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High Probability Trade Setups

  • #101
  • Nov 16, 2013 9:26pm Nov 16, 2013 9:26pm
  •  Owl
  • | Joined Dec 2012 | Status: FX Siphoner Of Symphonies | 435 Posts
usd/cad 2 sell trades 30 and 25 pips in profit with 10 lots in....
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One Must Use A Noble Rapier To Pierce The Veil Of Mystery
  • #102
  • Nov 16, 2013 10:03pm Nov 16, 2013 10:03pm
The one I'm probably taking is to short AUD/USD at 0.9398 with a 25pip stop and 50pip TP.
Build good relationships with others.
  • #103
  • Nov 18, 2013 12:46pm Nov 18, 2013 12:46pm
Quoting shellsnail
The one I'm probably taking is to short AUD/USD at 0.9398 with a 25pip stop and 50pip TP.

The same entry point here.....also shorting gold looking for 1257.30..
  • #104
  • Nov 18, 2013 2:46pm Nov 18, 2013 2:46pm
A follow up to post 82. Took a little longer than I anticipated, but euro short finally filled. Looking for a retest of the most recent lows which would be a trade of almost 6:1. Time will tell.
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  • #105
  • Nov 18, 2013 11:33pm Nov 18, 2013 11:33pm
Currently watching eurcad hourly for bo of wedge/triangle.
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #106
  • Nov 18, 2013 11:41pm Nov 18, 2013 11:41pm
Quoting Matts Micro
{quote} ... I am currently looking for a trade with the cadjpy. It is at BO (or reversal) point on the daily chart. {image}
Just a follow up. This is why I trade at these bo levels, its basic but it works.
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As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #107
  • Nov 19, 2013 2:16am Nov 19, 2013 2:16am
Quoting FxSaint
AudUsd.... tell me about your bias & preference on this pair.... I am long @ 0.9300 with SL 0.9265. Support on daily charting with big RN 0.9300. Untested supply at 0.9450-70, double bottom on h1 charting, yeah not so perfect but can be considered for small stop of 35 pips. Risk to Reward is very generous for this attempt. ;-) {image}
Wow, it became hot rod.

;-)
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Risk / Trade Management is the name of the Game
  • #108
  • Nov 19, 2013 2:57am Nov 19, 2013 2:57am
Quoting Matts Micro
Currently watching eurcad hourly for bo of wedge/triangle.
in@ 1.4106 38pips tp,19sl
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #109
  • Nov 19, 2013 3:06am Nov 19, 2013 3:06am
Looking to catch a small temporary bounce back up from the EJ 134.29 area if it drops to there.
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  • #110
  • Nov 19, 2013 10:44am Nov 19, 2013 10:44am
Quoting Matts Micro
{quote} in@ 1.4106 38pips tp,19sl
hit SL. got to revise my TP/SL(perhaps 60:30), is hitting target on my main acc R:R.
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #111
  • Nov 19, 2013 11:30pm Nov 19, 2013 11:30pm
Quoting Matts Micro
Currently watching eurcad hourly for bo of wedge/triangle.
The follow up of yesterdays trade. This is why I call them high probability....
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As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #112
  • Nov 19, 2013 11:44pm Nov 19, 2013 11:44pm
  •  Owl
  • | Joined Dec 2012 | Status: FX Siphoner Of Symphonies | 435 Posts
Quoting FxSaint
{quote} Wow, it became hot rod. ;-) {image} {image}
....That looks more like the nature boy rick flair .....great trade...I know a trader personally

who would've done some heavy pyramiding on that baby....good eyes to spot the high probability

setup/entry...
One Must Use A Noble Rapier To Pierce The Veil Of Mystery
  • #113
  • Nov 20, 2013 12:08am Nov 20, 2013 12:08am
Hi Matt,

it's a mistake to base your risk model on the size of your TP divided by the size of your SL.

A more accurate and repeatable way of trading is to take a series of trades and divide the pips won by the pips lost...

Very few people end up trading SL or TP only..

*in other words your actual risk is the amount of pips lost whilst achieving pips won not the size of your stop loss.
tradewith60
  • #114
  • Nov 20, 2013 12:56am Nov 20, 2013 12:56am
Quoting 60minuteman
Hi Matt, it's a mistake to base your risk model on the size of your TP divided by the size of your SL. A more accurate and repeatable way of trading is to take a series of trades and divide the pips won by the pips lost... Very few people end up trading SL or TP only.. *in other words your actual risk is the amount of pips lost whilst achieving pips won not the size of your stop loss.
Yah thanks you are you are right. It is just a new strategy that I am refining for the Rags to Riches MM. I very rarely open a trade (on my main acc) and keep the original TP and SL (and have a nice little spread sheet telling me pf, averages etc ). On my main account for the same trade on eurcad I made 55pips and was willing to risk 25 (SL). I normally set my profit / loss levels around strong support/resistance. The R2R system is highly leveraged MM so the room for error disappears therefor to find a trade that encompasses a static TP and SL is important.

It's a new way to trade for me but with a bit of work I think I can get it. The set ups here are still Highly Probable but whether they can be counted as 2:1 RR will yet to be seen
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #115
  • Nov 20, 2013 2:34am Nov 20, 2013 2:34am
Hi folks, Is there a specific trading system you following in here?
So sorry for always replying late! But I got 2 Jobs!!
  • #116
  • Nov 20, 2013 2:57am Nov 20, 2013 2:57am
Quoting Muhammad Ezz
Hi folks, Is there a specific trading system you following in here?
No specific system/method discussed here.
MT4/MT5 EAs/Indicators/Alerts coder
  • #117
  • Nov 20, 2013 2:59am Nov 20, 2013 2:59am
Quoting FerruFx
{quote} No specific system/method discussed here.
So everybody basically just share a trade based on their followed method. Awesome
So sorry for always replying late! But I got 2 Jobs!!
  • #118
  • Nov 20, 2013 3:16am Nov 20, 2013 3:16am
Quoting Muhammad Ezz
{quote} So everybody basically just share a trade based on their followed method. Awesome
Hi Muhammad Ezz. Yah that was basically the idea I was aiming for. Also any discussions about an upcoming (or past) trade that people offer and questions about the formula to make it "highly Probable". The more dissections into these types of trades the better understanding for us all.
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #119
  • Nov 20, 2013 3:20am Nov 20, 2013 3:20am
Quoting Matts Micro
{quote} Hi Muhammad Ezz. Yah that was basically the idea I was aiming for. Also any discussions about an upcoming (or past) trade that people offer and questions about the formula to make it "highly Probable". The more dissections into these types of trades the better understanding for us all.

You are right. I wish I wasn't loaded with exams nowadays So, I can watch and learn . Keep the good work bro
So sorry for always replying late! But I got 2 Jobs!!
  • #120
  • Nov 20, 2013 3:29am Nov 20, 2013 3:29am
Wainting for GBPUSD to get of zone that is in since three days (1.6148-1.6059). Look for short position a couple pips above that zone and long position under it. New setups expected after fundamental informations.
EURUSD is still around 1.3500. Key levels to watch are 1.3500, 1.3550 and 1.3450. At 1.3550-60 zone 50% retracement of recent move down (1.3830-1.3290) is located that coinsides with top of channel (bearish flag). 1.3450 coinsides with bottom of this channel. Breaking 1.3500 to the downside will be important and might be the first sign of EURUSD weakness that starts another move down towards 1.3300 and 1.3000.
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