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AUD/USD

  • #73,841
  • Mar 5, 2014 7:40pm Mar 5, 2014 7:40pm
I'v being watching the daily, looks interesting (200ma).
(ignore verticals)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audusd #1.png Size: 45 KB
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #73,842
  • Mar 5, 2014 8:02pm Mar 5, 2014 8:02pm
Quoting EmeraldEyes
{quote} Throw the Fed's tapering in the mix as well. There's a chance the RBA is going to act, dependent on how Fed tapering develops.
Well if the Fed tapers then it's going to hike up the USD a little bit and that's going to push down the AUD naturally so RBA might not need to do anything if their aim is to have a weaker AUD. Wonder what RBA Governor Stevens is going to yap about at 5:30 PM EST tomorrow. Is there going to be another market explosion I wonder?
Make your losses in demo. Earn your profits live.
  • #73,843
  • Mar 5, 2014 8:10pm Mar 5, 2014 8:10pm
Quoting Forexia
{quote} Well if they cut rates, it's actually going to fuel the housing bubble because it's going to make mortgage cheaper and that will supposedly make people willing to borrow more and buy more properties and the builders will be able to take out more loans to develope more properties and etc.. A rate hike will likely kill the housing bubble.

But if you blow the bubble bigger it will eventually pop, only louder.. and then we can like it is 1969...
A genius is born every minute, me I am lucky if my socks match.
  • #73,844
  • Mar 5, 2014 8:11pm Mar 5, 2014 8:11pm
Quoting Forexia
{quote} Well if the Fed tapers then it's going to hike up the USD a little bit and that's going to push down the AUD naturally so RBA might not need to do anything if their aim is to have a weaker AUD. Wonder what RBA Governor Stevens is going to yap about at 5:30 PM EST tomorrow. Is there going to be another market explosion I wonder?
Yep, exactly! Makes me wonder why the RBNZ has waited this long to start their proposed rate hikes of 2014 as well.
  • #73,845
  • Mar 5, 2014 8:17pm Mar 5, 2014 8:17pm
Quoting Judge Dent
{quote} lets not descend into a pissing contest about who has more money. rather hear about your trades and the logic behind them - be they successful or not
I once worked on a joint venture contract where we had three very large entities (project managers for large contractor firms (think big names)). We were in the boardroom having a general discussion and the three PM's were having a pissing contest, disrupted the meeting for 3 consecutive meetings holding up the project. The secretary taking the minutes said at the beginning of the 4th meeting..

"Right you three, whip your dicks out, whoever has the biggest wins and lets move on shall we?"

She got some applause from those at the table.
A genius is born every minute, me I am lucky if my socks match.
  • #73,846
  • Mar 5, 2014 8:30pm Mar 5, 2014 8:30pm
Quoting EmeraldEyes
{quote} Yep, exactly! Makes me wonder why the RBNZ has waited this long to start their proposed rate hikes of 2014 as well.
Wooo does everybody think that RBNZ is going to hike up the rate? And everybody is still shorting the NZ? Wow, what brave shorts they are!!! *sniff sniff*
Make your losses in demo. Earn your profits live.
  • #73,847
  • Edited Mar 6, 2014 1:15am Mar 5, 2014 9:08pm | Edited Mar 6, 2014 1:15am
Quoting Forexia
{quote} Wooo does everybody think that RBNZ is going to hike up the rate? And everybody is still shorting the NZ? Wow, what brave shorts they are!!! *sniff sniff*
Warning I disclose everything, good and bad.. and REALLY BAD (see below)
I have two shorts in at the moment for long term trend down.

