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AUD/USD

  • #72,421
  • Feb 7, 2014 7:58am Feb 7, 2014 7:58am
Quoting Bluescalper
{quote} -25 end result
My next plan is to short below 0.8976 if it comes
  • #72,422
  • Feb 7, 2014 8:03am Feb 7, 2014 8:03am
Quoting Bluescalper
{quote} My next plan is to short below 0.8976 if it comes
my Plan was short at 8976 though shorted at 8985 with sl 0.9004 end of the week for me if this holds.. ( support 0.8976 )
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #72,423
  • Feb 7, 2014 8:13am Feb 7, 2014 8:13am
Quoting gnomoneey
{quote}
http://www.mql5.com/en/charts/142160...al-markets-pty
Wooooohooooo or Boooooohooooo
  • #72,424
  • Feb 7, 2014 8:31am Feb 7, 2014 8:31am
Quoting Bluescalper
{quote} my Plan was short at 8976 though shorted at 8985 with sl 0.9004 end of the week for me if this holds.. ( support 0.8976 ) {image}
closed some at +30 pips
  • #72,425
  • Feb 7, 2014 8:50am Feb 7, 2014 8:50am
Quoting Bluescalper
{quote} closed some at +30 pips
That's the last update for this NFP/FRIDAY will see how it goes i have half position open
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #72,426
  • Feb 7, 2014 9:01am Feb 7, 2014 9:01am
Quoting Bluescalper
{quote} That's the last update for this NFP/FRIDAY will see how it goes i have half position open {image}

""""""""""""""""""""""'
Most likely lower it goes
  • #72,427
  • Feb 7, 2014 1:06pm Feb 7, 2014 1:06pm
After the NFP report the market sentiment seems to be risk-on. I'm staying on the long side of this pair for now.
May the Probability be with you!
  • #72,428
  • Feb 7, 2014 1:30pm Feb 7, 2014 1:30pm
at the moment 90xx still looks more at risk
a bunch of people still want 88xx and while "it's the right thing" given E and G market participants do what they want
for me as long as we are firmly above 8950 there's no business running any shorts
this UJ wave needs to complete possibly into the high 102s low 103s (may dip below 102 first) before any focus returns to AU (next Wednesday is AUD unemployment which is when we'll have a resolution)
until then we're probably boxed into 89xx while they finish sqzing EJ and GJ and even AJ to some extent (which is why AU is supported)
  • #72,429
  • Feb 7, 2014 2:03pm Feb 7, 2014 2:03pm
Quoting yanitsa
{quote} """"""""""""""""""""""' Most likely lower it goes
I think there will be some retracement taking out 0.8911/0.8890 . However, i think this will be retracement not start of a downtrend in any case currently i am still holding half of my position for short and going into weekend.
  • #72,430
  • Edited 2:51pm Feb 7, 2014 2:37pm | Edited 2:51pm
Quoting Bluescalper
{quote} I think there will be some retracement taking out 0.8911/0.8890 . However, i think this will be retracement not start of a downtrend in any case currently i am still holding half of my position for short and going into weekend.
gl , hope you have wide stops
just a warning, if you forget about level retest dogma for a minute
i haven't seen anyone here write that they actually think the market would be in a downtrend if it goes back to 88xx
so why go down there at all? why not just go straight up
everyone says i want to buy a dip or short for a retracement
i know there are a few traders who have core longs from good levels but other than that
all the weak players seem to want to sell

now, personally, i'm not going to take a position but i'm just pointing out the facts
anyway, no use guessing, watch the 8950 pivot
  • #72,431
  • Feb 7, 2014 3:04pm Feb 7, 2014 3:04pm
Quoting eurusd_trade
{quote} gl , hope you have wide stops just a warning, if you forget about level retest dogma for a minute i haven't seen anyone here write that they actually think the market would be in a downtrend if it goes back to 88xx so why go down there at all? why not just go straight up everyone says i want to buy a dip or short for a retracement i know there are a few traders who have core longs from good levels but other than that all the weak players seem to want to sell now, personally, i'm not going to take a position but i'm just pointing out the...
Hi,
actually my stop is at 0.89986 short from 0.89817 . It's the half of the position i am holding i am ok with it
  • #72,432
  • Feb 7, 2014 4:30pm Feb 7, 2014 4:30pm
since bottoming out on jan 23, 2014
the trend has been higher highs and higher lows...
imo we are in uptrend going for resistance of 0.9084(jan 13, 2014 ) and 0.9165 (dec 10, 2013)

