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  • #3,061
  • Feb 24, 2014 11:08am Feb 24, 2014 11:08am
Quoting njr
{quote} Hey TF, Yup, Ma Yellen is going to be a driver for the market this week. There is also a lot of media at the moment regarding the 1850 resistance level on the S&P. It seems that a lot of people are expecting it to reach this level and then where it goes after this appears to be a divided opinion. Some of the 'experts' say it is primed for a 10-15% pullback and others seem to suggest this will be a stepping stone to 1900. I am waiting for 1850 to be reached and then I will look at the price of the 1910 Calls and probably sell the Mar 28 contracts....
Wow - 1850 hit already - This market is certainly bullish!!! I'm going to sit on the side lines for a bit and see how well the momentum continues before selling any calls.....
  • #3,062
  • Feb 24, 2014 11:19am Feb 24, 2014 11:19am
Quoting njr
{quote} My position: SOLD UNG Feb28'14 36 CALL @AMEX @ 0.06 Unfortunately this is a partial fill and the remainder of the order is still pending!
UNG currently tanking and now down 5.3% on the day!

I'm leaving the pending order in at the moment and will see how goes in the next day or two. If it continues to decline in the coming days I will look to sell the 32 or 33 calls....
  • #3,063
  • Feb 24, 2014 11:39am Feb 24, 2014 11:39am
Quoting njr
{quote} Wow - 1850 hit already - This market is certainly bullish!!! I'm going to sit on the side lines for a bit and see how well the momentum continues before selling any calls.....
I'm not so sure. VXX has hardly moved in comparison, with this move on the indexes VXX should be closer to 40 if not below. Also look at AAPL its gone the opposite way
  • #3,064
  • Feb 24, 2014 12:04pm Feb 24, 2014 12:04pm
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} I'm not so sure. VXX has hardly moved in comparison, with this move on the indexes VXX should be closer to 40 if not below. Also look at AAPL its gone the opposite way
Yes, I agree it is a little strange. Hence, my decision to sit on the sidelines for the moment and see how much momentum there is behind this 'rally'. It also seems there are still a large number of buyers of calls!!!

http://www.cboe.com/tradtool/webcast...31c44a1ffa43f6

I might look at selling some PUTs
  • #3,065
  • Feb 24, 2014 1:23pm Feb 24, 2014 1:23pm
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} I'm not so sure. VXX has hardly moved in comparison, with this move on the indexes VXX should be closer to 40 if not below. Also look at AAPL its gone the opposite way
yeah I been watching that, too. I'm not so sure VIX won't keep sliding, though. Market may be ready to settle into another bullish stretch, taper be damned. I'm not feeling anything contrarian, anyways...

I wasn't ready to see natgas dip, was looking for some more upside on UNG. Maybe it's still in the cards, we'll see.

I'm too distracted today to do much. I had some UNH Mar $77.50 calls that I'd been sitting on for many weeks and sold them for a $0.30 net when I saw UNH had spiked > $76 up this morning.

I was thinking of putting on a bear spread on EBAY, which jumped up today - it hasn't been able to put in much time over $57 in the last year...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2014-02-24_ebay.png Size: 67 KB
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #3,066
  • Feb 24, 2014 1:54pm Feb 24, 2014 1:54pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote} I was thinking of putting on a bear spread on EBAY, which jumped up today - it hasn't been able to put in much time over $57 in the last year... {image}
bought Apr $52.50 puts for $0.72, looking for a turndown to either sell for quick gain or sell Mar $50 puts
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #3,067
  • Feb 24, 2014 6:23pm Feb 24, 2014 6:23pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote} bought Apr $52.50 puts for $0.72, looking for a turndown to either sell for quick gain or sell Mar $50 puts
Also did to ORCL what I did to EBAY today, details later...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #3,068
  • Feb 25, 2014 6:29am Feb 25, 2014 6:29am
Quoting njr
{quote} Hey TF - Some other potential earnings to look at: Tuesday Macy's, Boston Beer, Chicago Bridge, Dreamworks Animation, Solar Capital, Sanderson Farms, Sempra Energy,American Tower, Bank of Montreal, Domino's Pizza, Expeditors International, Weatherford International Wednesday Target, J.C....

