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AUD/USD

  • #65,621
  • Sep 17, 2013 10:25am Sep 17, 2013 10:25am
Quoting Rtm
{quote} If you are refering to AUDJPY I see that but again is anyone really going to buy there? And its running right into a supply level where there is a psychological number 00 so looks like a good breakout to fade for me.
No AUDUSD. I wouldn't put much capital to it, but with a weak dollar - probably going into tomorrow - a test of .938 is probable.
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #65,622
  • Sep 17, 2013 10:27am Sep 17, 2013 10:27am
Quoting Pip Anon
{quote} No AUDUSD. I wouldn't put much capital to it, but with a weak dollar - probably going into tomorrow - a test of .938 is probable.

Ah okay well I can agree with you on AUDUSD! .938 is a buit conservative no?! lol daily looks like it has broken major support level and is starting a new up leg here.
All posts are my personal opinion
  • #65,623
  • Sep 17, 2013 10:36am Sep 17, 2013 10:36am
Quoting Rtm
{quote} Ah okay well I can agree with you on AUDUSD! .938 is a buit conservative no?! lol daily looks like it has broken major support level and is starting a new up leg here.
Not a head of tomorrow. Last FOMC I believe the AUSSIE tanked like a stone
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #65,624
  • Sep 17, 2013 10:45am Sep 17, 2013 10:45am
Quoting Rtm
{quote} Personally I think AUDUSD can still go quite a bit higher and would be more long biased but AUDJPY, who wants to buy here? Doesnt look so hot for the bulls. Even more interesting right now is GBPAUD. Just been falling the whole session!
Yeah, I think that GBP/AUD and GBP/NZD are the pairs to watch here. If GBP rallies after the MPC events tomorrow (or tonight, depending on where you are), may be opportunity to sell into this strength ahead of the FOMC - assuming that the USD dollar does lower following Fed outcome.
  • #65,625
  • Edited Sep 18, 2013 5:54am Sep 17, 2013 10:51am | Edited Sep 18, 2013 5:54am
(I mean: sell on GBP's relative weakness to the AUD and NZD). ie get on board the GBP/AUD and GBP/NZD downtrend.

UK's economy is doing pretty well right now, but given the seeming bias toward the AUD and NZD being triggered by fomc proceedings, this downtrend may continue if USD weakens as many commentators are suggesting.

But the thing is, USD is oversold. For this reason, I would say that if USD is going to lower as a result of fomc, it will probably rally beforehand.
  • #65,626
  • Sep 17, 2013 11:32am Sep 17, 2013 11:32am
Quoting Didgeridoo
{quote} Yeah, I think that GBP/AUD and GBP/NZD are the pairs to watch here. If GBP rallies after the MPC events tomorrow (or tonight, depending on where you are), may be opportunity to sell into this strength ahead of the FOMC - assuming that the USD dollar does lower following Fed outcome.

agreed. i have my eyes on ga
All posts are my personal opinion
  • #65,627
  • Sep 17, 2013 12:13pm Sep 17, 2013 12:13pm
Quoting RiverTrader
AUDUSD The very short term trend is bullish as long as we trade above 93.15 and I am expecting price to reach 94 / 94.35 as long as we trade above 93.15. - copy from DailyFX

I just replied your PM, please check and sorry for the late response.
  • #65,628
  • Sep 17, 2013 1:48pm Sep 17, 2013 1:48pm
Quoting mercie
{quote} I just replied your PM, please check and sorry for the late response.
Read it, and thanks. Agree.
Simple is powerful all the time.
  • #65,629
  • Sep 17, 2013 1:58pm Sep 17, 2013 1:58pm
Quoting RiverTrader
{quote} Read it, and thanks. Agree.

Want to share with the group?
  • #65,630
  • Sep 17, 2013 2:08pm Sep 17, 2013 2:08pm
Quoting Didgeridoo
(I mean: sell on GBP's weakness)
I can't get it out
can you explain more??
  • #65,631
  • Sep 17, 2013 2:58pm Sep 17, 2013 2:58pm
Quoting tony95
{quote} Want to share with the group?
Hi Tony95, just a very common question regarding this thread.
Simple is powerful all the time.
  • #65,632
  • Sep 17, 2013 6:25pm Sep 17, 2013 6:25pm
I am short. Anyone have any thoughts where this is going?
  • #65,633
  • Sep 17, 2013 6:26pm Sep 17, 2013 6:26pm
I'm short as well Tony think this might be it for the correction
  • #65,634
  • Sep 17, 2013 6:41pm Sep 17, 2013 6:41pm
Quoting tony95
I am short. Anyone have any thoughts where this is going?
Tony95,

In a bigger picture, it is good to Short.
However, I just like to short at higher price later.
Simple is powerful all the time.
  • #65,635
  • Sep 17, 2013 7:17pm Sep 17, 2013 7:17pm
Morning! Just added to my longs against the daily pivot @ 0.9334

Good luck today guys...!
  • #65,636
  • Sep 17, 2013 7:19pm Sep 17, 2013 7:19pm
Hey Blackburn i too added long at 9342 weekly R1
  • #65,637
  • Sep 17, 2013 7:24pm Sep 17, 2013 7:24pm
Quoting RiverTrader
{quote} Tony95, In a bigger picture, it is good to Short. However, I just like to short at higher price later.

Thanks, looks like a good move down just now. See where it takes me
  • #65,638
  • Sep 17, 2013 7:31pm Sep 17, 2013 7:31pm
It's not going anywhere. I'd suggest range trading for now if you really can't resist trading. Nothing is moving till after the Fed announcement tomorrow. And that too, I suspect a whipsaw. I'm inclined to think that the Fed will disappoint, although it doesn't really matter to me because I will not be trading the news. Tomorrow's announcement is pretty huge. Stay on the sidelines and figure out what to do after the dust settles. I'm not looking at the charts for the next 24 hours.
  • #65,639
  • Sep 17, 2013 7:36pm Sep 17, 2013 7:36pm
Quoting card
It's not going anywhere. I'd suggest range trading for now if you really can't resist trading. Nothing is moving till after the Fed announcement tomorrow. And that too, I suspect a whipsaw. I'm inclined to think that the Fed will disappoint, although it doesn't really matter to me because I will not be trading the news. Tomorrow's announcement is pretty huge. Stay on the sidelines and figure out what to do after the dust settles. I'm not looking at the charts for the next 24 hours.

I am looking to take out the previous low. Maybe head to close gap.
  • #65,640
  • Sep 17, 2013 7:46pm Sep 17, 2013 7:46pm
Quoting card
It's not going anywhere. I'd suggest range trading for now if you really can't resist trading. Nothing is moving till after the Fed announcement tomorrow. And that too, I suspect a whipsaw. I'm inclined to think that the Fed will disappoint, although it doesn't really matter to me because I will not be trading the news. Tomorrow's announcement is pretty huge. Stay on the sidelines and figure out what to do after the dust settles. I'm not looking at the charts for the next 24 hours.
I agree. A lot of speculation going around. I believe opportunities are abundant, so stay out now will not harm us. We can still catch up another profitable movement later. Its just greedy vs fear psychology. Meanwhile, we can do range with suitable tech indicator for small pips, Bollinger or RSI or anything that works best. ^_^
Don't blame the tools. Blame the carpenter.
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