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AUD/USD

  • #66,681
  • Sep 29, 2013 5:01pm Sep 29, 2013 5:01pm
Quoting PipTrapper
{quote} The one on Tuesday of course. However, I agree that HSBC has more credibility and as such has a larger impact on price and market sentiment.
while I'd have to say that HSBC's has more credibility, the NBS official print is seen as more important and often sees a greater market reaction, even if it shouldn't.

either way, this is a big big week for the AUD
  • #66,682
  • Sep 29, 2013 5:01pm Sep 29, 2013 5:01pm
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} HSBC is better, which one do you think is more likely to be manipulated by the chinese government?? hehe take a guess...
But traders love manipulated figures
the cautious seldom err....C
  • #66,683
  • Sep 29, 2013 5:02pm Sep 29, 2013 5:02pm
Majority of economists are predicting better than forecast PMI so will be interesting indeed to see how pa might reflect that sentiment this morning prior to final number
  • #66,684
  • Sep 29, 2013 5:05pm Sep 29, 2013 5:05pm
Quoting JeremyWS
{quote} while I'd have to say that HSBC's has more credibility, the NBS official print is seen as more important and often sees a greater market reaction, even if it shouldn't. either way, this is a big big week for the AUD
The only reason it has been more important is because the PBOC includes it in their assessments for monetary and banking policy decisions. However, this time will be moot considering the PBOC has already decided to leave policy unchanged.
Therefore, today's numbers should carry more clout than Tuesday's... unless Tuesday's number really surprises.

Anyway, yes... big week for Aussie, but not just the Aussie. It's a big one for the Euro and the USD as well.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #66,685
  • Sep 29, 2013 5:12pm Sep 29, 2013 5:12pm
Quoting SpartanTrade
Majority of economists are predicting better than forecast PMI so will be interesting indeed to see how pa might reflect that sentiment this morning prior to final number
yea dude... majority of the economist predicted september tapering of 10bln too.... soo it will be interesting to see how market can be easily wrong.
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #66,686
  • Sep 29, 2013 5:14pm Sep 29, 2013 5:14pm
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} yea dude... majority of the economist predicted september tapering of 10bln too.... soo it will be interesting to see how market can be easily wrong.
Won't argue with that. Really don't want to be assuming anything at this point.
  • #66,687
  • Sep 29, 2013 5:24pm Sep 29, 2013 5:24pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: goldh1.png Size: 51 KB
Does anyone have a chart like mine Gold H1. My eyes are seeing spikes and gaps everywhere!
the cautious seldom err....C
  • #66,688
  • Sep 29, 2013 5:28pm Sep 29, 2013 5:28pm
Down Down Down then up
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  • #66,689
  • Sep 29, 2013 5:30pm Sep 29, 2013 5:30pm
Go long from 0.97773, thats the major support
I have applied for myfxbook signal providing list!!! wish me luck
  • #66,690
  • Sep 29, 2013 5:33pm Sep 29, 2013 5:33pm
Quoting DR Ali
Go long from 0.97773, thats the major support
What are you on about? if ur really referring to 0.97773 as a support then that BROKEN support has turned resistance... nothing bullish... so i dont know why you even say its a support....
are you long and hoping this thing wil go back up there? cuz its not gona happen anytime soon....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #66,691
  • Sep 29, 2013 5:35pm Sep 29, 2013 5:35pm
Quoting pips29
{image} Does anyone have a chart like mine Gold H1. My eyes are seeing spikes and gaps everywhere!
Heres mine
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: xau1.png Size: 117 KB
  • #66,692
  • Sep 29, 2013 5:42pm Sep 29, 2013 5:42pm
Quoting SpartanTrade
{quote} Heres mine {image}
spikes like that, all the more reason why i never trade gold, i just use gold as a reference to see whether if the market is on a risk-on or a risk-off sentiment... very often after US news comes out where im unsure about things i look at the gold to see if the Dollar news as dollar positive or dollar negative on Risk or off risk.
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #66,693
  • Sep 29, 2013 5:48pm Sep 29, 2013 5:48pm
I just got this feeling that rba might say they will probably cut rate in dec. That's why I put on the daily chart earlier and have 2 shaded areas where I believe price will test But then came along a shutdown. WTF are we supposed to do?
the cautious seldom err....C
  • #66,694
  • Sep 29, 2013 5:51pm Sep 29, 2013 5:51pm
Quoting pips29
I just got this feeling that rba might say they will probably cut rate in dec. That's why I put on the daily chart earlier and have 2 shaded areas where I believe price will test But then came along a shutdown. WTF are we supposed to do?
heck i am sure they are gona link it to the Americans and their budget duel having a huge effect on the australian economy... afterall US decides the fate of Emerging Market with their economy, and if US is suffering Emerging Market will suffer sooner or later, and Australia is well aware..

