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AUD/USD

  • #70,121
  • Dec 2, 2013 3:32am Dec 2, 2013 3:32am
AUD can expect 0.96 above high, but it won't be a easy way.
  • #70,122
  • Dec 2, 2013 3:41am Dec 2, 2013 3:41am
Quoting zew
AUD can expect 0.96 above high, but it won't be a easy way.
http://www.freesmileys.org/smileys/s...onfused013.gif
  • #70,123
  • Dec 2, 2013 4:03am Dec 2, 2013 4:03am
the wave is getting bigger in this downward channel, people will hope for bigger retracement.
maybe 0.92-0.93 is good enough before further action.
  • #70,124
  • Dec 2, 2013 4:10am Dec 2, 2013 4:10am
Quoting 2+2=4ex
{quote} {image}
如果12月不能缩减qe（很高概率，几乎肯定），但是惯例12月底是中国银行大规模释放流动性，会推动澳币上扬，而在qe真实缩减之前，一定会再次将aud等商品货币推到一个不合理的高位。
  • #70,125
  • Dec 2, 2013 4:15am Dec 2, 2013 4:15am
already selln wt a small stop. funny game
  • #70,126
  • Dec 2, 2013 5:15am Dec 2, 2013 5:15am
Quoting Avir
Today's S/R levels on MT4 templates EURO CABLE AUDUSD http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...86#post7126886
Added More:

Today's S/R levels on MT4 Templates

EURO
CABLE
AUDUSD
EURJPY
GOLD
S&P 500

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...86#post7126886
FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #70,127
  • Dec 2, 2013 5:51am Dec 2, 2013 5:51am
Quoting k3nshinz3139
{quote} Please check the date and the words... I know my English is poor, but I did not mention any short so far today... Add on : 2014 Target 0.77<< 2014... .91 short short.. another diving to go.. (already go dived.. .905x) and today latest is 915 is taken out.. Buy dip now.. Target .93 << Long for weekly SL entry point... which is 913... 913 is become support now.. Let see the PA in London can break below or above.. Very obvious is long.. Daily RSI point up.. Daily just exit the oversold situation.. Daily 20 EMA at .92 area.. << Long If tomorrow...
1 stop.

1 waiting 4H close below .913 for manual stop..

1 waiting TP at .92 and to .93 for weekly.
  • #70,128
  • Dec 2, 2013 6:59am Dec 2, 2013 6:59am
Ozzie may go to 0.9240 for this retracement. There will be no rate adjustment tomorrow so that will be the excuse to take it to the target........
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audusdh4.png Size: 45 KB
Money Makes Money
  • #70,129
  • Dec 2, 2013 8:34am Dec 2, 2013 8:34am
0,9240 in a dream or what?
  • #70,130
  • Dec 2, 2013 8:39am Dec 2, 2013 8:39am
Quoting mladen111
0,9240 in a dream or what?
Let's see what Ben has to say today, his comments usually take the USD down...
  • #70,131
  • Dec 2, 2013 10:55am Dec 2, 2013 10:55am
I'd be surprised if the RBA drops the rate below 2.5 today. If that turns out to be the case, then this government is incompetent and all bets are off.
  • #70,132
  • Dec 2, 2013 4:03pm Dec 2, 2013 4:03pm
I think it should go UP
Attached Image
  • #70,133
  • Dec 2, 2013 5:03pm Dec 2, 2013 5:03pm
A Lot of forces here at work................larger TF's are mixed moving against each other................It is a gamble right now.............
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #70,134
  • Dec 2, 2013 6:22pm Dec 2, 2013 6:22pm
Quoting 2+2=4ex
{quote} Many market movers are not speculating for profit. They are hedging their exposure or simply converting currency. Those market movers that are speculating for profit have staff with experience and access to information that most individual traders-from-home don't have. They do speculate and take on risk. Some of them lose big too. I wrote about news releases and their market reactions recently on this available to the general public (aka insider info). That will never change. They are a natural and small part of the market (as a whole)....
Thanks for you answer. I am still feeling that one way or the other is more gambling than a science...but i have not quit...yet
  • #70,135
  • Dec 2, 2013 6:35pm Dec 2, 2013 6:35pm
Quoting k3nshinz3139
{quote} 1 stop. 1 waiting 4H close below .913 for manual stop.. 1 waiting TP at .92 and to .93 for weekly.
Left 1 long from .908...
1 waiting TP at .92 and to .93 for weekly (depend on RBA news....) SL 905...
  • #70,136
  • Dec 2, 2013 6:52pm Dec 2, 2013 6:52pm
Quoting TheTopBloke
I'd be surprised if the RBA drops the rate below 2.5 today. If that turns out to be the case, then this government is incompetent and all bets are off.
I'll be surprised too.
Most probably another round of "rate to stay for another extended period of time".

RBA economy is recovering, house price is strong, activities picking up and hiring prospects now better.
Further rate cut would spur asset/property bubbling

Good luck AUD Long-ers!
  • #70,137
  • Dec 2, 2013 8:36pm Dec 2, 2013 8:36pm
just in case, put stop order for surprise. it would be a panic mode if it does.
  • #70,138
  • Dec 2, 2013 8:41pm Dec 2, 2013 8:41pm
The RBA, i would keep a mostly bearish view here, rate cut or not, audusd is going in south direction.

As a rate hold is priced in now, i can hardly see any upside surprise.
On the other side, the absence of any upside surprise may lead the market to new lows.
If there is going to be a rate cut, we may welcome 0.8850 pretty quickly.

Of the 3 hypothesis, i do favour the second one (rate hold, downtrend to continue anyway).

But we never know
  • #70,139
  • Dec 2, 2013 8:58pm Dec 2, 2013 8:58pm
A cut or hold or rise? well most Likely a hold. But as spaceduck said "The RBA, i would keep a mostly bearish view here, rate cut or not, audusd is going in south direction".

If you go back and have a look at all the rate decisions it will almost always continue with the trend direction regardless of the result. I have a small short and will look to add if AUD goes up.
  • #70,140
  • Dec 2, 2013 9:05pm Dec 2, 2013 9:05pm
Hi, Can we expect the AUDUSD above 0.9150 today or will it go below 0.9060.
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