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AUD/USD

  • #68,881
  • Nov 1, 2013 6:41am Nov 1, 2013 6:41am
AU looks like goin up
Forex Learner
  • #68,882
  • Nov 1, 2013 8:07am Nov 1, 2013 8:07am
I want the Kangaroo to jump up high and the kiwi to fly down to a bitter end
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Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #68,883
  • Nov 1, 2013 8:16am Nov 1, 2013 8:16am
USD overboughted...
  • #68,884
  • Nov 1, 2013 8:35am Nov 1, 2013 8:35am
Quoting PipTrapper
I want the Kangaroo to jump up high and the kiwi to fly down to a bitter end {image} http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sdUUx5FdySs
You and me both! a lot of opportunities out there I want to get into but want this trade to be drained of any upside first!
  • #68,885
  • Nov 1, 2013 8:43am Nov 1, 2013 8:43am
Quoting zew
USD overboughted...
Not yet, but soon
USDOLLAR Daily
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Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #68,886
  • Nov 1, 2013 8:46am Nov 1, 2013 8:46am
Quoting RodMca
{quote} You and me both! a lot of opportunities out there I want to get into but want this trade to be drained of any upside first!
Yeah that's why I dumped 60% of my volume yesterday. I've left the rest with an SL at 1.1195
Now it's up to the Almighty. Either it hits my target, or it gets stopped out.
On to other opps now. Already started with that EUR/AUD short and I'm over 200 pips in the green
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #68,887
  • Nov 1, 2013 8:48am Nov 1, 2013 8:48am
Quoting PipTrapper
{quote} Yeah that's why I dumped 60% of my volume yesterday. I've left the rest with an SL at 1.1195 Now it's up to the Almighty. Either it hits my target, or it gets stopped out. On to other opps now. Already started with that EUR/AUD short and I'm over 200 pips in the green
And I discussed that trade with you two weeks ago luckily I didn't take it then I'd have been 200 under water, nothing gained nothing lost. Plenty of opportunities on the way a nice retracement on EUR/USD would be sweet. I think it would be a fair guess to say the ECB will be 'hinting' at rate cut next week
  • #68,888
  • Nov 1, 2013 8:53am Nov 1, 2013 8:53am
Quoting RodMca
{quote} And I discussed that trade with you two weeks ago luckily I didn't take it then I'd have been 200 under water, nothing gained nothing lost. Plenty of opportunities on the way a nice retracement on EUR/USD would be sweet. I think it would be a fair guess to say the ECB will be 'hinting' at rate cut next week
If they hint at rate cuts it will only be part of their "communication" policy. I don't think they will actually do any cutting or introducing any other repos before the German gov is in session. There's still time before Xmas anyway. Maybe next month. The probability from my perspective is that the ECB will want to wait and see if October's data was also bad before pulling any triggers, and by then Merkel's new coalition gov will be up and running.

Besides, it seems the market is bringing down the Euro all by itself without the ECB taking any action... so there is no need for them to do anything... Yet.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #68,889
  • Nov 1, 2013 8:54am Nov 1, 2013 8:54am
Quoting PipTrapper
{quote} If they hint at rate cuts it will only be part of their \"communication\" policy. I don't think they will actually do any cutting or introducing any other repos before the German gov is in session. There's still time before Xmas anyway. Maybe next month. The probability from my perspective is that the ECB will want to wait and see if October's data was also bad before pulling any triggers, and by then Merkel's new coalition gov will be up and running.
  • #68,890
  • Nov 1, 2013 9:45am Nov 1, 2013 9:45am
Surprisingly... US december Taper isnt impossible.....

EURUSD getting the full wind blown with ECB potentially easing further..... and US December Tapering rumors....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #68,891
  • Nov 1, 2013 9:52am Nov 1, 2013 9:52am
Quoting fxtyrant
Surprisingly... US december Taper isnt impossible..... EURUSD getting the full wind blown with ECB potentially easing further..... and US December Tapering rumors....
Who said so?
The true fact is market doesn't care, risk mgt is important.
  • #68,892
  • Nov 1, 2013 9:55am Nov 1, 2013 9:55am
Quoting fxtyrant
Surprisingly... US december Taper isnt impossible..... EURUSD getting the full wind blown with ECB potentially easing further..... and US December Tapering rumors....
To clarify on what you said, there are no such rumours that the Fed will taper in December.
Fact is that there is "chatter" that a December taper is not out of the question.
That's a huge difference.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #68,893
  • Nov 1, 2013 10:02am Nov 1, 2013 10:02am
Is there any reason to make Fed to Taper QE?

US are enjoying in what QE brings to them. I think QE will exist much longer than most of people thought.
  • #68,894
  • Nov 1, 2013 10:07am Nov 1, 2013 10:07am
Quoting zew
Is there any reason to make Fed to Taper QE? US are enjoying in what QE brings to them. I think QE will exist much longer than most of people thought.
If you believe that unemployment will get worse and the US economy will fail to grow significantly, then you are probably correct.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #68,895
  • Nov 1, 2013 10:56am Nov 1, 2013 10:56am
Quoting zew
Is there any reason to make Fed to Taper QE? US are enjoying in what QE brings to them. I think QE will exist much longer than most of people thought.
problem is... the Federal Reserve's balance sheet has expanded a lot... and there will be a point where it doesnt make sense for the FED to have such a big balance sheet....
just like Apple and their big pile of cash in the reserve... investors will ask for a buyback scheme....
in the fed reserve's view it'll be the winding down of the fed's balance sheet....


having an expanded monetary base adds to the increasing magnitude of financial crisis that could happen....
the 2008 losses in the US economy is quite close to being compared with the great depression.... but between the great depression to 2008, the economy has had "corrections" but as the economy operates at low interest rates and expanded monetary base, these corrections are only gona be much bigger and bigger corrections....
dont be surprised if a 50% down correction on the Dow Happens in 20 years time.....
the 2008 was about 30% down...
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #68,896
  • Nov 1, 2013 11:03am Nov 1, 2013 11:03am
I am long from about 9425~ willing for 9420 to hold , Any Comments ?
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  • #68,897
  • Nov 1, 2013 11:31am Nov 1, 2013 11:31am
Quoting lonewolf1
{quote} Looks like the sell from 9600 last thursday paid off.

Shorts from 9600 are still going well. 9320 is my next target.
  • #68,898
  • Nov 1, 2013 12:49pm Nov 1, 2013 12:49pm
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} dont be surprised if a 50% down correction on the Dow Happens in 20 years time..... the 2008 was about 30% down...
I think you should check your facts.
In 2008 the Dow fell from 14164.53 to 6547.05
Therefore it was a 53.8% drop, and not "about 30%"
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #68,899
  • Nov 1, 2013 12:52pm Nov 1, 2013 12:52pm
Quoting lonewolf1
{quote} Shorts from 9600 are still going well. 9320 is my next target.
You've got mail

http://youvegotmail.warnerbros.com/img/ygmlogo.gif
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #68,900
  • Nov 1, 2013 1:51pm Nov 1, 2013 1:51pm
Hi Umair, how the things going on.
Good thoughts and actions can never produce bad results.
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