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Help Me Establish The GbpUsd After Dinner Club 40 replies

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The Club!

  • #13,701
  • Edited 9:58am Mar 7, 2014 9:22am | Edited 9:58am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} Hi D.P., good job Murrey calls for 3855 and trying to micro-count the waves I would say, that there is one small wave up missing so far. But not so sure about it. From MVWAP considerations I would say, that if higher than 3873, we need ranging beforehand.

You are right as always. I think there is a possibility for the EURUSD market to be technically corrected down to 3800-3775 SLOWLY, it there is no an extraordinary occasion on Friday.


I am building a contra-trend position then ;-)

EDITED. I have just realized that Friday is today...
Hunting High and Low
  • #13,702
  • Mar 7, 2014 9:28am Mar 7, 2014 9:28am
Quoting infinitus
Seems like Crimea will be back to where it belongs: into the arms of mother Russia Some think that Nikita was drunken when he gave it away to Ukraine, so do I. Very interesting developments over there.

Do you like it?

Historians have been still guessing what it was when Nikita Hruschev presented the Crimea. There is no a rationale to this act.
Hunting High and Low
  • #13,703
  • Mar 7, 2014 9:32am Mar 7, 2014 9:32am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} second short @ 3843
You are doing the same, buddy,

My shorts @:

3825,
3852
3875
3886

;-)
Hunting High and Low
  • #13,704
  • Mar 7, 2014 10:51am Mar 7, 2014 10:51am
Quoting Dr.Phoenix
{quote} You are right as always. I think there is a possibility for the EURUSD market to be technically corrected down to 3800-3775 SLOWLY, it there is no an extraordinary occasion on Friday. I am building a contra-trend position then ;-) EDITED. I have just realized that Friday is today...
Good morning, Sir
  • #13,705
  • Mar 7, 2014 11:05am Mar 7, 2014 11:05am
Quoting Dr.Phoenix
{quote} Do you like it? Historians have been still guessing what it was when Nikita Hruschev presented the Crimea. There is no a rationale to this act.

Well, I am not supportive of all the things Putin is doing, but I am feeling better, when there is sign of balance in the world. Since I do not like the actions coming from USA lately (spying, double-standard, fabricating evidence to go to war, etc.), giving Cremea back to Russia, thus securing their entry to the Black Sea, is welcomed by me. Since over 50% of the people of Crimea are ethnic Russians, and only around 25% ethnic Ukrainians. Then we have the around 15% or so Tartars. Do not know what they like to choose, since they were not treated friendly by Stalin.

All in all, since the Crimea is an autonomous region, they should be free to choose their fate.

What do you think?
  • #13,706
  • Mar 7, 2014 11:12am Mar 7, 2014 11:12am
Quoting Dr.Phoenix
{quote} You are doing the same, buddy, My shorts @: 3825, 3852 3875 3886 ;-)

The 3855 region, in the aftermath, was not well chosen.

It was a good place to cover the longs, but was more bad or premature to short right here. Reason is, that we came with strong momentum to 3855. So it would be wiser to wait for clear signs of divergence for entry.

I do not know if you use Murrey Math in the meantime. But when yes: wasn't it interesting to see, how price reacted within of few Pips to the lines?
  • #13,707
  • Mar 7, 2014 11:15am Mar 7, 2014 11:15am
we may have just finished a first impulse down.

Now we may in an ABC up

In this ABC up we may now be in wave B, which unfolds as Triangle. Wave C up may terminate then towards 3886


Anyone?
  • #13,708
  • Mar 7, 2014 11:18am Mar 7, 2014 11:18am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} Well, I am not supportive of all the things Putin is doing, but I am feeling better, when there is sign of balance in the world. Since I do not like the actions coming from USA lately (spying, double-standard, fabricating evidence to go to war, etc.), giving Cremea back to Russia, thus securing their entry to the Black Sea, is welcomed by me. Since over 50% of the people of Crimea are ethnic Russians, and only around 25% ethnic Ukrainians. Then we have the around 15% or so Tartars. Do not know what they like to...

ups, not only the USA, but also involvement from GB and some others
  • #13,709
  • Edited 11:42am Mar 7, 2014 11:26am | Edited 11:42am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} Well, I am not supportive of all the things Putin is doing, but I am feeling better, when there is sign of balance in the world. Since I do not like the actions coming from USA lately (spying, double-standard, fabricating evidence to go to war, etc.), giving Cremea back to Russia, thus securing their entry to the Black Sea, is welcomed by me. Since over 50% of the people of Crimea are ethnic Russians, and only around 25% ethnic Ukrainians. Then we have the around 15% or so Tartars. Do not know what they like to choose, since they were not...

You are a wise man, you know... the thing that I think.


