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AUD/USD

  • #72,621
  • Feb 13, 2014 5:49pm Feb 13, 2014 5:49pm
Quoting whackdiddy
{quote} oh man.. comments like that make my mind go like this. 1. AUD is going into uptrend 2. Oh good luck, thanks 3. Hmm, could it go into an uptrend 4. oh crap it might go up - should I close and enter long 5. arrghh

IMO I think we might see 9050 9070 before days end. Might see 9150 some time early next week. Need to break this current area of resistance at 8980 8990 and some good China data for this to happen. The downside follow on from yesterday's report was poor. It failed to break 8930 and left a HL in place on the 1H. Good Luck
  • #72,622
  • Feb 13, 2014 5:52pm Feb 13, 2014 5:52pm
I am short @ .89894 as of this morning, missed the big dip two hours ago as was feeling greedy.
A genius is born every minute, me I am lucky if my socks match.
  • #72,623
  • Feb 13, 2014 6:05pm Feb 13, 2014 6:05pm
Quoting feather
{quote} IMO I think we might see 9050 9070 before days end. Might see 9150 some time early next week. Need to break this current area of resistance at 8980 8990 and some good China data for this to happen. The downside follow on from yesterday's report was poor. It failed to break 8930 and left a HL in place on the 1H. Good Luck
Yes, this pair is resilient despite of the bad employment data. I would not short this in this environment, IMHO. I'm still on the side line.
May the Probability be with you!
  • #72,624
  • Feb 13, 2014 6:18pm Feb 13, 2014 6:18pm
Stops in AUD now mounting up above .9010-20
  • #72,625
  • Edited 6:36pm Feb 13, 2014 6:20pm | Edited 6:36pm
I shorted again at 99 there. This move looks like a head fake to me. All right, you guys got me, BE stop. Sidelined until number now. No more funny stuff. Someone must know something about the number we don't? Anyway, I still think this looks stoppish and reversal likely but so close to the # which is prone to leakage best be sidelined.
  • #72,626
  • Feb 13, 2014 6:23pm Feb 13, 2014 6:23pm
Quoting Trademunity
{quote} Yes, this pair is resilient despite of the bad employment data. I would not short this in this environment, IMHO. I'm still on the side line.
Agree. Stay sideline and neutral until a clearer direction. The charts are rather mixed. Dailies are up while H4 looks rather toppish. Perhaps China data later will provide a clearer direction.
The true fact is market doesn't care, risk mgt is important.
  • #72,627
  • Feb 13, 2014 6:36pm Feb 13, 2014 6:36pm
Quoting Ssm
{quote} Agree. Stay sideline and neutral until a clearer direction. The charts are rather mixed. Dailies are up while H4 looks rather toppish. Perhaps China data later will provide a clearer direction.
Again, round number .9 served as a resistance as we speak.
The true fact is market doesn't care, risk mgt is important.
  • #72,628
  • Feb 13, 2014 7:31pm Feb 13, 2014 7:31pm
SHORT at 20
  • #72,629
  • Feb 13, 2014 7:33pm Feb 13, 2014 7:33pm
Quoting eurusd_trade
SHORT at 20
Good news for AUD.
  • #72,630
  • Feb 13, 2014 7:41pm Feb 13, 2014 7:41pm
Quoting 2301041124
{quote} Good news for AUD.
I realize that. I just question who in the world is in the AUD with all the focus on GU and EU. It's no surprise the rally before because CNY data is always leaked.
  • #72,631
  • Feb 13, 2014 7:42pm Feb 13, 2014 7:42pm
Quoting 2301041124
{quote} Good news for AUD.
Hello
sorry how and why the cpi chinese may influence the audusd?
  • #72,632
  • Feb 13, 2014 7:45pm Feb 13, 2014 7:45pm
nothing is trending. crappy markets for fx since january
Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #72,633
  • Feb 13, 2014 7:46pm Feb 13, 2014 7:46pm
Quoting 81raffae
{quote} Hello sorry how and why the cpi chinese may influence the audusd?
Cos China is the biggest export county for AUD.
  • #72,634
  • Feb 13, 2014 7:50pm Feb 13, 2014 7:50pm
i have a small short on aussie. hope to grab some pips on its retrace before another bull launch
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #72,635
  • Feb 13, 2014 7:55pm Feb 13, 2014 7:55pm
Quoting eurusd_trade
{quote} I realize that. I just question who in the world is in the AUD with all the focus on GU and EU. It's no surprise the rally before because CNY data is always leaked.
I'm out on a very fast TF pivot for +18 at 02. and it's way too slow for anything else. good luck guys.
If you're more patient you can try for the hourly pivot at around 8985 which should be supported but that has greater risk.
  • #72,636
  • Feb 13, 2014 7:57pm Feb 13, 2014 7:57pm
Quoting 81raffae
{quote} Hello sorry how and why the cpi chinese may influence the audusd?
In simple layman terms, the Chinese buy raw materials from Australia. The better the Chinese market, the more raw materials they buy. The more they buy, the higher the demand for Aussie currency. Likewise, if Chinese market down, Aussie currency goes down.
The true fact is market doesn't care, risk mgt is important.
  • #72,637
  • Feb 13, 2014 7:58pm Feb 13, 2014 7:58pm
I am holding a short @ 0.8984 and it will give me a +pips......hopefully.
  • #72,638
  • Feb 13, 2014 7:58pm Feb 13, 2014 7:58pm
i guess cpi was leaked. bastards.
Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #72,639
  • Edited 8:10pm Feb 13, 2014 7:59pm | Edited 8:10pm
Quoting a16908
I am holding a @ 0.8984 and it will give me a +pips......hopefully.
ouch good luck with that, that might be tough(er) because it will be defended at the intraday hourly pivot and obviously resistance at 9025 which can break too (maybe unlikely)
that's why i did it at 9020, because they just closed the gap from yesterday so there's going to be resistance there the first time around
i also noticed the tick pace was very slow
and i was quick to exit shorts before because of the leaked cpi rationale
and as you can see even the 5m pivot is getting defended, glad i took it. often times the distance from a trade to a pivot isn't more than 20 ticks, so taking it there isn't a bad thing as long as you're not risking more than that. here i was risking a break of yesterday's gap at 25.
if you really had a core view, you could always reenter at a better rate but here it's too slow for me now and RR is poor at 1x vs 2x
  • #72,640
  • Feb 13, 2014 8:08pm Feb 13, 2014 8:08pm
Quoting eurusd_trade
{quote} ouch good luck with that, that might be tough(er) because it will be defended at the intraday hourly pivot and obviously resistance at 9025 which can break too (maybe unlikely) that's why i did it at 9020, because they just closed the gap from yesterday so there's going to be resistance there the first time around i also noticed the tick pace was very slow and i was quick to exit shorts before because of the leaked cpi rationale
Hoping to close short @0.89843 in profit before any other action.:nerd:
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