second being the daily where the AUD wants to get back to 0.8904 it is going to be very interesting to see where it opens on Monday.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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A genius is born every minute, me I am lucky if my socks match.
  • #73,982
  • Mar 8, 2014 5:57am Mar 8, 2014 5:57am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} No contest about that and all are facts and assuming China is unable to rectify the situations in the long run yes, it has negative impacts globally especially Asian region. Global macro view, let alone China the huge economy, Ukraine political unrest can easily trigger global risk aversion as witnessed just few days ago. Not trying to be a guru, to trade A/U or its crosses let's not fixated on the issues that Aussie and China are facing. The other part that has impacts on AUD is USD and EUR. The rally from .889x to .9133 is mainly due to...

Mind you I am very bias as I have a very large short in and would like to see it go down to the promised level of 0.76xxx that so many long term forecasters predicted to see later this year.
A genius is born every minute, me I am lucky if my socks match.
  • #73,983
  • Mar 8, 2014 8:23am Mar 8, 2014 8:23am
I might be wrong but carry trade will take AUDUSD up and up ....and up.
The Market pays you to be disciplined
  • #73,984
  • Mar 8, 2014 5:32pm Mar 8, 2014 5:32pm
Ozzie likely to be looking to complete the retracement
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Money Makes Money
  • #73,985
  • Mar 8, 2014 6:07pm Mar 8, 2014 6:07pm
Quoting KiwiOz
Ozzie likely to be looking to complete the retracement {image}
I think it will break down in the .92 region though.
Shit Happens
  • #73,986
  • Mar 8, 2014 7:21pm Mar 8, 2014 7:21pm
There may be some fireworks for the A/U this week. I'm looking to trade it.
  • #73,987
  • Mar 8, 2014 7:28pm Mar 8, 2014 7:28pm
Should see 0.85 soon yeah?
  • #73,988
  • Mar 8, 2014 10:30pm Mar 8, 2014 10:30pm
Quoting 50pipsperday
Should see 0.85 soon yeah?
50pips... I hate to sound like a school teacher but...

Can you show or talk about your workings... Why do you think it will go down to 0.85 or was that sarcasm?

This forum is to help people, it gives the individuals a chance to work as a collective force.
We are not here as a competition to out do each other, we are trying to work as a team to make everybody on here filthy rich beyond all measure.
A genius is born every minute, me I am lucky if my socks match.
  • #73,989
  • Mar 8, 2014 10:53pm Mar 8, 2014 10:53pm
Where this opens is anyones guess at this stage.. news 24minutes ago on FF..

http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/...A2803920140309

Two more stories worth a mention

http://www.binarytribune.com/2014/03...upcoming-week/
http://au.finance.yahoo.com/news/for...234800370.html

Screen shot from the fxempire.. here.
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A genius is born every minute, me I am lucky if my socks match.
  • #73,990
  • Mar 8, 2014 11:10pm Mar 8, 2014 11:10pm
Quoting 50pipsperday
{quote} Stolen passports raise possibility of terrorism in missing flight
Nice, now that is what I am talking about..
Good call 50pips..
A genius is born every minute, me I am lucky if my socks match.
  • #73,991
  • Edited 2:26pm Mar 9, 2014 2:14pm | Edited 2:26pm
FF news item, very worthwhile read.. here

I am predicting maybe a .903 open and potentially lower <edit> - pure guess at this stage as really does anybody actually know?
A genius is born every minute, me I am lucky if my socks match.
  • #73,992
  • Mar 9, 2014 3:12pm Mar 9, 2014 3:12pm
Quoting whackdiddy
FF news item, very worthwhile read.. here I am predicting maybe a .903 open and potentially lower <edit> - pure guess at this stage as really does anybody actually know?

Right at this moment its at .9037 so it might open here or it might close the gap a bit before opening, pre-opening it dosn't seem like it will go past .9035 after it opens most likely it will close the gap and from there its anyonce game.
There are those who know, and there are those who don't know.
  • #73,993
  • Mar 9, 2014 3:22pm Mar 9, 2014 3:22pm
Quoting palabara
{quote} Right at this moment its at .9037 so it might open here or it might close the gap a bit before opening, pre-opening it dosn't seem like it will go past .9035 after it opens most likely it will close the gap and from there its anyonce game.
Is that from Bloomie? Bloomberg.. ? Does that equate to a prediction, excuse my noobness but if the market has not opened yet how do they know?

looks like it hit a small resistance @ 0.9033
A genius is born every minute, me I am lucky if my socks match.
  • #73,994
  • Mar 9, 2014 3:23pm Mar 9, 2014 3:23pm
Quoting whackdiddy
{quote} Is that from Bloomie? Bloomberg.. ? Does that equate to a prediction, excuse my noobness but if the market has not opened yet how do they know? looks like it hit a small resistance @ 0.9033
http://www.xe.com/
There are those who know, and there are those who don't know.
  • #73,995
  • Mar 9, 2014 3:25pm Mar 9, 2014 3:25pm
Quoting palabara
{quote} http://www.xe.com/
sweet ta..
A genius is born every minute, me I am lucky if my socks match.
  • #73,996
  • Mar 9, 2014 4:18pm Mar 9, 2014 4:18pm
The bulls are already chomping at my grass.. grrr..

long @ 0.90431 for a short ride on retracement but I am expecting bearish when the banks open in 3 hours.
A genius is born every minute, me I am lucky if my socks match.
  • #73,997
  • Mar 9, 2014 4:31pm Mar 9, 2014 4:31pm
Currently the sentiment of this pair is bullish along with the trend but the terrible trade balance numbers out of China on Friday night could sharply change this on the open come Monday.

It will be interesting to see if we get a gap down open on Monday and if that gaps fills by the end of the day or we move down to test the 0.8890 support once again.

Inserted Video
  • #73,998
  • Mar 9, 2014 5:03pm Mar 9, 2014 5:03pm
Quoting JCL's-Forex
Currently the sentiment of this pair is bullish along with the trend but the terrible trade balance numbers out of China on Friday night could sharply change this on the open come Monday. It will be interesting to see if we get a gap down open on Monday and if that gaps fills by the end of the day or we move down to test the 0.8890 support once again. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sQMc1HYSj-U
Yeah uncertain, we have already moved up 20 pips in an hour.. and she is still going rather strong bullish.
However on the 15m she is bumping her head on the kijun already, so a bounce off could ensue.. Very early to tell...

<spelling might be all over the shot, just did a 30 hour shift>
A genius is born every minute, me I am lucky if my socks match.
  • #73,999
  • Mar 9, 2014 5:17pm Mar 9, 2014 5:17pm
Quoting JCL's-Forex
Currently the sentiment of this pair is bullish along with the trend but the terrible trade balance numbers out of China on Friday night could sharply change this on the open come Monday. It will be interesting to see if we get a gap down open on Monday and if that gaps fills by the end of the day or we move down to test the 0.8890 support once again. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sQMc1HYSj-U
very good analysis mate, btw what software u use to capture video?
I am smart than average trader, I simply copy the best.
  • #74,000
  • Mar 9, 2014 5:25pm Mar 9, 2014 5:25pm
Just entered a LONG position at .90577, I hope it works out
I'm still learning.
Risk comes from not knowing what you're doing.
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