I pray to Thor every night to smash me on the head with his hammer (no SSM not that hammer, get your head out of the gutter)
A genius is born every minute, me I am lucky if my socks match.
  • #73,848
  • Mar 5, 2014 10:06pm Mar 5, 2014 10:06pm
Quoting whackdiddy
{quote} Warning I disclose everything, good and bad.. and REALLY BAD (see below) I have two shorts in at the moment for long term trend down. 1. @ 0.90275 with TP @ 0.89236 2. @ 0.89253 with TP @ 0.83769 (yes this one is making me ) I pray to Thor every night to smash me on the head with his hammer (no SSM not that hammer, get your head out of the gutter)
Oh Whackdiddy! What happened to your money management? Do you have stop losses on those?
  • #73,849
  • Mar 5, 2014 10:17pm Mar 5, 2014 10:17pm
Quoting Matts Micro
I'v being watching the daily, looks interesting (200ma). (ignore verticals) {image}
Yes, it has an interesting wave count, too.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audusddaily.png Size: 40 KB
Elliott Wave for optimum entry, exit and risk management of trades
  • #73,850
  • Mar 5, 2014 10:20pm Mar 5, 2014 10:20pm
Ausie WoW
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: Capture1.JPG Size: 138 KB
  • #73,851
  • Mar 5, 2014 10:51pm Mar 5, 2014 10:51pm
Quoting mangojango
{quote} Oh Whackdiddy! What happened to your money management? Do you have stop losses on those?
Lol, yeah I have stop losses set at 0.92000 - margin is fine, just running short of time doing day trading at the moment as doing some work projects. So these are long term trades, potentially 6 months, hence the wild TP..

But if I do hit TP then 19k... whoop!!

I was watching before this mornings news and fighting the gut feel to close and take the loss, then boom went through the roof. If I take the loss now, it is money lost, if I ride the storm I reduce my loss and potential get some green.

The cup is always full, never half..
A genius is born every minute, me I am lucky if my socks match.
  • #73,852
  • Mar 5, 2014 10:55pm Mar 5, 2014 10:55pm
Quoting ozboy
Ausie WoW {image} {image}

Yeah crazy hey, what are you thinking ozboy.. or are you staying out of the fight as a wise man would?

I want to hit your RWL and go lower..
A genius is born every minute, me I am lucky if my socks match.
  • #73,853
  • Edited Mar 6, 2014 1:16am Mar 5, 2014 11:05pm | Edited Mar 6, 2014 1:16am
Full disclosure to let people know that I am not totally 100% insane, 99.9% maybe
I trade for the fun and thrill and to eventually get better at it. I am not 100% serious but getting close to picking up my game and making some good coin.

So when I say I am going short or long please I beg you do not follow me based on my say so.
A genius is born every minute, me I am lucky if my socks match.
  • #73,854
  • Mar 5, 2014 11:43pm Mar 5, 2014 11:43pm
still bullish tp 080+
With a good book and quality paper you can fine wipe your ass.
  • #73,855
  • Mar 5, 2014 11:53pm Mar 5, 2014 11:53pm
Quoting Forexia
{quote} Wooo does everybody think that RBNZ is going to hike up the rate? And everybody is still shorting the NZ? Wow, what brave shorts they are!!! *sniff sniff*
Yep, RBNZ 25bps rate hike is fully priced in by the market. ANZ Bank is expecting 3 rate hikes by mid-year starting with the first next week.. only like 3/4 rate decisions between now and then.
  • #73,856
  • Mar 5, 2014 11:59pm Mar 5, 2014 11:59pm
Quoting EmeraldEyes
{quote} Yep, RBNZ 25bps rate hike is fully priced in by the market. ANZ Bank is expecting 3 rate hikes by mid-year starting with the first next week.. only like 3/4 rate decisions between now and then.
But RBNZ is not willing to see AUDNZD become 1:1.
If AUD underperfroms, I don't think RBNZ will raise rate.
  • #73,857
  • Mar 6, 2014 12:08am Mar 6, 2014 12:08am
Quoting zew
{quote} But RBNZ is not willing to see AUDNZD become 1:1. If AUD underperfroms, I don't think RBNZ will raise rate.
I'm saying it's fully priced in, as in if it doesn't get raise next week, Aud/Nzd will shoot up along with big selling of Nzd/Usd throughout that day from banks betting on a hike.
If they raise rates 25bps, Nzd won't strengthen too much off of buying as that info was known. That RBNZ hike may even be sold as the path for multiple rate hikes this year as already been partially priced in.
  • #73,858
  • Mar 6, 2014 12:13am Mar 6, 2014 12:13am
Quoting EmeraldEyes
{quote} I'm saying it's fully priced in, as in if it doesn't get raise next week, Aud/Nzd will shoot up along with big selling of Nzd/Usd throughout that day from banks betting on a hike.
  • #73,859
  • Mar 6, 2014 12:17am Mar 6, 2014 12:17am
Quoting zew
{quote}
Does your username stand for Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung?
  • #73,860
  • Mar 6, 2014 2:00am Mar 6, 2014 2:00am
wow, i guess the strong move has everyone awed that no one is reacting
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