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AUD/USD

  • #69,281
  • Nov 8, 2013 3:43pm Nov 8, 2013 3:43pm
COT charts for Aussie (1 year of daily candles)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: COT-AUD.png Size: 49 KB
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #69,282
  • Nov 8, 2013 6:34pm Nov 8, 2013 6:34pm
We are at an interesting level on the weekly. Next week should be interesting.
FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #69,283
  • Nov 8, 2013 7:38pm Nov 8, 2013 7:38pm
Chinese CPI y/y in RED but still good.
  • #69,284
  • Nov 8, 2013 8:38pm Nov 8, 2013 8:38pm
Quoting squawk
Anyone watching or trading the AUD-CAD. {image}

hey there, im in the AUDCAD and the AUDNZD
  • #69,285
  • Nov 8, 2013 8:56pm Nov 8, 2013 8:56pm
Chinese CPI and PPI are match expected. But It's hard to say AUD/USD will open high or open low.
  • #69,286
  • Nov 8, 2013 9:01pm Nov 8, 2013 9:01pm
Quoting zew
Chinese CPI and PPI are match expected. But It's hard to say AUD/USD will open high or open low.
Chinese Industrial Production y/y in a couple of hours
  • #69,287
  • Nov 8, 2013 10:32pm Nov 8, 2013 10:32pm
Quoting KiwiOz
{quote} Aud/cad. Not one I trade often, but now you have drawn my attention to it I would not be going long yet. A simple ABC retracement will bring it down to 0.9570. (50% Fib' is at 0.9610)............... {image}

kiwioz...you may be right about the AUDCAD....the inv head and shoulders has failed ....on the 8 hour chart....and abcd retracement takes it down to .9750..which matches up with the .382 retracement from the late aug lows there is also some nice confluence around .9715 to .9690.....so we will have to keep monitoing it
  • #69,288
  • Nov 8, 2013 10:54pm Nov 8, 2013 10:54pm
Take a break guys, it's still Friday lol. No time to really be talking about what it's going to open with Sunday night.
  • #69,289
  • Nov 9, 2013 12:03am Nov 9, 2013 12:03am
Chinese Industrial Production 10.3% Retail Sales 13.3% CPI 3.2% PPI -1.5%
  • #69,290
  • Nov 9, 2013 12:08am Nov 9, 2013 12:08am
Quoting zew
Chinese Industrial Production 10.3% Retail Sales 13.3% CPI 3.2% PPI -1.5%
Overall is good.. Better..
  • #69,291
  • Nov 9, 2013 3:01am Nov 9, 2013 3:01am
Quoting ninner
{quote} kiwioz...you may be right about the AUDCAD....the inv head and shoulders has failed ....on the 8 hour chart....and abcd retracement takes it down to .9750..which matches up with the .382 retracement from the late aug lows there is also some nice confluence around .9715 to .9690.....so we will have to keep monitoing it
Yeah I took the trade from 0.9870 & holding to 0.9570. 4H chart shows a speed bump at around 0.9740.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audcadh4.png Size: 45 KB
Money Makes Money
  • #69,292
  • Nov 9, 2013 4:37pm Nov 9, 2013 4:37pm
Quoting KiwiOz
{quote} Yeah I took the trade from 0.9870 & holding to 0.9570. 4H chart shows a speed bump at around 0.9740. {image}

nice trade so far im still long as i have loose stops.i see some signs on the hourly chart that it may want to at least bounce abit...so we will see how it acts early next week.
cheers
  • #69,293
  • Nov 9, 2013 5:49pm Nov 9, 2013 5:49pm
Call it stop-clearing or anything - I think we see a new low briefly early in the week and this rebounds strongly by about 200 pips from that low and closes the week as a doji.

trade plan: look for longs below current low.
exit and reverse after up move completed.
Build good relationships with others.
  • #69,294
  • Nov 9, 2013 11:08pm Nov 9, 2013 11:08pm
Question for the forum

When the AU dollar finally gets down as the world expects, then after a while, inevitable interest rates will go up in Australia.... what will be the excuse that will not bring the dollar up again when this happens? will it fall so hard that interest rates increases will only bring it up to decent level?
  • #69,295
  • Nov 10, 2013 12:38am Nov 10, 2013 12:38am
AUD/USD

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: nov1013aud.png Size: 103 KB


Rgds
W.W
Howlin' at the Moon on the Roof
  • #69,296
  • Nov 10, 2013 3:20am Nov 10, 2013 3:20am
Food for thought on the Ozzie. There are those calling for sub 0.80s & those for parity & above. At first glance sub 0.80s looks right, until you take a look at the Eur/Aud pair. Whether you trade this pair or not, it would pay to have a good look at it. To my mind Eur/Aud has a fair way down to go yet & if history amounts to anything Eur/Aud will not travel in the same direction as Aud/Usd. So. A completion of this retracement at around 0.9160 may see Ozzie head off to parity before completing the overall down move to the sub 0.80s. Makes sense. markets never move in a straight line. If they did there would be no markets. It's just a matter of being aware of all possibilities.
Money Makes Money
  • #69,297
  • Nov 10, 2013 3:36am Nov 10, 2013 3:36am
Quoting KiwiOz
Food for thought on the Ozzie. There are those calling for sub 0.80s & those for parity & above. At first glance sub 0.80s looks right, until you take a look at the Eur/Aud pair. Whether you trade this pair or not, it would pay to have a good look at it. To my mind Eur/Aud has a fair way down to go yet & if history amounts to anything Eur/Aud will not travel in the same direction as Aud/Usd. So. A completion of this retracement at around 0.9160 may see Ozzie head off to parity before completing the overall down move to the sub 0.80s. Makes sense....
With the same logics E/U probably will see 1.4x
  • #69,298
  • Nov 10, 2013 4:59am Nov 10, 2013 4:59am
Quoting KiwiOz
Food for thought on the Ozzie. There are those calling for sub 0.80s & those for parity & above. At first glance sub 0.80s looks right, until you take a look at the Eur/Aud pair. Whether you trade this pair or not, it would pay to have a good look at it. To my mind Eur/Aud has a fair way down to go yet & if history amounts to anything Eur/Aud will not travel in the same direction as Aud/Usd. So. A completion of this retracement at around 0.9160 may see Ozzie head off to parity before completing the overall down move to the sub 0.80s. Makes sense....
Great observation KiwiOz. I'm not too confident we will see parity though. Maybe 9915, but one never knows. It's also possible that another symmetrical triangle consolidation is formed at these levels and with the expected Euro decline, the EUR/AUD will still fall.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #69,299
  • Nov 10, 2013 5:00am Nov 10, 2013 5:00am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} With the same logics E/U probably will see 1.4x
Ken, I don't see how you arrive at that logic. Please elaborate.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #69,300
  • Nov 10, 2013 5:01am Nov 10, 2013 5:01am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} With the same logics E/U probably will see 1.4x
Simple, EUR will go down much faster than AUD goes down, but USD strength brings both down together.
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