Delta Phenemenon Trading

Even though it is several times discussed in FF, there is no regular topic about Delta Phenomenon. Some nice information is exist in this topic: http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=20

I use Timing Solution to solve delta steps and to detect the average point of these steps. My main market to focus is EUR/USD but when i have time i will try to post charts on the pairs of EUR, USD, GBP, CAD and JPY.

I see to have a journal as a disciplined way of study.. I wonder really this metodology works or not.. Of course this is not a trading system but I hope to have a general idea about it.

Let's begin

There are 5 Delta Time Frames that they are originated from the movements of Earth and Moon... Because of lacking long data history i do no use Super Long Time Delta.

Long Term Delta = Markets Repeats Directly or Inversely Every Four Years

It looks that we are somewhere between step 2 and 3, probably step 2....

Medium Time Delta = Markets Repeats Directly or Inversely Every 12 Lunar Months


Late October high was probably the 7th step of MTD and we are looking for 8th step which in average may occur around late days of the March 2014.

Intermediate Time Delta = Markets Repeats Directly or Inversely Every 4 Lunar Months



We may see a bottom of 3th step of ITD around November 30.

When we put all together;

All 3 TF shows a deep for the early 2014. Short set ups can be good based on another Delta TF: Short Term Delta.

Last Delta Time Frame is Short Term Delta where markets repeats directly and inversely every four days.




Note that above chart is based on my time zone (GMT+2)

Before and after the Step 1 there is a special time window opens which is called inversion time window when inversions occurs on the cycle. Tomorrow on my time zone @22:00 FOMC Meeting Minutes will be anounced and it will be within ITW (Inversion Time Window). It will be interesting...

Possible Shorting Timings:
19.11.2013 20:15 (GMT+2)
20.11.2013 08:00 (GMT+2)

Which software you are using ???

Timing Solution
http://www.timingsolution.com/

Very interesting, kind of surprise that my Astrology model and Delta Phenomenon tell the same thing.

Interesting thread. Looking for more info and analysis. Subscribed

I hope they both don't lie at the same time

Thanks. Actually i wanted to tell about Delta Phenemenon but it is not easy to do this for a non native english speaker person. Better to do some lazy work and share Welder's book

http://tr.scribd.com/doc/7124665/Wel...in-All-Markets

EUR/USD - Short Time Delta

We are now within inversion time window... A possible inversion on the cycle may occur until tomorrow 07:00 (GMT+2). In general biggest moves happens within inversion time window. So let's look FOMC meeting minutes that they will cause inversion or not.

Little Update:



Price should go lower until the end of November before a bounce (probably a weak bounce duo to bearish MTD)

Just digged one hour chart astro cycles and plotted 4 Solar Months Cycle (Geocentric Sun - Moon 1/4th harmonic cycle) and reached a new count which looks better then unclear daily chart cycle.

We may see up-downs during asian and early hours of the Euro season. Later hours of the market should bring downmove.. If this scenario works again a negative interest rate mention by Draghi can be the trigger...

Anyway at weekend a hard study is waiting to stabilize charts and counts may be with some stats....

Below is the update of daily picture... I made some search on few delta threads (most of them are old and not active) on the web, got some valuable information from Sixer with pm (http://www.forexfactory.com/sixer) and made some updates on my counts...


LTD = October 27 high can be step 2 (more likely) or we will see new high in mid-December (less likely)
MTD = Will be bearish bias until the step 7 bottom search in which historical average shows mid-January
ITD = Possible bottom at the end of the month


This is alternate ITS (obtained from 1h chart). On average we may see a bottom on November 30.


Intraday outlook... To say something i need to see new week opening and check it if there is an inversion happened or not....

Hi!

There are some free software that could do the same, or most?
thanks

I decided to try something experimental....

1. I selected 4 currencies: EUR, GBP, CAD & JPY
2. Analyzed astronomical cycles originating the delta time frames and their delta counts (LTD = Sun Geo Cycle 1/4th harmonic, MTD = Sun - Moon Geo Cycle 1/12th harmonic, ITD = Sun - Moon cycle 1/4th cycle
3. For everyday extract some weights from this cycles. For example If for EUR/USD LTD has a bullish bias in October 23 then for this day a positive grade given to EUR and same negative grade given to USD... (For ITD 7, For MTD = 7*0.8= 5.6 & For ITD = 5.6*0.8 = 4.48, if such observation made in inversion time window grades are 8,4,3.2 respectively)
4. From these grade for everyday a total grade is calculated for those four currencies above.
5. Finally for every forex pair a daily grade calculated with simple arithmatic.. (e.g. if eur grade 8 and usd grade -3 then EUR/USD = 8--3 = 11 etc...)

So for everyday there is a non arbitrary and mainly mechanic bias is obtained...

Novermber 25 - 29, 2013

Heat Map
Nov 25


Nov 26


Nov 27


Nov 28


Nov 29

November 25, 2013


CAD/JPY looked most bullish and EUR/GBP looks Most bearish...

Will see what will happen:nerd:

Hi.. you mean to plot price correlation with astronomical cycles? I am not sure but may be timing solution demo version has some useful capabilities... need to check

Back in the eighties Mr. Wilder sold his "secret" for an astounding $ 30,000.

Amazing ain't it (:

I use Excel, the astronomy time cycle using Astrodienst Swiss Ephemeris dll (free), but forecasting software, mostly paid software. If you want to find correlation, using Neural Network, there are NeuroXL and Alyuda ForecasterXL, which is free for 1 month trial. :nerd:

Almond, your timing solution looks quite valid. Come to think of it, astronomy has definite cycle too. My plot using astronomy come out with a dove in EU too. My worry is, there are average error up to 1.5%. Acceptable for big trader, but not small trader like me. Its 200 pips error, we retail traders can only tolerate 20 pips error at the most. I have not try another delta time, outside astronomy time. Need more time to understand the concept model.