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AUD/USD

  • #69,741
  • Nov 19, 2013 6:07am Nov 19, 2013 6:07am
Ozzie going to plan so far..............
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Money Makes Money
  • #69,742
  • Nov 19, 2013 6:09am Nov 19, 2013 6:09am
Patience buddy, at the end of the day,it will head where it needs to head
  • #69,743
  • Nov 19, 2013 7:37am Nov 19, 2013 7:37am
Quoting Paulenok
lovely pin bar formed on 1H TF and sitting on possible resistance(?) , this may give us some nice run downside will adjust SL and add more short positions depending on PA Trade safe {image} {image}

I am in this too, its massive and crystal clear Only thing is that 0.9400 psych level I could see being an issue.
All posts are my personal opinion
  • #69,744
  • Nov 19, 2013 7:51am Nov 19, 2013 7:51am
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  • #69,745
  • Nov 19, 2013 7:52am Nov 19, 2013 7:52am
This pair has a high probability to make all the way to 0.95 mark. I chose to go long AUD/NZD which presented better risk/reward ratio at the time (80:340pips). I usually set a target of at least 200 pips since I use the weekly and daily chart for my entry set ups.
  • #69,746
  • Nov 19, 2013 7:56am Nov 19, 2013 7:56am
Quoting pinoismo
This pair has a high probability to make all the way to 0.95 mark. I chose to go long AUD/NZD which presented better risk/reward ratio at the time (80:340pips). I usually set a target of at least 200 pips since I use the weekly and daily chart for my entry set ups.

Thats nice so whats your win rate? 30%?
All posts are my personal opinion
  • #69,747
  • Nov 19, 2013 8:18am Nov 19, 2013 8:18am
I suggest a short on AUDUSD
I expect a decent down move.
Happy trading!
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  • #69,748
  • Nov 19, 2013 8:30am Nov 19, 2013 8:30am
I see a lot of is on the short side. Me from 0,94135.
  • #69,749
  • Nov 19, 2013 9:07am Nov 19, 2013 9:07am
Quoting pipcenturion
I suggest a short on AUDUSD I expect a decent down move. Happy trading! {image}
I also want to short, but there is not enough confirmation for me to short right now, and this pair is exactly at resistance/support, the USDX is going down, so it may go a little higher before going down, but I'll definitely keep looking at this pair to short, it looks this scenario can change at any time. Wish you all the best.

FX 35
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  • #69,750
  • Nov 19, 2013 9:55am Nov 19, 2013 9:55am
Not the best time for any entry But, i'm still short @ 0.9415.
  • #69,751
  • Nov 19, 2013 10:23am Nov 19, 2013 10:23am
Quoting sharovegas
Not the best time for any entry But, i'm still short @ 0.9415.

I am waiting a little longer before I go short.
Make sure that the light at the end of the tunnel is not an on coming train
  • #69,752
  • Nov 19, 2013 10:30am Nov 19, 2013 10:30am
Quoting SpartanTrade
{quote} Maybe not, but it sure does mean I have a healthy looking account while most others are looking at levels to short. As for today, classic fake to the south but once it retouched broken daily TL it bounced straight back up now breaking above yesterdays high. I'm glad I added at 0.9380 level I stated earlier. So, who's short? Because if we have a weekly up close I'm almost certain we have bottom locked in
Healthy looking?

Longing from above parity and you're saying it's healthy?

Just imagine if you were shorting how much "healthier" it would be!

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  • #69,753
  • Edited 11:05am Nov 19, 2013 10:50am | Edited 11:05am
Quoting Rtm
{quote} Thats nice so whats your win rate? 30%?
no 0.01%. does that make you happy
The reason I said this pair will revisit .95 because it is bouncing off a strong support at 0.9280 while printing a B. engulfing on the daily and a hammer on the weekly; add to that Yellen dovishness and the releases supporting her view this week. of cource the confirmation to all this will be the case of a weak retail sales.
  • #69,754
  • Nov 19, 2013 11:29am Nov 19, 2013 11:29am
SNAFU...

