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NZD/USD

  • #3,241
  • Mar 3, 2014 4:20pm Mar 3, 2014 4:20pm
I hate when people say "priced in". No one prices anything in. It's impossible (as a retail trader) to know what and when they will increase the interest rate, so therefor it's impossible to "price it in". The only people pricing anything in are politicians, inside traders, and banks.
  • #3,242
  • Mar 3, 2014 4:25pm Mar 3, 2014 4:25pm
I understand what you are saying, and i respect your opinion. But "Priced in" means an expectation, when the market expects something will happen tries to anticipate. The Kiwi would have never been so expensive against the dollar if there wasn't an expectation of an increase of interest rates. Just my opinion.
  • #3,243
  • Mar 3, 2014 4:34pm Mar 3, 2014 4:34pm
Quoting LuiSuarez
{quote} Mmm i totally disagree. The rate hike expectation is already priced, right know AUD/NZD is near its fair value, i think that if New Zeland increase its interest rate we will not see much movement, we might see a lot of volatility but at the end price will not appreciate much. However, we will see a big movement to the downside if new zeland dont increase the interest rate. 0,84 great level to enter short. Have a nice day
I agree with that, I share the same view.
There are those who know, and there are those who don't know.
  • #3,244
  • Mar 3, 2014 4:35pm Mar 3, 2014 4:35pm
Quoting LuiSuarez
I understand what you are saying, and i respect your opinion. But "Priced in" means an expectation, when the market expects something will happen tries to anticipate. The Kiwi would have never been so expensive against the dollar if there wasn't an expectation of an increase of interest rates. Just my opinion.
My opinion was my own as well- no disrespect meant towards you either
  • #3,245
  • Mar 4, 2014 3:16am Mar 4, 2014 3:16am
In a perfect uptrend channel,
it is not a good idea to lay your short orders right now.

I'm afraid ,NZD/AUD may climb to parity.
no other killers to me but emotion
  • #3,246
  • Mar 4, 2014 3:40am Mar 4, 2014 3:40am
Quoting Mr Mao
In a perfect uptrend channel, it is not a good idea to lay your short orders right now. I'm afraid ,NZD/AUD may climb to parity.
That won't happen
  • #3,247
  • Mar 4, 2014 7:54am Mar 4, 2014 7:54am
Goodmorning everyone
  • #3,248
  • Mar 4, 2014 10:59am Mar 4, 2014 10:59am
Where everyone at? Finally get some action and no one here. You guys are boring!
  • #3,249
  • Mar 4, 2014 11:17am Mar 4, 2014 11:17am
Starting to put in some lower highs at last.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Chart_NZD_USD_30 Mins_snapshot.png Size: 38 KB
  • #3,250
  • Mar 4, 2014 11:19am Mar 4, 2014 11:19am
Quoting squawk
Starting to put in some lower highs at last. {image}


  • #3,251
  • Mar 4, 2014 11:30am Mar 4, 2014 11:30am
Yawn, its like watching melting snow...
In at .8372 love how it bounces off my sell point.
Doc K
  • #3,252
  • Mar 4, 2014 11:39am Mar 4, 2014 11:39am
Quoting Doc_kirbs
Yawn, its like watching melting snow... In at .8372 love how it bounces off my sell point.

haha right
  • #3,253
  • Mar 4, 2014 11:46am Mar 4, 2014 11:46am
I been holding since .8410....Need this bad girl to drop to hell.
  • #3,254
  • Mar 4, 2014 12:47pm Mar 4, 2014 12:47pm
Quoting Rizmeister
Goodmorning everyone
Good morning Riz

every now again it makes a we burst up

Got a couple longs to 0.84.4
  • #3,255
  • Mar 4, 2014 1:38pm Mar 4, 2014 1:38pm
Quoting eliteincome
{quote} Good morning Riz every now again it makes a we burst up Got a couple longs to 0.84.4
Last few days have been meh. I want to see her just go south and stay there.
  • #3,256
  • Mar 4, 2014 1:42pm Mar 4, 2014 1:42pm
Quoting Rizmeister
I been holding since .8410....Need this bad girl to drop to hell.
I closed mine with profit and may enter again.
I think we need some green numbers on USD for things to change for dollar.It seems market took dovish Yellen to gutters.She turned out worse then Bernanke.
I can't wait until we get a republican administration before this country drowns in debt.
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #3,257
  • Mar 4, 2014 1:43pm Mar 4, 2014 1:43pm
Quoting Davit
{quote} I closed mine with profit and may enter again. I think we need some green numbers on USD for things to change for dollar.It seems market took dovish Yellen to gutters.She turned out worse then Bernanke. I can't wait until we get a republican administration before this country drowns in debt.

  • #3,258
  • Mar 4, 2014 1:46pm Mar 4, 2014 1:46pm
Closed out, Rode up and recovered my small loss and gained some on the upward move, got a higher sell point at .8386
Doc K
  • #3,259
  • Mar 4, 2014 1:47pm Mar 4, 2014 1:47pm
Quoting Davit
{quote} I closed mine with profit and may enter again. I think we need some green numbers on USD for things to change for dollar.It seems market took dovish Yellen to gutters.She turned out worse then Bernanke. I can't wait until we get a republican administration before this country drowns in debt.
I agree since she spoke dollar has been as soft as a 10 day old weenie.

even with all the signs of dollar recovery and war it has no momentum or strength to move on its own.. Unreal.
There are those who know, and there are those who don't know.
  • #3,260
  • Mar 4, 2014 4:33pm Mar 4, 2014 4:33pm
Patience
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