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AUD/USD

  • #69,161
  • Edited 12:23am Nov 7, 2013 12:05am | Edited 12:23am
Quoting okanemici
Today is the day for big Gold Bull !!! Buy anything 1308-1318 for God's sake !
Agreed!! Way undervalued. I see 1650 within months and 2100 within 2 years. Great ooportunity longing Gold
  • #69,162
  • Nov 7, 2013 2:13am Nov 7, 2013 2:13am
Quoting thewriter30
{quote} Hi there. So you do you live off traiding now? how many hours a day u spend?
i work.

however changed systems and time spent on trading with new system is currently paid at around 100 ph. 10 hrs a week or so. Working on increasing pay further.
  • #69,163
  • Nov 7, 2013 2:28am Nov 7, 2013 2:28am
Quoting Mr. Scott
{quote} Based on PA of course {image} {image}
NaNa NaNa NaNa NaNa Batmaaaannn
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #69,164
  • Nov 7, 2013 2:40am Nov 7, 2013 2:40am
Quoting buytosell
{quote} Hello PipTrapper What is that blue symbols indicator on your hart and PTVolume indicator? Can you post them please? No hard feeling if you don't' want ...
Here you go
Attached File(s)
File Type: ex4 PT VSA Signals v2.2.ex4   15 KB | 340 downloads
File Type: ex4 PTVolume2.0.ex4   9 KB | 294 downloads
File Type: ex4 macd_adjustable.ex4   4 KB | 274 downloads
File Type: ex4 RSX.ex4   4 KB | 272 downloads
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #69,165
  • Nov 7, 2013 2:56am Nov 7, 2013 2:56am
Looking for a C wave up to the 50/61% fib zone

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audusdh1.png Size: 80 KB
  • #69,166
  • Nov 7, 2013 4:09am Nov 7, 2013 4:09am
Quoting Cazadores
{quote} Sure bad day, but look at your weekly and monthly. An overeaction to approx 9200 jobs short for a country of 23M.... The Fed has demonstrated they will talk out of both sides of their mouth and I think FED taper stretch will resume AUD up. Buy low,sell high!

I don't like to brag but I love making pips...


Jesse Livermore-8. "Don't give me timing, give me time.
  • #69,167
  • Nov 7, 2013 7:14am Nov 7, 2013 7:14am
Quoting Pharm0r
Hello everyone. Still holding the top I bought last week. I'm not minding it so much because I expect AUD to go to 1.0 long term, but it sure is taking it's time. Swap will hurt a bit, but oh well- the joys of swing trading CHFJPY finally came off the tops as expected. About 70+50+30 pips on that. Still -100 on AUD. Sound money management is holding me through the storm thus far with AUD.
Closed 2/3 of my shorts on CHFJPY for about +400 pips total (200 apiece) Leaving 1/3 to continue falling, which is what I see happening to this pair.

AUD still underwater, but looking better.
  • #69,168
  • Nov 7, 2013 7:16am Nov 7, 2013 7:16am
Quoting enterfx
Looking for a C wave up to the 50/61% fib zone {image}
Been waiting for this
  • #69,169
  • Nov 7, 2013 8:40am Nov 7, 2013 8:40am
We are back at .948X level. Waiting for NFP?
The true fact is market doesn't care, risk mgt is important.
  • #69,170
  • Nov 7, 2013 8:45am Nov 7, 2013 8:45am
It doesn't matter what NFP brings. It will be another speed bump (if USD positive) to the AUD move to parity. Bears keep looking surprised at bullish calls but dips are being bought!

Bad AUD data + Good USD data and AUD is only 30 pips down on where it was trading 18hrs ago before news. What does that tell you
  • #69,171
  • Nov 7, 2013 8:54am Nov 7, 2013 8:54am
中国目前的经济和非常高的地方债已经不能向过去一样从澳大利亚大规模进口铁矿和煤炭了。
澳大利亚不能维持过去的高出口，商品价格从高位逐渐下滑的趋势不能支撑澳币到达1：1甚至更高的汇率。

当然如果澳币能够到达1：1，这将是一个巨大的惊喜，一个绝佳的做空机会。中国贸易已经下滑到gdp贡献1%，这对于发展中国家来说是极其不正常的。明年中国地方债和美元退出qe，双重挤出效应，对于能够在高位做空澳币来说，是超额利润了。

我不认为澳币能走到0.98及更高，但是我心里很希望能越高越好，因为带来了极佳的做空机会。
  • #69,172
  • Nov 7, 2013 9:00am Nov 7, 2013 9:00am
Zew,
ya got ta write in English if ya want us ta read it mate.