If we get bad numbers, then apparently it's an assurance that Mr. Chairwoman will be printing. If we get good numbers, is that really bad? At least between now and Christmas, I don't think so. In the confirmation hearings Yellin stated something to the effect of, she knows printing money hurts savers, but in the short term, it's something that must be done. Sounds like a guarantee she'll be printing money. She is to be confirmed this week, and barring the unknown, it looks like there really is no fundamental reason to be short AUDUSD. You never know for certain, but what you do know, you have to work with.
  • #69,755
  • Nov 19, 2013 11:34am Nov 19, 2013 11:34am
Quoting TheTopBloke
SNAFU... If we get bad numbers, then apparently it's an assurance that Mr. Chairwoman will be printing. If we get good numbers, is that really bad? At least between now and Christmas, I don't think so. In the confirmation hearings Yellin stated something to the effect of, she knows printing money hurts savers, but in the short term, it's something that must be done. Sounds like a guarantee she'll be printing money. She is to be confirmed this week, and barring the unknown, it looks like there really is no fundamental reason to be short AUDUSD. You...
Who knows with statements like this???

2013.11.19 19:27:39 FED'S YELLEN MONETARY POLICY LIKELY TO REMAIN HIGHLY ACCOMMODATIVE LONG AFTER ANY RATE HIKE THRESHOLD HAS BEEN REACHED
Make sure that the light at the end of the tunnel is not an on coming train
  • #69,756
  • Nov 19, 2013 11:36am Nov 19, 2013 11:36am
I'm still long with half profits taken. Stop now at .9403
That pin bar after London, and its location would have got a few people short. The fact that price hasn't had a big sell off afterwards says a lot.
FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #69,757
  • Nov 19, 2013 12:20pm Nov 19, 2013 12:20pm
Quoting bogus
I'm still long with half profits taken. Stop now at .9403 That pin bar after London, and its location would have got a few people short. The fact that price hasn't had a big sell off afterwards says a lot.

I got long last night at .9369, luckily my girlfriend called and woke me up near the peek, so sold near the top. Was long again from .9410 but closed, because I am no longer confident of an upside breakout.
  • #69,758
  • Nov 19, 2013 12:36pm Nov 19, 2013 12:36pm
Quoting tony95
{quote} I got long last night at .9369, luckily my girlfriend called and woke me up near the peek, so sold near the top. Was long again from .9410 but closed, because I am no longer confident of an upside breakout.

You owe her dinner.
If I wasn't long , with my stop in place, I'd wait for an entry.
FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #69,759
  • Nov 19, 2013 1:10pm Nov 19, 2013 1:10pm
Quoting tony95
{quote} I got long last night at .9369, luckily my girlfriend called and woke me up near the peek, so sold near the top. Was long again from .9410 but closed, because I am no longer confident of an upside breakout.
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ok, now I am long again.
  • #69,760
  • Edited 3:35pm Nov 19, 2013 3:01pm | Edited 3:35pm
Quoting 2+2=4ex
{quote} Healthy looking? Longing from above parity and you're saying it's healthy? Just imagine if you were shorting how much "healthier" it would be! {image}
I wasn't longing from parity buddy!!! I said my account is very healthy as I bought all dips om 88xx level. I put my money where my mouth is and although you say market doesnt care what my opinion is well my bank account does as i trade my opinions and it extremely healthy
I rode the first wave up a few years ago and will do the same with this move to parity and beyond.
You were probably one of those short a few years back never even contemplating it would break parity!

Are you sure your not short from 89 level praying to yourself and whoever else will listen that your devaluation theory eventuates and you can get out of your short trade with some dignity or your ass in tact for that matter. Your prayers may be answered with a revisit of the 89 area and where I will also be thankful for an opportunity to long again! But I doubt we are going to revisit those sub 90 levels.
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