The matter is that - if the new co-called "authority" had not made their mistakes (about the nature language of the Russians in Ukraine, for example), everything (that is now happening in Ukraine) would be possible to avoid of. However the coup (revolution, as you like) is supported by the Nazi-oriented people, there have been (and there is) a real danger for those people who are living there - these "authority" can not dissociate from these the Nazi-oriented - how do you think why? I think you know the answer. All these facts make the situation much more dangerous for the Russians living there. So what is happening is going its logical way.


Сircumstances weighted in favour
Hunting High and Low
  • #13,710
  • Mar 7, 2014 11:37am Mar 7, 2014 11:37am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} The 3855 region, in the aftermath, was not well chosen. It was a good place to cover the longs, but was more bad or premature to short right here. Reason is, that we came with strong momentum to 3855. So it would be wiser to wait for clear signs of divergence for entry. I do not know if you use Murrey Math in the meantime. But when yes: wasn't it interesting to see, how price reacted within of few Pips to the lines?

I know I am risking. I use MM as well, combining them with VWMA. Nevertheless, the next week will begin with a retracement (...just interesting) as PA says that a pin bar or a long-leg doji might be forming now.


Even if we shall not be retracing, I will be building the contra-trend position further.
Hunting High and Low
  • #13,711
  • Mar 7, 2014 11:38am Mar 7, 2014 11:38am
lest not forget the spies

Snowden: NSA pressured EU into creating ‘European bazaar’ of spy networks
  • #13,712
  • Mar 7, 2014 11:43am Mar 7, 2014 11:43am
Quoting Dr.Phoenix
{quote} You are a wise man, you know... That is I think. The matter is that - if the new co-called "authority" had not made their mistakes (about the nature language of the Russians in Ukraine, for example), everything (that is now happening in Ukraine) would be possible to avoid of. However the coup (revolution, as you like) is supported by the Nazi-oriented people, there have been (and there is) a real danger for those people who are living there - these "authority" can not dissociate from these the Nazi-oriented - how do you...

will tell my mother that her son has grown up (she will not believe)

agree on all points you made
  • #13,713
  • Mar 7, 2014 11:53am Mar 7, 2014 11:53am
Quoting Dr.Phoenix
{quote} I know I am risking. I use MM as well, combining them with VWMA. Nevertheless, the next week will begin with a retracement (...just interesting) as PA says that a pin bar or a long-leg doji might be forming now. Even if we shall not be retracing, I will be building the contra-trend position further.
your playing field for Sunday/Monday
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  • #13,714
  • Mar 7, 2014 12:01pm Mar 7, 2014 12:01pm
I do not like the place where price stopped today.

It stopped at the Murrey Math trading line 6/8 on 1h and 4h TF. That is a level, where rejections and common.

So we should stay cautious here. Keep your leverage in check
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  • #13,715
  • Mar 7, 2014 12:06pm Mar 7, 2014 12:06pm
Volume profile, POC's and virgin POC's

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  • #13,716
  • Edited Mar 8, 2014 4:43am Mar 7, 2014 12:54pm | Edited Mar 8, 2014 4:43am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} Well, I am not supportive of all the things Putin is doing, but I am feeling better, when there is sign of balance in the world. Since I do not like the actions coming from USA lately (spying, double-standard, fabricating evidence to go to war, etc.), giving Cremea back to Russia, thus securing their entry to the Black Sea, is welcomed by me. Since over 50% of the people of Crimea are ethnic Russians, and only around 25% ethnic Ukrainians. Then we have the around 15% or so Tartars. Do not know what they like to choose, since they were not...

#13'707

My sentiments exactly!

Nachtrag
Wladimi Putins Stärken überfordern den Westen.
Europäische, wie auch amerikanische Aussenpolitik können einfach zu wenig flexibel sich auf andersdenkende Politformen einlassen.
Nach dem Kurzkrieg um Georgien 2008 entliess Moskau Abchasien und Südossetien in die Unabhängigkeit und entlarvte den Westen als Papiertiger, der gross redet, aber nichts tut. Es wäre sicher angebracht, Versuche zu starten Russland uberhaupt einmal erst zu verstehen.

"Amerikas Rückzug aus dem Irak, seine missglückte Mission in Libyen, der absehbare Abzug aus Afghanistan, das Zögern und das folgende Fiasko um Syrien, die Schwierigkeiten mit Äypten, das Nachgeben gegenüber dem Iran, das kühle Verhältnis zu Israel, die Europäische Krise, die amerikanische Abrüstung - das alles bestärkte Putin in seiner Meinung über die Dekadenz des Westens und darin, dass der Zeitpunkt für die "Sammlung russischer Erde" günstig sein könnte. Selber überstand er die Demonstrationswelle im eigenen Land ohne Schaden", (Hansrudolf Kamer "Putins Stärke", Weltwoche Nr. 10.14).

