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  • #1,981
  • Dec 3, 2013 3:50pm Dec 3, 2013 3:50pm
cecil was sure right about the upward move. geez.
  • #1,982
  • Dec 3, 2013 4:18pm Dec 3, 2013 4:18pm
Quoting pipple
cecil was sure right about the upward move. geez.
you gotta really be nimble to trade that black stuff
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #1,983
  • Dec 3, 2013 4:27pm Dec 3, 2013 4:27pm
Has anyone done any research on this topic by chance? I'm interested to know if the 15 mins after 4 when /ES closes is at all important for determining the next day's direction.
Twitter: @zusch_ -- Preselecting trending pairs, stocks on a weekly basis.
  • #1,984
  • Dec 3, 2013 4:30pm Dec 3, 2013 4:30pm
Quoting zusch
Has anyone done any research on this topic by chance? I'm interested to know if the 15 mins after 4 when /ES closes is at all important for determining the next day's direction.
ich weiss nicht
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #1,985
  • Dec 3, 2013 4:42pm Dec 3, 2013 4:42pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote} ich weiss nicht
god bless you
  • #1,986
  • Edited 8:41pm Dec 3, 2013 5:51pm | Edited 8:41pm
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} Any close below 1787 I'll be shorting on the S&P even before the data is released we're at 1792 today, as stated earlier the $ looking too weak. Just a waiting game for now
A 5% drop in the S&P would take it back below 1,700. I could see that happening by the end of the year if we get something disruptive out of the FOMC on 12/18. SDS returns inverse 300% the S&P moves so a 15% move in SDS would take it to near $36.5. SDS closed today at $31.73.

Long Jan 18 $37 calls @ $0.22, would watch and sell nearer otm weekly calls, spreading to reduce the debit

...I'm already in this trade basically via SSO, SDS's bull cousin, but in the hole on it...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #1,987
  • Dec 3, 2013 6:10pm Dec 3, 2013 6:10pm
I just bought back the 100s at a small profit.....and to think I thought they'd be expiring worthless. they still probably will.
only in 91.50 puts now.....everything else is flat but beans.
tomorrow another day.
  • #1,988
  • Dec 3, 2013 8:55pm Dec 3, 2013 8:55pm
Quoting The Fool
I am still in the HPQ 22p/28c Dec 21 strangle from last week. Had a few chances to sell the call leg for near be on the whole strangle, but kept thinking it looked like it would break out and get to a new year's high (>$27.78). Did that this morning and promptly got sold back down to $27.40. I shoulda sold the calls the first time I got to be and been done with it....
HPQ finishes AH @ $27.95. With just a drip of luck it will bid beyond my $28c strike early Wednesday, proving I am a genius. Clock ticking though, scalp trade supposed to be done in a day has dragged into a week. Need to sell the calls and move on....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #1,989
  • Dec 4, 2013 12:50am Dec 4, 2013 12:50am
http://finance.yahoo.com/video/muni-...190900198.html