I've gone through the list and shortlisted what stocks I will be looking at:

MNST
DECK
CRM
DDD

At open, I'll see what the daily IV looks like and potentially sell the deep OTM CALLs.
  • #3,069
  • Feb 25, 2014 1:21pm Feb 25, 2014 1:21pm
Quoting njr
{quote} I've gone through the list and shortlisted what stocks I will be looking at: MNST DECK CRM DDD At open, I'll see what the daily IV looks like and potentially sell the deep OTM CALLs.
I might be selling TSLA puts - it's gone vertical....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #3,070
  • Feb 25, 2014 1:30pm Feb 25, 2014 1:30pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote} I might be selling TSLA puts - it's gone vertical....
Hey TF - I've been out for a bit and just got back home. Wow, it has certainly gone ballistic and I think you have a great trade idea!!!! I think I will do the same - probably looking to sell the Feb 28 290 CALLs....Nice pick TF
  • #3,071
  • Feb 25, 2014 1:36pm Feb 25, 2014 1:36pm
Quoting njr
{quote} Hey TF - I've been out for a bit and just got back home. Wow, it has certainly gone ballistic and I think you have a great trade idea!!!! I think I will do the same - probably looking to sell the Feb 28 290 CALLs....Nice pick TF
TF - you are the man!!!!

My position:

SOLD TSLA Feb28'14 290 CALL (TSLA) @AMEX @ 0.25

Did you get into the trade?
  • #3,072
  • Feb 25, 2014 2:13pm Feb 25, 2014 2:13pm
Quoting njr
{quote} TF - you are the man!!!! My position: SOLD TSLA Feb28'14 290 CALL (TSLA) @AMEX @ 0.25 Did you get into the trade?
I think TF was willing to SELL PUTS ...
  • #3,073
  • Feb 25, 2014 2:24pm Feb 25, 2014 2:24pm
Quoting brokerr
{quote} I think TF was willing to SELL PUTS ...
selling calls way up there looks good, too, especially with 4 dte.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #3,074
  • Feb 25, 2014 2:52pm Feb 25, 2014 2:52pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote} selling calls way up there looks good, too, especially with 4 dte.
Yes, I sold the CALLs but I also looked at selling the PUTs to create a short strangle. Unfortunately the PUTs are a little to expensive for my margin so I will stick with the CALLs for the moment.

Looking at the intraday price for the 290 CALLs, it seems they peaked around 0.7 and I sold them for 0.25 - I shouldn't have left the house today!!!
  • #3,075
  • Feb 25, 2014 2:54pm Feb 25, 2014 2:54pm
Quoting njr
{quote} TF - you are the man!!!! My position: SOLD TSLA Feb28'14 290 CALL (TSLA) @AMEX @ 0.25 Did you get into the trade?
gl, njr - no, I can't sell naked to any great effect in the accounts I have, so I have to look at credit spreads - might do one on TSLA, probly not, though, best deal I could swing for 2/28 was about $0.15, not bad, but I can maybe do a little better elsewhere.

Good luck, though. I learned my lesson about putting any short action on TSLA the hard way in 2013....first started trading options on it when it was at $35....!....just a year ago. I might still watch the puts against a hard pullback...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #3,076
  • Feb 25, 2014 7:36pm Feb 25, 2014 7:36pm
looking at HAL, looks set for a fall, will consider Apr $50/$60 long strangle, shoot the $50 puts Wed if Hal will pop higher.

Also watching the ^TNX and TLT/TBT. TLT finished today at $107.50, I'll be looking for long puts if we can get a dollar higher.....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #3,077
  • Feb 25, 2014 7:41pm Feb 25, 2014 7:41pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote} selling calls way up there looks good, too, especially with 4 dte.
I had a thought. (I know, right?)

Maybe a better way to play earnings spikes is to sell the dotm puts/calls AFTER the ER spike is in. Get a spike up, say, then look for nearest expiry dotm calls to sell after they have benefitted from the move up - which is, let us hope (and often it seems the way it plays out) an exhaustive move.

Example: FSLR, which has dropped 13%+ AH, will now be a ripe candidate for 2/28 put selling. More later...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #3,078
  • Feb 25, 2014 9:41pm Feb 25, 2014 9:41pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote} sell the dotm puts/calls AFTER the ER spike is in...
http://www.zacks.com/commentary/2228...-post-earnings
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #3,079
  • Feb 25, 2014 10:21pm Feb 25, 2014 10:21pm
Quoting The Fool
Also watching the ^TNX and TLT/TBT. TLT finished today at $107.50, I'll be looking for long puts if we can get a dollar higher.....
so if we are heading for a bond rout same as most of 2013 and bull market in equities as well, will gold fall back and resume its journey toward $1,000? I've been watching for DUST to dip below $20 and it was almost to $19.00 yesterday. June $40 calls are $0.90
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2014-02-25_dust.png Size: 54 KB
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #3,080
  • Edited 10:44pm Feb 25, 2014 10:30pm | Edited 10:44pm
(If anyone has clues about the weakest pm miner stock - who would lose the most the quickest in a gold turnaround - please post.)

ABX not been able to hold above $21 since the 2013 Spring gold beatdown. Mar $19 puts are $0.13, Apr $18p $0.18...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2014-02-25_ABX.png Size: 59 KB
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
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