In der aktuell historischen Lage ist Putin gezwungen, ein altes, nicht einmal sonderlich raffiniertes Spiel zu spielen. Das Spiel muss nur jenem der Gegner überlegen sein.
FXcube
  • #13,717
  • Mar 7, 2014 1:21pm Mar 7, 2014 1:21pm
Quoting Forexcube
{quote} #13'707 My sentiments exactly! Nachtrag Wladimi Putins Stärken überfordern den Westen. Europäische, wie auch amrikanische Aussenpolitik können einfach zu wenig flexibel sich auf andersdenkende Politformen einlassen. Nach dem Kurzkrieg um Georgien 2008 entliess Moskau Abchasien und Südossetien in die Unabhängigkeit und entlarvte den Westen als Papiertiger, der gross redet, aber nichts tut. Es wäre sicher angebracht, Versuche zu starten Russland uberhaupt einmal erst zu verstehen. "Amerikas Rückzug aus dem Irak, seine missglückte...

Hi FxCube,

hope all well and you had a nice week.

Putin, right now, has more support than ever in his own country. There was a poll I read recently (have to look for it) and it showed overwhelmingly support.

The West (NATO) simply pushed Putin to do, what he has to do, by their "surrounding strategy", the broken promises to not further enhance the NATO and so on.

What do all this well paid strategist think how he (Putin) would react?


Silly world.......
  • #13,718
  • Mar 7, 2014 1:23pm Mar 7, 2014 1:23pm
Quoting infinitus
Volume profile, POC's and virgin POC's {image}
From technical poin of view I can see that 3825 level should be tested at least.
Hunting High and Low
  • #13,719
  • Mar 7, 2014 4:20pm Mar 7, 2014 4:20pm
well, here we go

http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/defau.../picture-5.jpg
Russian Troops Storm Ukraine Air Force Base In Crimea, Reuters Confirms
  • #13,720
  • Mar 7, 2014 5:41pm Mar 7, 2014 5:41pm
Quoting infinitus
well, here we go {image} Russian Troops Storm Ukraine Air Force Base In Crimea, Reuters Confirms


Die Russen werden definitiv die Muskelspiele auf der Krim gewinnen und sie werden sich das Land unter den Nagel reißen. Daran zweifle ich nicht und da wird "Schiss Europa" und weichei Obama nichts machen können, außer ein paar lächerliche Sanktionen. Die Russen sind schon lange angepißt allein wegen Anerkennung des Kosovos das sich von Serbien getrennt hat und international annerkannt wurde. Er denkt sich warum soll das Recht auf der Krim genau so nicht gelten. Und die Frage ist berechtigt, die sich Putin gerade stellt. Es ist zwar nicht in Ordnung wie er es macht, aber der Westen wird ihm nicht mal ein Haar krümmen können. Das mit Kosovo hat er nicht vergessen u. a. Aufteilung von Bosnien in Kantone.

Der finanzielle Schaden Russlands ist jetzt schon enorm an den Börsen. Die jungen studierten verlassen eh das Land ins Ausland. Die Oligarchen leben schon lange nicht in Russland und die Industrie ist einfach schrottreif. Aber das juckt Putin überhaupt nicht, denn sein Arsch ist voll und die einzigen die es richtig merken werden das ist das normale arbeiter Volk.

Das russische BIP besteht aus 80% der Rohstoffexporte und der Rest ist einfach Müll den keiner braucht. Das einzige was sie bauen konnten, das war die Kalaschnikov und das wars dann auch. Die Industrie ist marode und kaum innovativ. Aber der Ölboom kaschiert die Lage. Warum hat man schiß in Eurupa
einfach das Gas/Öl wo anderst her zu beziehen ??? Das wäre mal auch eine Chance für Deutschland nach alternativen Energien zu schauen und umzustellen.

Schau mal hier: Das ist ein Bekannter von mir (das ist keine Werbung) http://www.al-bernstein.co.uk/germ.html
Man kauft sich eine Photovoltaikanlage mit 10 Platten klatscht Sie aufs dach und ein paar Heizkörper fürs Haus und steckt die an die Steckdose (Kostenpunkt ca. 10.000€) und man ist für IMMER unabhängig von GAS und ÖL! Und die pattentierten Heizkörper verbrauchen NUR 60 Watt = das entspricht in etwa den Verbrauch einer Glühbirne (Keine Kaminkehrer, keine Wartungskosten einfach NICHTs mehr an Folgekosten). So ein Heizkörper kostet ca. 400€ pro Raum und fertig.

Europa ist gespalten wie noch nie und da geht gar nichts mehr vorwärts nur noch rückwärts. Das ist ein Armutszeugnis des Westens.
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