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Help Me Establish The GbpUsd After Dinner Club 40 replies

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  • #13,661
  • Mar 6, 2014 8:21am Mar 6, 2014 8:21am
Quoting Dr.Phoenix
{quote} finished it.... I think, we should say hello to 3800, maybe up to 3850 at least.
Hi D.P.,

good job

Murrey calls for 3855 and trying to micro-count the waves I would say, that there is one small wave up missing so far. But not so sure about it.

From MVWAP considerations I would say, that if higher than 3873, we need ranging beforehand.
  • #13,662
  • Mar 6, 2014 8:24am Mar 6, 2014 8:24am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} Hi D.P., good job Murrey calls for 3855 and trying to micro-count the waves I would say, that there is one small wave up missing so far. But not so sure about it. From MVWAP considerations I would say, that if higher than 3873, we need ranging beforehand.
The monthly supply line is at ~1.385... if we get a qualified break through it on a weekly basis (and I think this is likely)

it opens the door to ~1.48-1.5

will post charts later

nice play today
90% of people, are wrong about 90% of everything, 90% of the time...
  • #13,663
  • Mar 6, 2014 8:27am Mar 6, 2014 8:27am
Seems like Crimea will be back to where it belongs: into the arms of mother Russia

Some think that Nikita was drunken when he gave it away to Ukraine, so do I.

Very interesting developments over there.
  • #13,664
  • Mar 6, 2014 8:45am Mar 6, 2014 8:45am
before:
Quoting infinitus
EU 4h TF bullish count {image}

after:


2h TF EU

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Chart_EUR_USD_2 Hours_snapshot.png Size: 71 KB
  • #13,665
  • Mar 6, 2014 9:03am Mar 6, 2014 9:03am
shorts around 3855 have risk toward 3916

but MVWAP's call for ranging beforehand
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #13,666
  • Mar 6, 2014 9:07am Mar 6, 2014 9:07am
BTW:


short 3852

SL behind 3916

TP open; when things develop, I will move SL to BE relatively soon
  • #13,667
  • Mar 6, 2014 9:08am Mar 6, 2014 9:08am
Quoting infinitus
BTW: short 3852 SL behind 3916 TP open; when things develop, I will move SL to BE relatively soon
second short @ 3843
  • #13,668
  • Edited 10:55am Mar 6, 2014 10:14am | Edited 10:55am
Shorting here Infinitus? I dont know, unles your TP is small i would say thats risky thing to short here. Close bellow 1.3811 maybe could be bearish but until that is reached its only up to go.

UCAD, possible long bounces
http://prntscr.com/2yeyud

UCHF too, if we go bit deeper than previous low and close above we could wipe out some pending shorts and turn in bigger retracement.
http://prntscr.com/2yezlg


GU , meeting latest top looks good idea.
http://prntscr.com/2yf0kq
  • #13,669
  • Mar 6, 2014 2:03pm Mar 6, 2014 2:03pm
I try to micro count the waves of the impulse since the low at 3706

we may be now in a wave 4 triangle of the wave 5 of the whole impulse

If true, I suspect a top between 3874 and 3886, extended 3916???

Targets are Murrey math based
  • #13,670
  • Mar 6, 2014 2:08pm Mar 6, 2014 2:08pm
Look at the red marked SD's of the Market Profile (MVWAPS, lower part)

if price manages to break above that range, hence jump into +3 SD territory, chance get bigger for a sustained trend to the upper side.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #13,671
  • Mar 6, 2014 2:13pm Mar 6, 2014 2:13pm
Quoting janpec1000
Shorting here Infinitus? I dont know, unles your TP is small i would say thats risky thing to short here. Close bellow 1.3811 maybe could be bearish but until that is reached its only up to go.
I made a bet on a somewhat intense rejection from the 3855 level.

But so far it is waiting game and wave structure is open to some more bullish developments.

Considering now to close the trades.
  • #13,672
  • Mar 6, 2014 2:22pm Mar 6, 2014 2:22pm
price is now somewhat in no-mens-land

many NBZ, followed by distribution zones in the 41 to 448 range (but not meaningful)


my Murrey mat synchronized Market Profile system is now on its own edge LOL

Will happen every time, when price runs out of the range of the given lookback periods.

So when price decides to go further up, I am left with the 32 periods of monthly distribution
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #13,673
  • Mar 6, 2014 2:26pm Mar 6, 2014 2:26pm
http://rt.com/news/state-department-putin-list-234/

Russia hits back at US ‘barefaced cynicism and double standards’ over Ukraine
  • #13,674
  • Mar 6, 2014 2:38pm Mar 6, 2014 2:38pm
Let us spot some targets on the downside

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  • #13,675
  • Mar 6, 2014 2:43pm Mar 6, 2014 2:43pm
Russia sinks ship to block Urkrainian naval vessels from entering Black Sea
Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/world/russia-s...#ixzz2vDWzfYH8
http://www.smh.com.au/world/russia-s...307-hvghs.html



High-Probability Of Russian Assault Overnight, Ukraine Pravda Says

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-0...ne-pravda-says
  • #13,676
  • Mar 6, 2014 4:28pm Mar 6, 2014 4:28pm
http://www.forexlive.com/blog/2014/0...the-numbers-6/


hmmmm, better to look to the upper side tomorrow?
  • #13,677
  • Mar 7, 2014 2:10am Mar 7, 2014 2:10am
Bitcoin not a currency, but should be taxed – Japan
  • #13,678
  • Mar 7, 2014 3:02am Mar 7, 2014 3:02am
Price Relativism: update (from here)

Euro Yen vs S&P 500 (continuous)

Heads Up

H4
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EJ to ESM Price Relative H4 03.07.04.png Size: 45 KB
90% of people, are wrong about 90% of everything, 90% of the time...
  • #13,679
  • Mar 7, 2014 3:04am Mar 7, 2014 3:04am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} I made a bet on a somewhat intense rejection from the 3855 level. But so far it is waiting game and wave structure is open to some more bullish developments. Considering now to close the trades.
By intense you mean something that volume analysis showed you? From price action perspective there was no shorting area, actually it was rather more safe to open longs even bellow strong resistance.

Btw anyone listened what Draghi said yesterday?

CAD and USA employment today, will trade it after spikes, will post trade entries.

China increased milatary input by 12% huh. Thats quite serious. On other hand they are swiming towards same scenario of "debt ceiling" like USA. I am kinda getting skeptical that they will really bound yuan to gold standard. From current perspective another petro currency looks more likely.

JPYs now all reached my expected targets of 550 pips on analysis prediction. There is still room to go up. Could be worth longing GN with tight SL. Spike was not deep enough so no pending shorts were activated, but it should bounce here. GBPCHF did good job triggering some SLs and pendings and bouncing up, should be going futher higher.
  • #13,680
  • Mar 7, 2014 3:17am Mar 7, 2014 3:17am
Here we go

again vacation time

will probably spent the next three weeks less in FF and more here:


http://www.monterosa-ski.com/phpwebc...p?wid=panorama


I am really lucky this year with the snow and ice conditions, unlike last year. Have between 100-150cm snow in the valley, and up to 450cm on the mountains
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