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AUD/USD

  • #73,121
  • Feb 24, 2014 6:27pm Feb 24, 2014 6:27pm
Quoting Boy Wonder
I think the bulls are dreaming again and being reeled in for a good kicking in the not too distant future, but I could be wrong. Nobody has a crystal ball. Anyway I took the opportunity to add some to my existing short at these nice prices.
something to learn...
don't mind to review the reason for taking short?
thanks
  • #73,122
  • Feb 24, 2014 6:30pm Feb 24, 2014 6:30pm
Holy bull run this morning! I had seen light buy stops from 0.9010-0.9045 that were ran to hell!
Here's some more order info that was just put out:
AUDUSD – Light bids at 0.900. Light offers still at 0.9050. Buy stops above 0.9080. Offers rest at 0.9100

Here's National Australia Bank's Australian Markets Weekly for this week as well
  • #73,123
  • Feb 24, 2014 6:33pm Feb 24, 2014 6:33pm
Quoting JimmyC
{quote} The plan... {image}
yes i would love it to be headed north all the way... let's see how the market re-act
  • #73,124
  • Feb 24, 2014 7:02pm Feb 24, 2014 7:02pm
Quoting JimmyC
{quote} The plan... {image}
Wow, a very ambitious plan.
However, lets see if it can maintain close above .90 and break above .9060 first.
The true fact is market doesn't care, risk mgt is important.
  • #73,125
  • Feb 24, 2014 7:31pm Feb 24, 2014 7:31pm
Quoting tlpfx14
{quote} something to learn... don't mind to review the reason for taking short? thanks
The fundamental reasons for AUD weakness are well-documented. People seem to think they can be wished away, or perhaps that they don't exist, or have been exaggerated, or maybe the Oz economy is a car that you can do a handbrake turn in in a matter of seconds, not an almighty oil tanker that takes years to turn. Well whatever.
Technically, this is just another bull trap IMO, but at the end of the day, all trades are a gamble; you can never be certain of anything.
I have no clue what I'm talking about.
  • #73,126
  • Feb 24, 2014 7:45pm Feb 24, 2014 7:45pm
man there is a battle going on with this pair now geeze
  • #73,127
  • Feb 24, 2014 8:05pm Feb 24, 2014 8:05pm
China – Yuan slides 0.35% to 6.12, biggest drop in two years
  • #73,128
  • Feb 24, 2014 9:42pm Feb 24, 2014 9:42pm
Quoting EmeraldEyes
Holy bull run this morning! I had seen light buy stops from 0.9010-0.9045 that were ran to hell! Here's some more order info that was just put out: AUDUSD – Light bids at 0.900. Light offers still at 0.9050. Buy stops above 0.9080. Offers rest at 0.9100 Here's National Australia Bank's Australian Markets Weekly for this...

Private capital expenditure on Thursday.

AU Private Capital Expenditure4Q flat -1.3% 3.6%
previous 3.6% and forecast -1.3% might just be the spark to the powder keg that we are waiting for?

Heavy short after closing my longs due to last nights bull run.
A genius is born every minute, me I am lucky if my socks match.
  • #73,129
  • Feb 24, 2014 10:03pm Feb 24, 2014 10:03pm
Quoting whackdiddy
{quote} Private capital expenditure on Thursday. AU Private Capital Expenditure4Q flat -1.3% 3.6% previous 3.6% and forecast -1.3% might just be the spark to the powder keg that we are waiting for? Heavy short after closing my longs due to last nights bull run.
Its almost setup in that manner wouldn't you say?! I'll definitely be closing my shorts before this news given that there's been plenty of excitement in recent news releases.
  • #73,130
  • Feb 24, 2014 10:17pm Feb 24, 2014 10:17pm
Quoting Ssm
{quote} Wow, a very ambitious plan. However, lets see if it can maintain close above .90 and break above .9060 first.
I'm in no hurry... Lets watch ASX resources sector... been going a bit too fast and too strong for a bit... May have currency implications will see
  • #73,131
  • Feb 24, 2014 10:23pm Feb 24, 2014 10:23pm
Quoting whackdiddy
{quote} Private capital expenditure on Thursday. AU Private Capital Expenditure4Q flat -1.3% 3.6% previous 3.6% and forecast -1.3% might just be the spark to the powder keg that we are waiting for? Heavy short after closing my longs due to last nights bull run.
No real news for the Aud this week is there. I say a surprise CapEx reading may be enough to move the ccy around a little as it is rated high and caps the data for last year.

