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AUD/USD

  • #68,061
  • Oct 17, 2013 6:37pm Oct 17, 2013 6:37pm
Quoting geomink
{quote} thank you I'll try to take my short wanna see if tomorrow it'll reverse (I hope) what do you thnik about it? was it today the top? sydney session is began with aud weak thx
Ozzie is looking for an excuse to retrace some of it's gains of yesterday. The chinese data could be the catalyst for this. Back to the Daily pivot should be a gimme & down to 0.9575 is probable & 0.9550 possible.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audusdh1.png Size: 36 KB
Money Makes Money
  • #68,062
  • Oct 17, 2013 6:44pm Oct 17, 2013 6:44pm
Quoting KiwiOz
{quote} Ozzie is looking for an excuse to retrace some of it's gains of yesterday. The chinese data could be the catalyst for this. Back to the Daily pivot should be a gimme & down to 0.9575 is probable & 0.9550 possible. {image}
yes, big boys often look for a convincing excuse to do somethiñ to turn tables across those whom bought yesteŕday and trick ppl that bear is hhere.
  • #68,063
  • Oct 17, 2013 6:54pm Oct 17, 2013 6:54pm
Quoting KiwiOz
{quote} Ozzie is looking for an excuse to retrace some of it's gains of yesterday. The chinese data could be the catalyst for this. Back to the Daily pivot should be a gimme & down to 0.9575 is probable & 0.9550 possible. {image}

Eur/Aud A retrace to 1.4255 is possible if Ozzie retraces down as expected.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: euraudh1.png Size: 48 KB
Money Makes Money
  • #68,064
  • Oct 17, 2013 8:39pm Oct 17, 2013 8:39pm
Quoting geomink
{quote} please, anyone could explain me how china data will affect this pair? many thanks
Isn't it same direction with the data.
  • #68,065
  • Oct 17, 2013 8:58pm Oct 17, 2013 8:58pm
Quoting forexalien
{quote} . {image}
Posted 21 days ago.................
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 9_26_13 AU marked.JPG Size: 319 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: 10_17_13 AU H4.JPG Size: 413 KB
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #68,066
  • Oct 17, 2013 9:01pm Oct 17, 2013 9:01pm

**china 3q gdp +7.8% y/y vs mni median +7.8% y/y: Nbs
**china jan-sep gdp +7.7% y/y vs +7.7% y/y jan-sep 12: Nbs
**china sep industrial output +10.2% y/y vs mni median +10.2%
**china ytd fixed investment +20.2% y/y vs mni median +20.3%
**china sep retail sales +13.3% y/y vs mni median +13.3%
  • #68,067
  • Oct 17, 2013 9:04pm Oct 17, 2013 9:04pm
Good news from china. more likely aussie up till ny close
  • #68,068
  • Oct 17, 2013 9:05pm Oct 17, 2013 9:05pm
Quoting lasty
**china 3q gdp +7.8% y/y vs mni median +7.8% y/y: Nbs **china jan-sep gdp +7.7% y/y vs +7.7% y/y jan-sep 12: Nbs **china sep industrial output +10.2% y/y vs mni median +10.2% **china ytd fixed investment +20.2% y/y vs mni median +20.3% **china sep retail sales +13.3% y/y vs mni median +13.3%

And next quarter there is already talk of a bigger slow down.....
I don't trust any move - when you have profit...take it.
  • #68,069
  • Oct 17, 2013 9:06pm Oct 17, 2013 9:06pm
Quoting Fx-gtg
Good news from china. more likely aussie up till ny close

good news?

you believe those numbers?

do you remember the export numbers for September? They were negative!

And to meet the number bang on.....come on China.
I don't trust any move - when you have profit...take it.
  • #68,070
  • Oct 17, 2013 9:07pm Oct 17, 2013 9:07pm
Quoting Fx-gtg
Good news from china. more likely aussie up till ny close
Its all within expectations think Aussie needed something stellar from china don't think this is it and the data except GDP is less than expectations
  • #68,071
  • Oct 17, 2013 9:08pm Oct 17, 2013 9:08pm
According to this chart in China fell 0.1% over the year. Demonstrate this economy is not progressing as expected by investors.
  • #68,072
  • Oct 17, 2013 9:08pm Oct 17, 2013 9:08pm
Aussie is around HUGE resistance needed something more then this to break it dont see numbers within expectations doing it may see a nasty profit taking here
  • #68,073
  • Oct 17, 2013 9:08pm Oct 17, 2013 9:08pm
Quoting iNSIELD
{quote} Its all within expectations think Aussie needed something stellar from china don't think this is it and the data except GDP is less than expectations

I don't trust any move - when you have profit...take it.
  • #68,074
  • Oct 17, 2013 9:09pm Oct 17, 2013 9:09pm
Quoting forexalien
{quote} Posted 21 days ago................. {image} {image}
Sometimes I wonder if you're human...
  • #68,075
  • Oct 17, 2013 9:09pm Oct 17, 2013 9:09pm
RBA Gov Stevens Speaks in 20 more mins...

Aussie is hit .96.. Must go back 100EMA line..
  • #68,076
  • Oct 17, 2013 9:13pm Oct 17, 2013 9:13pm
Quoting k3nshinz3139
RBA Gov Stevens Speaks in 20 more mins... Aussie is hit .96.. Must go back 100EMA line..

I had him speaking @ 9PM - was there a reschedule?
I don't trust any move - when you have profit...take it.
  • #68,077
  • Oct 17, 2013 9:14pm Oct 17, 2013 9:14pm
Quoting Faller
{quote} I had him speaking @ 9PM - was there a reschedule?
RBA Stevens up at 0210GMT

RBA Stevens – no comment on monetary policy in his speech


Now is waiting for Q&A

Source from forexlive
  • #68,078
  • Oct 17, 2013 9:54pm Oct 17, 2013 9:54pm
Monthly Pivot from 2003 to 2013 - ten year trend

  1. Seasonal behavior of AUD : Drop in Nov
  2. Monthly Pivot of AUD/USD
  3. What will happen next : Bear all the way

Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AudUsdSeasonal.png Size: 173 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: audusd18OctMonth.png Size: 58 KB
  • #68,079
  • Oct 17, 2013 10:11pm Oct 17, 2013 10:11pm

  1. RBA Stevens in the Q&A
    From forexlive.com
    http://www.forexfactory.com/resources/images/icons/newsstory-quote.png
    “Personally’ thinks a lower $A would be helpful to rebalance economy. AUD doesn’t seem to care.

I don't trust any move - when you have profit...take it.
  • #68,080
  • Oct 17, 2013 10:48pm Oct 17, 2013 10:48pm
Quoting leticus
Monthly Pivot from 2003 to 2013 - ten year trend Seasonal behavior of AUD : Drop in Nov Monthly Pivot of AUD/USD What will happen next : Bear all the way {image} {image}
2 weeks to go.....
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