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AUD/USD

  • #73,161
  • Feb 25, 2014 10:33am Feb 25, 2014 10:33am
Quoting JollyBean
{quote} Thing is, they've been softening their stance. Remember at first they deemed the levels "uncomfortably high"... "We want 0.85"... Most recently, it's something along the lines of "We're OK with these levels". Who knows what's next, but it's not surprising this positive change in tone contributes to the rise in AUD/USD.
Oh that's easy. We'll just have to make them toughen their stances again. Ok everybody, stop importing from Australia!! We won't start importing until AU is 0.85!! There you go!! LOL
Make your losses in demo. Earn your profits live.
  • #73,162
  • Feb 25, 2014 10:35am Feb 25, 2014 10:35am
hi everybody! my first post here!

been in the forex game since 2011, but still need to learn a lot.. try to learn from zero again after some loss..

hope i can gain a lot of knowledge through this forum, and sorry if my english is bad, i am not english speaker..
  • #73,163
  • Feb 25, 2014 10:39am Feb 25, 2014 10:39am
Quoting Forexia
{quote} I just pray I won't have to pay the swaps to get the pips. Please, Forex God, please, let AU go down NOW!!! I have been a good trader...
Look, how the market with Aud is empty today... All is in range 20pips... Often, this is to persuade people to go into the wrong "trend". And they have time... so maybe today, maybe tomorow... who knows... But as they decide, that will be quick...
Prey for something more sensible, health, or friends, family... What market... that goes up and down... still...
  • #73,164
  • Feb 25, 2014 10:41am Feb 25, 2014 10:41am
Quoting Nitsan_Levi
{quote} MORE BUY.... I allready inside so i dont take more...but if you still not buy...you can buy now.. daily bar blue swallow red.... stop under sma32...take profit on sma 200 {image}

daily candle turn from red to blue
  • #73,165
  • Feb 25, 2014 10:41am Feb 25, 2014 10:41am
Quoting Neqrotik
{quote} George Soros would disagree strongly with the "AUD rates rise = AUD rise" logic. I'm not trying to name throw at all. But he recounts his experiences in "The Alchemy of Finance" that currency movements are more correlated with trade balances than carry trade considerations. I strongly recommend you read his chapter on "Reflexivity in the Currency Market" Which only speaks more to my logic about the commodity problem. I believe that interest rates rising amid lower commodity demand and prices only exacerbates current account deficits and...
I've read it. He can disagree all he wants, but the charts bear out the facts. Of course, past performance is not an indicator of future expectations

Australia is an interesting market. I'm bullish. What I want to know is, why the hell is New Zealand supposed to outperform everything?
  • #73,166
  • Feb 25, 2014 10:43am Feb 25, 2014 10:43am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} Not trying to be a guru here but, if you trade intraday and 100-200 pips can make you losing sleep then watch equity markets and indices. No doubt the trend is down but the whole forex is not determined by RBA Maybe the 7:00 PM EST Construction Work number will give it some direction The above probably could shake more or less 30-50 pips
OK I know RBA's decision and sentiments is not the only determining factor for AU's value. All I am saying is AU's trading in range today at least for now and maybe until the 5:00 PM EST cutoff. And maybe an economic number that's coming out of Australia at 7:00 PM EST today will shed some light on which direction AU wants to go.

I hope this is clear for you.
Make your losses in demo. Earn your profits live.
  • #73,167
  • Feb 25, 2014 10:46am Feb 25, 2014 10:46am
Quoting Nitsan_Levi
{quote} daily candle turn from red to blue
Nah I will brave the swaps and stick with Red today.

Inserted Video


Inserted Video
(the best version of Les Mis. still)
Make your losses in demo. Earn your profits live.
  • #73,168
  • Feb 25, 2014 10:49am Feb 25, 2014 10:49am
Quoting Forexia
{quote} OK I know RBA's decision and sentiments is not the only determining factor for AU's value. All I am saying is AU's trading in range today at least for now and maybe until the 5:00 PM EST cutoff. And maybe an economic number that's coming out of Australia at 7:00 PM EST today will shed some light on which direction AU wants to go. I hope this is clear for you.
Which direction AU wants to go? Hmmm...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audusddaily2.png Size: 62 KB
  • #73,169
  • Feb 25, 2014 11:02am Feb 25, 2014 11:02am
Quoting 2+2=4ex
{quote} Which direction AU wants to go? Hmmm... {image}
It wants to go up, it wants to go up!! Just kidding.

But actually, if you really look at the bottom, it does look like a double-bottom being formed, especially if the price doesn't break through the low established on prob. Jan. 27th. Hmmmnnn... indeed
Make your losses in demo. Earn your profits live.
  • #73,170
  • Feb 25, 2014 12:01pm Feb 25, 2014 12:01pm
long aussie, buy dips.
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...08#post7296508
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #73,171
  • Feb 25, 2014 12:09pm Feb 25, 2014 12:09pm
Me too, Long.

AUD.USD 15min chart, expecting it to break on the upside.
Attached Image
  • #73,172
  • Feb 25, 2014 12:17pm Feb 25, 2014 12:17pm
Quoting TheTopBloke
{quote} What I want to know is, why the hell is New Zealand supposed to outperform everything?
Excellent Point. Something I would like to know as well! Expectation of a rate rise? surely it's all been priced into the market now.
  • #73,173
  • Feb 25, 2014 3:51pm Feb 25, 2014 3:51pm
Look like wave C in larger ABC expanded flat is not finished, looks like a triangle maybe forming indicating more upside for later in the week or possible early next week
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audusd25.jpg Size: 100 KB
  • #73,174
  • Feb 25, 2014 5:19pm Feb 25, 2014 5:19pm
I am inclined to go for a breakdown sooner today.
Shit Happens
  • #73,175
  • Feb 25, 2014 6:13pm Feb 25, 2014 6:13pm
bear trap i bet ya
  • #73,176
  • Feb 25, 2014 6:14pm Feb 25, 2014 6:14pm
Flows coming in before news in 15mins... Hmmmm
Shit Happens
  • #73,177
  • Feb 25, 2014 6:16pm Feb 25, 2014 6:16pm
Quoting act333
Flows coming in before news in 15mins... Hmmmm
the guy that is getting ready to announce the news, or his friends, must be ordering up a storm in the back room before the announcement.
  • #73,178
  • Feb 25, 2014 6:18pm Feb 25, 2014 6:18pm
lol talk about rigging. What a bunch of bullshit.
The coincidental success is more dangerous than the expected failure
  • #73,179
  • Feb 25, 2014 6:18pm Feb 25, 2014 6:18pm
Quoting c3p0
{quote} the guy that is getting ready to announce the news, and a couple buddies, must be ordering up a storm in the back room before the announcement.
Man, I wished I was in the know before financials news and stats are released.
Shit Happens
  • #73,180
  • Feb 25, 2014 6:19pm Feb 25, 2014 6:19pm
Quoting c3p0
bear trap i bet ya
Yup the market taking out stops. Frek I got out early!!! but then again could be a good thing that I got out early. The orders could've been for the other way too.
Make your losses in demo. Earn your profits live.
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