http://www.mql5.com/en/charts/142364...al-markets-pty
Wooooohooooo or Boooooohooooo
  • #72,433
  • Feb 8, 2014 1:31pm Feb 8, 2014 1:31pm
I am waiting if market opens below the Friday close. It will be bearish signal on first. but watch out as we still making highs of highs on weekly and monthly.
Attached Image
  • #72,434
  • Feb 9, 2014 11:16am Feb 9, 2014 11:16am
AUDUSD, for last week price coming back above the level of support which is now a resistance. Price could not sustain the break and given us a fake breakout. Bearish push is expected on this pair. This pair should go weak before we see some strength.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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http://www.gripforex.com/topic/weekl...trading/page/3
  • #72,435
  • Feb 10, 2014 1:39am Feb 10, 2014 1:39am
Quoting Bluescalper
{quote} I think there will be some retracement taking out 0.8911/0.8890 . However, i think this will be retracement not start of a downtrend in any case currently i am still holding half of my position for short and going into weekend.

well the short has worked very well about to break the first target of 0.8911
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #72,436
  • Feb 10, 2014 2:48am Feb 10, 2014 2:48am
AUDUSD Trade Setup & Forecast for the week 10th Feb, 2014


Weekly Chart

http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-mfDZJbRLmM...2-10_10-14.jpg


Daily Chart

http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-bDeI3XeoIi...2-10_10-14.jpg



Hourly Chart


http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-Wh6FX50ZYM...2-10_10-14.jpg


The completion of the Cypher pattern which I identified around 2 wks ago, is near to completion. Stochastic on Daily is in overbought territory and as you can see a very high reading

**CORRECTION** - My fibs not drawn correctly therefore cypher is actually completed on Friday,.

Outlook Trade opportunity

[highlight=yellow; white-spacere-wrap]Cypher Pattern[/highlight]
Only the strong survives!
  • #72,437
  • Feb 10, 2014 3:11am Feb 10, 2014 3:11am
Just found out about this.

More doom and gloom for the Australian economy as Toyota are due to cease production there.

Tokyo - Toyota said Monday it would stop making cars in Australia in a move that would leave the country with no auto manufacturing, despite appeals by Prime Minister Tony Abbott.

The Japanese auto giant, the world’s biggest vehicle maker, said production of vehicles and engines would stop at the end of 2017, throwing into doubt 3,900 jobs at its Altona plant in a Melbourne suburb and another 150 jobs at a separate design facility.
  • #72,438
  • Feb 10, 2014 3:32am Feb 10, 2014 3:32am
Quoting Siam
Just found out about this. More doom and gloom for the Australian economy as Toyota are due to cease production there. Tokyo - Toyota said Monday it would stop making cars in Australia in a move that would leave the country with no auto manufacturing, despite appeals by Prime Minister Tony Abbott. The Japanese auto giant, the world’s biggest vehicle maker, said production of vehicles and engines would stop at the end of 2017, throwing into doubt 3,900 jobs at its Altona plant in a Melbourne suburb and another 150 jobs at a separate design facility....
You would think that tomorrow's news would be very bearish for the AUD, but this impact may be felt further down the track and business confidence may be positive. This news is disastrous when you consider all the associated companies and also SPC - the death of Shepparton.
  • #72,439
  • Feb 10, 2014 6:11am Feb 10, 2014 6:11am
Long from 8780 SL BE

current price at 89.28 cents

Pair has been printing HL's since Jan 24th.

Bounce from here will confirm Medium term bull...

Macd Bullish divergence on weekly expecting week to close above 9000 and and probably take out January High.

close below 8850 and I'll probably close long position.
  • #72,440
  • Feb 10, 2014 11:01am Feb 10, 2014 11:01am
Short from .8942. Looking to play a small pull back and continuance of the longer term trend on the daily chart.
“The chicken is only an egg’s way for making another egg.” R. Dawkins
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