http://www.thestreet.com/story/12135...o&cm_ven=YAHOO

Detroit. Bond market all over it. Treasuries to suffer? Time to short TLT? Jan $98p @ $0.37....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #1,990
  • Dec 4, 2013 1:07am Dec 4, 2013 1:07am
Dec 21 $12/$16 strangle on PBR is $0.11, $17/$12 for Jan18 is $0.24.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2013-12-04_pbr.png Size: 133 KB
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #1,991
  • Dec 4, 2013 7:43am Dec 4, 2013 7:43am
Quoting Cecil Gee
May have to take some positions sooner than I thought, considering longing puts on SPY and FB (s&p) and Facebook, there also a few others SPY is trading at 179.41 and facebook is trading at $46.42 SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) -NYSEArca 179.41 {image} 1.12(0.62%) 18:39 - Nasdaq Real Time Price Facebook, Inc. (FB) -NasdaqGS 46.43 {image} 0.63(1.34%) 18:43 - Nasdaq Real Time Price
still not in yet
  • #1,992
  • Dec 4, 2013 8:29am Dec 4, 2013 8:29am
Today's closes on indexes are so important, lower closes could mean an accelerated fall before NFP is due out
  • #1,993
  • Dec 4, 2013 9:22am Dec 4, 2013 9:22am
Quoting Cecil Gee
Today's closes on indexes are so important, lower closes could mean an accelerated fall before NFP is due out
I agree.
shit sure is volatile.
im considering eminis
but a huge part of me is considering waiting. after the market tricks me up a touch I find it most therapeutic to choose to do nothing.
I will find that hard with crude exp only 9 days away and the thought of easy money might trick me.....but since I have naked puts sold I will at least write the calls deep otm and try to get some money that way
I had on a lot of positions there.....thank god for the puts and the new puts......and thank god for fear,.....cause that coulda been baaaaaad
humble....aggressive
  • #1,994
  • Edited 9:37am Dec 4, 2013 9:23am | Edited 9:37am
Quoting The Fool
{quote} HPQ finishes AH @ $27.95. With just a drip of luck it will bid beyond my $28c strike early Wednesday, proving I am a genius. Clock ticking though, scalp trade supposed to be done in a day has dragged into a week. Need to sell the calls and move on....
HPQ >$28.50, sold the calls for $1.00, puts worthless, (strangle bought for $0.52 sold for $1.00).....looking for my next fix...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #1,995
  • Dec 4, 2013 9:34am Dec 4, 2013 9:34am
Quoting pipple
{quote} I agree. shit sure is volatile. im considering eminis but a huge part of me is considering waiting. after the market tricks me up a touch I find it most therapeutic to choose to do nothing. I will find that hard with crude exp only 9 days away and the thought of easy money might trick me.....but since I have naked puts sold I will at least write the calls deep otm and try to get some money that way I had on a lot of positions there.....thank god for the puts and the new puts......and thank god for fear,.....cause that coulda been baaaaaad...
indexes are just not ready, bounced again. waiting waiting and more waiting
  • #1,996
  • Dec 4, 2013 9:36am Dec 4, 2013 9:36am
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} indexes are just not ready, bounced again. waiting waiting and more waiting
lol this has been a common predicament for short interest lo these many years. Keep your powder dry, though, shortie's days are coming...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #1,997
  • Dec 4, 2013 9:37am Dec 4, 2013 9:37am
Quoting Cecil Gee
I have LVS earmarked this week for a December 21 expiration trade as for weeklys with this being a new month I tend to wait a couple of days to finalise the new trading levels
missed it, LVS popped big time
  • #1,998
  • Dec 4, 2013 9:51am Dec 4, 2013 9:51am
trying to milk the last juice out of my TSLA spread. I have 12/13 short $106 puts against 12/21 $100p long. Trying to buy back $106p for $0.08, sold for $0.60....need the junkies to buy a few million shares. Then would sell 12/13 $119p for $0.30-$0.40. If that held it would put me ahead about $0.75 in the whole process, + whatever is left in the $100p after 12/13. Missed my best profit chance probably last week when TSLA dipped to $116, but I'm not complaining....

....did it, bought back 12/13 $106p for $0.08, now watching for the last short put leg...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #1,999
  • Dec 4, 2013 10:17am Dec 4, 2013 10:17am
re-strangling the 91.50 put with a 100.50 call pretty cheap....not heavy volume....around $150 each while the puts are worth $130 each.
gotta be careful....market giveth market taketh away
  • #2,000
  • Dec 4, 2013 10:47am Dec 4, 2013 10:47am
Quoting Cecil Gee
May have to take some positions sooner than I thought, considering longing puts on SPY and FB (s&p) and Facebook, there also a few others SPY is trading at 179.41 and facebook is trading at $46.42 SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) -NYSEArca 179.41 {image} 1.12(0.62%) 18:39 - Nasdaq Real Time Price Facebook, Inc. (FB) -NasdaqGS 46.43 {image} 0.63(1.34%) 18:43 - Nasdaq Real Time Price
instead of longing puts I've opened a position of long $49 call on Facebook FB for Fridays expiration at 20c or 20$ per contract, this is because of a bounce and that we may enter a xmas rally. Facebook was trading around $47.69 when I got the option now its at $47.94

FB Dec 2013 49.000 call (FB131206C00049000)
-OPR
0.20 http://l.yimg.com/a/i/us/fi/03rd/up_g.gif 0.06(42.86%) 16:22



Facebook, Inc. (FB)
-NasdaqGS

47.93 http://l.yimg.com/a/i/us/fi/03rd/up_g.gif 1.20(2.57%) 4:46PM GMT - Nasdaq Real Time Price
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