Markets views and trades | Page 4 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread

Similar Threads

Screenshots of trades posted in Real time trades by realjumper 4 replies

High probability trade setups for day trades and swing trades 4 replies

Script/EA to balance losing trades agianst winning trades 23 replies

Any views on HY markets? 4 replies

Daily Trades = Lazy Trades Journal 7 replies

Attachments: Markets views and trades
Exit Attachments

Markets views and trades

  • #61
  • Feb 25, 2014 12:03pm Feb 25, 2014 12:03pm
Quoting TLw_fx
{quote} reistanted, but smaller. Adding a sell at adtional +40 pips (678*). Small positions. I had commented a few posts back that liquidity is running low....apparently hence these spikes we just saw.

Well, i had missed that the Vodafone/verizon payment (2nd) was to take place at 4pm's fix today.

I take very seriously some of the daily fixes (i've been comenting on them on the posts), the 4pm being the most relevant. With a relevant order (beyond the yard?) being dealed w/ noticeable announcement at that specific fix and a aditional Large option barrier at 1.6650 1 hour earlier should have sent my alarms screaming.

It all went well, but that was a mistake on my part.

Just goes to show that one can never let the guard down.
  • #62
  • Feb 26, 2014 3:09am Feb 26, 2014 3:09am
What a ridiculous Asian session on the eurusd...

UsdJpy daily triangle running out of room: almost 2/3 complete, and last third is for very small range days....

Selling UsdJpy around 102.6* and 102.8*

Buying UsdJpy aroun 101.7* and 101.6*

Might enter in between along as the day progresses.
  • #63
  • Edited 3:27am Feb 26, 2014 3:14am | Edited 3:27am
Quoting TLw_fx
What a ridiculous Asian session on the eurusd... UsdJpy daily triangle running out of room: almost 2/3 complete, and last third is for very small range days.... Selling UsdJpy around 102.6* and 102.8* Buying UsdJpy aroun 101.7* and 101.6* Might enter in between along as the day progresses.

Look at where today's london opening in the eurusd stoppped and turned
  • #64
  • Feb 26, 2014 3:23am Feb 26, 2014 3:23am
Quoting TLw_fx
{quote} Look at where todays london opening in the eurusd stoppped and turned

Besides that interbank "landmark" the eu is in a 3-day triangle.

Apparently heavy sell orders remain in 1.3770/75 (and that might be about it in large orders). Daily upwards trendline is being repeatedly tested

Selling eurusd just below 1.38000.

Chart of the eurusd 15min
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu15.png Size: 37 KB
  • #65
  • Feb 26, 2014 3:30am Feb 26, 2014 3:30am
Quoting TLw_fx
{quote} Well, i had missed that the Vodafone/verizon payment (2nd) was to take place at 4pm's fix today. I take very seriously some of the daily fixes (i've been comenting on them on the posts), the 4pm being the most relevant. With a relevant order (beyond the yard?) being dealed w/ noticeable announcement at that specific fix and a aditional Large option barrier at 1.6650 1 hour earlier should have sent my alarms screaming. It all went well, but that was a mistake on my part. Just goes to show that one can never let the guard down.


And that 1.6650 LARGE option expiry still intact.

NO large orders in gbpusd, aparently!!! That might mean more spikes....or a complete subdued session...
  • #66
  • Feb 26, 2014 3:32am Feb 26, 2014 3:32am
UK GDP numbers not all that exciting, nor a hole in the path of BOE's optimism...
  • #67
  • Feb 26, 2014 5:15am Feb 26, 2014 5:15am
Quoting TLw_fx
{quote} And that 1.6650 LARGE option expiry still intact. NO large orders in gbpusd, aparently!!! That might mean more spikes....or a complete subdued session...

...subdued it is then...
  • #68
  • Feb 26, 2014 5:51am Feb 26, 2014 5:51am
usdjpy's 2nd semester of 2011 was riddled w/ 40 and 50 pips range days. This might the fate in this semester as well. Markets change, constantly.

UsdJpy, daily chart from december 2013
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ujd14.png Size: 30 KB
  • #69
  • Feb 26, 2014 6:01am Feb 26, 2014 6:01am
Quoting TLw_fx
What a ridiculous Asian session on the eurusd... UsdJpy daily triangle running out of room: almost 2/3 complete, and last third is for very small range days.... Selling UsdJpy around 102.6* and 102.8* Buying UsdJpy aroun 101.7* and 101.6* Might enter in between along as the day progresses.
I have my first sell zone at 102.37 - 102.41 and my second ~102.60....but I'm waiting for NY after such a lifeless European morning, apart from that small two way news driven spike in cable....time for some lunch....
Trading Levels with WRBs
  • #70
  • Feb 26, 2014 7:19am Feb 26, 2014 7:19am
Quoting Islander
{quote} I have my first sell zone at 102.37 - 102.41 and my second ~102.60....but I'm waiting for NY after such a lifeless European morning, apart from that small two way news driven spike in cable....time for some lunch....

Hello Islander,

perhaps w/ US home sales data at 3pm the markets will gain momentum, and we will get our fills.