cheers

Markup
Make sure that the light at the end of the tunnel is not an on coming train
  • #69,173
  • Nov 7, 2013 9:00am Nov 7, 2013 9:00am
Quoting SpartanTrade
It doesn't matter what NFP brings. It will be another speed bump (if USD positive) to the AUD move to parity. Bears keep looking surprised at bullish calls but dips are being bought! Bad AUD data + Good USD data and AUD is only 30 pips down on where it was trading 18hrs ago before news. What does that tell you
I believe AU, NU both will go to parity in long run. But for now imo .92xx is more likely for AU then parity as I think it is in corrective cycle of last bull run.
Never test the depth of water with both feet.
  • #69,174
  • Nov 7, 2013 9:23am Nov 7, 2013 9:23am
Thaaaaarrrrr She Bloooooooooooows!
  • #69,175
  • Nov 7, 2013 9:28am Nov 7, 2013 9:28am
Quoting SpartanTrade
It doesn't matter what NFP brings. It will be another speed bump (if USD positive) to the AUD move to parity. Bears keep looking surprised at bullish calls but dips are being bought! Bad AUD data + Good USD data and AUD is only 30 pips down on where it was trading 18hrs ago before news. What does that tell you
why do you say bad AUD data. As if a miss of 9,000 jobs is bad. The unemployment data is what counts and that is effectively unchanged. 0.1% is hardly a change. It was probably 0.03% change and just tipped it over the rounding threshold.

Aussie data is still doing well compared to many other countries.

I think the bull still has a very good chance of making it to 9915 (maybe even parity) but it will be a hard grind for sure.

After all, I cannot and will not short from these levels... not while there isn't even an attempt to re-test the broken triangle on the weekly chart up there around parity. Mind you I will start a short campaign around 9800 subject to PA and macro conditions when it gets there.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #69,176
  • Nov 7, 2013 9:34am Nov 7, 2013 9:34am
Quoting PipTrapper
{quote} why do you say bad AUD data. As if a miss of 9,000 jobs is bad. The unemployment data is what counts and that is effectively unchanged. 0.1% is hardly a change. It was probably 0.03% change and just tipped it over the rounding threshold. Aussie data is still doing well compared to many other countries. I think the bull still has a very good chance of making it to 9915 (maybe even parity) but it will be a hard grind for sure. After all, I cannot and will not short from these levels... not while there isn't even an attempt to re-test the broken...
Will you for God sake start a bull campaign at these levels in AUD/NZD
  • #69,177
  • Nov 7, 2013 9:37am Nov 7, 2013 9:37am
Quoting Mark up
Zew, ya got ta write in English if ya want us ta read it mate. cheers Markup
Here is a rough translation...

Quote
China's current economic conditions and very high local debt have been unable to sustain large scale imports of Australian iron ore and coal.

Australia can not sustain past high export commodity prices. The trend of gradual decline from the peak can not support the AU to reach parity or even higher rates.

Of course, if AU can reach parity, this will be a big surprise, an excellent short opportunity. China trade has slipped to contribute 1% of GDP, which for developing countries is extremely unusual. Next year Chinese local government debt and the Fed QE exit will deliver a double whammy and enable a high profit short for AUD.

I do not think AU $ 0.98 or higher is possible, but I will be very keen to see it as the higher the better, because it will bring an excellent short opportunity
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #69,178
  • Nov 7, 2013 9:38am Nov 7, 2013 9:38am
Evening Pip Trapper,

The data here in AU is some what mmmmmmmmmmmm, rounded down. You only have to work more than about 15 hours a week to be employed.
The feeling on the street is a lot more are under employed than unemployed.
Make sure that the light at the end of the tunnel is not an on coming train
  • #69,179
  • Nov 7, 2013 9:41am Nov 7, 2013 9:41am
Quoting PipTrapper
{quote} Here is a rough translation... {quote}

Well Done Pip Trapper, Bi lingual or bable fish??
well done anyway.
and yes the translation makes sense to me also.

cool.
Mark up.
Make sure that the light at the end of the tunnel is not an on coming train
  • #69,180
  • Nov 7, 2013 9:42am Nov 7, 2013 9:42am
Quoting RodMca
{quote} Will you for God sake start a bull campaign at these levels in AUD/NZD
If all we little fish pushed in the same direction, the big sharks would find their meals ready wrapped and warmed for them.

So, in order for me to start a bull campaign on AUD/NZD, I will first have to see everyone on FF levered up for a sell.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
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