The theme I'm seeing this week is the Chinese Yuan/PBoC intervention which is directly affecting the A/$. Its been noted today that the Aud has been sold by big names on the back of continued PBoC intervention. Keep yer eyes out for Chinese headlines the rest of the week.
  • #73,132
  • Feb 25, 2014 12:47am Feb 25, 2014 12:47am
Quoting htsang
{quote} AUDUSD Daily Forecast and Trade Setup for 25th Feb, 2014 Hourly Chart {image} Outlook Trade opportunity Yesterdays Trade setup and Fridays setup resulted 75pips Level to watch is the 38% fib retrace level from yesterdays big run.
Yesterday trade setup was spot on. Excellent and well done.
The true fact is market doesn't care, risk mgt is important.
  • #73,133
  • Feb 25, 2014 2:11am Feb 25, 2014 2:11am
Quoting htsang
{quote} AUDUSD Daily Forecast and Trade Setup for 25th Feb, 2014 Hourly Chart {image} Outlook Trade opportunity Yesterdays Trade setup and Fridays setup resulted 75pips Level to watch is the 38% fib retrace level from yesterdays big run. It is overlapping the 50% retrace from this months low to high level, as well as Monthly Pivot and Daily Pivot Risk Level - Low Tips - Always take note of any economical news event on our provided calender below
Yep, getting close to your 38.2 and daily pivot.. this will be interesting.
Still heavy short.
A genius is born every minute, me I am lucky if my socks match.
  • #73,134
  • Feb 25, 2014 2:19am Feb 25, 2014 2:19am
price action suggests we are heading to 0.8700. In no scenario I see this pair back above 0.91000
  • #73,135
  • Feb 25, 2014 2:21am Feb 25, 2014 2:21am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} No objection here {image}
I wonder how all your trades are winning trades. By this standard you would have been a billionaire soon.

I still wonder like attila said whether you are a fake person or not nobody knows
  • #73,136
  • Feb 25, 2014 2:43am Feb 25, 2014 2:43am
Quoting giveachance
price action suggests we are heading to 0.8700. In no scenario I see this pair back above 0.91000
I bend down on my knee and pray to my atheist god you are right.
Market will be interesting as we have had a real trend where during the Asia session we have seen a steady drop, then Europe and USA session drive up. Today is different, Asia session has not had a major impact, still down but not below the .9000 mark so we may see a new wave..

If you followed the M1 chart is traced htsang's chart exactly.
Berlin opening driving dollar up slightly but London opening will be very interesting.

I must also point out that the extremists are getting more and more voice, playing the "we are heading for a bursting bubble card".
The market will go down, I predict it will be between now and sometime in the future... Wow with that prediction you just guaranteed you will be right.
A genius is born every minute, me I am lucky if my socks match.
  • #73,137
  • Feb 25, 2014 2:54am Feb 25, 2014 2:54am
There is the big affinity to the round 0.9000. In Asia, it did not continue to 0.9050 and higher. Now the market is slow... we will see...
  • #73,138
  • Feb 25, 2014 3:19am Feb 25, 2014 3:19am
Quoting Nitsan_Levi
you can buy now.. price very close to sma64 {image}
MORE BUY.... I allready inside so i dont take more...but if you still not buy...you can buy now..

daily bar blue swallow red.... stop under sma32...take profit on sma 200
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #73,139
  • Feb 25, 2014 3:49am Feb 25, 2014 3:49am
Buyers seems exhausted...0,9050 and higher failed. Possible crash at A/U today. I will sell it to the hell, if it will come. Seat belts..., bye bye...
  • #73,140
  • Feb 25, 2014 5:31am Feb 25, 2014 5:31am
Not the time to short Aussie yet. Risk on continues.
Fix up, trade sharp ...
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