Also, at 3pm there's that very big option expiring at 102.25.

can't wait for this small ranging market to get a move on. Unfortunately we might have to wait for the next BOE/ECB meeting and next NFP release for cash to be alocated w/ confidence.
  • #71
  • Feb 26, 2014 8:10am Feb 26, 2014 8:10am
Quoting TLw_fx
{quote} Hello Islander, perhaps w/ US home sales data at 3pm the markets will gain momentum, and we will get our fills. Also, at 3pm there's that very big option expiring at 102.25. can't wait for this small ranging market to get a move on. Unfortunately we might have to wait for the next BOE/ECB meeting and next NFP release for cash to be alocated w/ confidence.
I too am watching and waiting for the US data, but took a sell in that higher volumed spike up to the 102.39 level and later sold GJ too.... thinking that the 102.25 option level should pull UJ down a little.......TWT
Trading Levels with WRBs
  • #72
  • Edited 8:54am Feb 26, 2014 8:41am | Edited 8:54am
Quoting Islander
{quote} I too am watching and waiting for the US data, but took a sell in that higher volumed spike up to the 102.39 level and later sold GJ too.... thinking that the 102.25 option level should pull UJ down a little.......TWT

That was well shorted.

Now that it seems that we are moving maybe home sales will give a serious impulse.

That eurusd triangle break should project to around 1.3650, but there is the 3680 to take care of. Also, it's inside daily cloud again...

i´m buying eurusd around 1.3650 and 1.366*. If it goes down to 1.3610 i'll be out. Counting on some retesting of th 1.37000 level.

Gbpjpy is off limits to me for the moment: i want to see it go away from the daily cloud.

(corrected: entry order just below 1.3770)
  • #73
  • Feb 26, 2014 8:52am Feb 26, 2014 8:52am
at eurusd the 1.3680 is being tested, and supposely there alot of stops just below. If broken, this level is supposed to impulse towards 1.3650.
  • #74
  • Feb 26, 2014 9:01am Feb 26, 2014 9:01am
Quoting TLw_fx
{quote} That was well shorted. Now that it seems that we are moving maybe home sales will give a serious impulse. That eurusd triangle break should project to around 1.3650, but there is the 3680 to take care of. Also, it's inside daily cloud again... i´m buying eurusd around 1.3650 and 1.366*. If it goes down to 1.3610 i'll be out. Counting on some retesting of th 1.37000 level. Gbpjpy is off limits to me for the moment: i want to see it go away from the daily cloud. (corrected: entry order just below 1.3770)

This was the projection i was refering to.

Eurusd 1hr chart
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu1.png Size: 28 KB
  • #75
  • Feb 26, 2014 9:10am Feb 26, 2014 9:10am
EurCad closed last hour below weekly pivot point. if it closes below 1.5175 it increases a negative bias. Will look for sell entries.

In eurusd those stops below 1.3680 weren't that much big after all: still maintain buy orders at 36500 and 366*

Let's see what the 4pm fix will bring us.
  • #76
  • Feb 26, 2014 9:16am Feb 26, 2014 9:16am
Quoting TLw_fx
{quote} This was the projection i was refering to. Eurusd 1hr chart {image}

OK - looking at GU, EU and UC the dollar was bought into the news. As I don't understand the Japanese "clouds" - just the Chinese ones in the "clouds & rain" - I stay mainly with GJ and took a buy scalp on the expiry hour to ride UJ's pull back.....and now I'm finished for today.....and its looking like your 3650 level i € will be hit....Swissy's still climbing
Trading Levels with WRBs
  • #77
  • Feb 26, 2014 10:19am Feb 26, 2014 10:19am
Quoting Islander
{quote} OK - looking at GU, EU and UC the dollar was bought into the news. As I don't understand the Japanese "clouds" - just the Chinese ones in the "clouds & rain" - I stay mainly with GJ and took a buy scalp on the expiry hour to ride UJ's pull back.....and now I'm finished for today.....and its looking like your 3650 level i € will be hit....Swissy's still climbing

I wish i was done for today...

I'm not an ichimoku specialist: but i take into account the probabilities of human action. The Japanese are very good at observing. Why squander that knowledge eheh

I'm in in Eurusd, let's see if 50 gets filled. I'l be shorting just above 1.37000
  • #78
  • Feb 26, 2014 11:32am Feb 26, 2014 11:32am
Quoting TLw_fx
What a ridiculous Asian session on the eurusd... UsdJpy daily triangle running out of room: almost 2/3 complete, and last third is for very small range days.... Selling UsdJpy around 102.6* and 102.8* Buying UsdJpy aroun 101.7* and 101.6* Might enter in between along as the day progresses.

those buy orders got scraped and so has selling at 102.6*. added a sell just below 103.

I'l have to be careful to see if the triangle is not broken against me.
  • #79
  • Feb 26, 2014 1:16pm Feb 26, 2014 1:16pm
E-minisp500...A Doji with lesser volume: usually it means momentum will increase in next sessions. Perhaps finally some direction.

(still a lot can happen up until ny closes)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: esd.png Size: 22 KB
  • #80
  • Feb 26, 2014 1:43pm Feb 26, 2014 1:43pm
A simple view of the EurAud in daily and 15 min.

The intraday has formed a barely visible wedge down: it looks like a rectangule, but to be precise it is not. Let's see what the market will do w/ it
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ead.png Size: 23 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: ea15.png Size: 18 KB
0 traders viewing now