RBA probably held off from lowering interest rate expecting Tapering to happen... when Taper didnt happen gives them more room to lower RBA rates now....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #66,695
  • Sep 29, 2013 5:52pm Sep 29, 2013 5:52pm
Price has already broken last wk low. In the next 10mins or so if H1 closes below this level I see more downside. Will hsbc pmi help?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audusdh1.png Size: 74 KB
the cautious seldom err....C
  • #66,696
  • Sep 29, 2013 6:02pm Sep 29, 2013 6:02pm
Quoting pips29
Price has already broken last wk low. In the next 10mins or so if H1 closes below this level I see more downside. Will hsbc pmi help?{image}
Nothing really decisive with the 1hr close but at the current levels I think a daily close below 9280 will make room for further downside but it may find quite a bit of support 9280/90 area
  • #66,697
  • Sep 29, 2013 6:06pm Sep 29, 2013 6:06pm
An interesting article from John Mauldin.

China's Renminbi Is Well On Its Way To Becoming A Global Reserve Currency

Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/renmi...#ixzz2gKGTEh2m
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #66,698
  • Sep 29, 2013 6:06pm Sep 29, 2013 6:06pm
Quoting SpartanTrade
{quote} Nothing really decisive with the 1hr close but at the current levels I think a daily close below 9280 will make room for further downside cause it may find quite a bit of support 9280/90 area
buddy you dont want to be wrong again... so far i have been right with calling long on my EURAUD (taken profit too), and its gona be right again for me on AUDUSD. im eyeing at the 0.92 level.

so im sorry if i called for us to reach 0.93, 2 days early i was expecting us to reach it by last wednesday, we reached it by friday, sorry my timing is off, but not my direction... so im gona say we WILL reach 0.92 just a matter of when.

very often i find myself making a call of the right direction but wrong timing.
same happened with me and gold back in december, when gold was still at 17xx area, i called for gold to reach 1400 by March, unfortunately january to march was slow as hell.... so it actually took it up to MAY for gold to reach 14xx area. but my direction is right.
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #66,699
  • Sep 29, 2013 6:08pm Sep 29, 2013 6:08pm
Quoting PipTrapper
An interesting article from John Mauldin. China's Renminbi Is Well On Its Way To Becoming A Global Reserve Currency Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/renmi...#ixzz2gKGTEh2m
wont be for another 5 years... but 5 years aint that far... time flies
but get ready for a huge CNY or CNH appreciation.
have been piling my CNY and CNH deposits for a year or so now... its been quite rewarding too
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #66,700
  • Sep 29, 2013 6:09pm Sep 29, 2013 6:09pm
Quoting Mr.C
{quote} Good day traders. Hope you're keeping better than I am. I'm having flu and staying in bed with lemon tea and medicine. No new calls today but need to monitor AUD/USD that is now floating with 105 pips profit. Might be closing it today. As always - wish all a green day! {image}

Hi guys. Sunday evening here in the USA and I'm back to chart for a quick scan before the upcoming week. But first of all - wish all a green week!

My Aussie short is still ON. Price didn't reach any levels that I was waiting for on Friday so decided to keep the order alive. Looking at the charts the pair at the moment is in a zone between 0.9316 and 0.9285. While it is there I don't think I will make any decisions regarding my position close. Breaking below 0.9285 could get us to ~0.9245. Getting back to the ~0.9316 and breaking could call back the bulls for a quick step in and get price back up to somewhere of 0.9345. Don't want to guess any further moves and waste my time but For now I am in favor of bears. Waiting with my order that is now floating with +130 pips open. If no sudden surprises I'll make my decisions to further TP points during NY tomorrow.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audusd_130929_m30.png Size: 69 KB
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