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AUD/USD

  • #64,641
  • Sep 10, 2013 7:45am Sep 10, 2013 7:45am
Beware with your longs...

http://stocktwits.com/message/15686898

(My 'told you so' moment)
Use me as a contrarian indicator
  • #64,642
  • Sep 10, 2013 7:45am Sep 10, 2013 7:45am
Quoting KCV
{quote} Or may be he does not like VENDETTA MASK..lol

Voilà! In view, a humble vaudevillian veteran, cast vicariously as both victim and villian by the vicissitudes of Fate. This visage, no mere veneer of vanity, is a vestige of the vox populi, now vacant, vanished. However, this valorous visitation of a by-gone vexation, stands vivified and has vowed to vanquish these venal and virulent vermin vanguarding vice and vouchsafing the violently vicious and voracious violation of volition.The only verdict is vengence; a vendetta, held as a votive, not in vain, for the value and veracity of such shall one day vindicate the vigilant and the virtuous. Verily, this vichyssoise of verbiage veers most verbose, so let me simply add that it is my very good honor to meet you and you may call me V.
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #64,643
  • Sep 10, 2013 7:47am Sep 10, 2013 7:47am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audusddaily.png Size: 59 KB
Even if it climbs 1/2 the candle it is still a good 130 pips. Climb already started
the cautious seldom err....C
  • #64,644
  • Sep 10, 2013 7:48am Sep 10, 2013 7:48am
Quoting mrbandwidth
Beware with your longs... http://stocktwits.com/message/15686898 (My 'told you so' moment)
Might pullback short term. But every trendline is eventually broken...
  • #64,645
  • Sep 10, 2013 7:53am Sep 10, 2013 7:53am
My view, aud likely to received pressure at this zone below 0.9320. Anything above, 0.9320 will put test for 0.9344 on weekly pullback resistance.

Aud may stall here for tmr's event, good place to load short with high reward or pullback opportunity. However, current momentum is still up on 1 and 4 hour.

I will place further sell stops below hourly bull candle to avoid chasing top.

Anything above 0.9344 today will put aud on breakout zone out. as all resistance from june's will be gone.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #64,646
  • Sep 10, 2013 8:00am Sep 10, 2013 8:00am
Quoting 5percent
{quote} which big news are you referring to?
Check the calendar.

Lots of potential volatility tomorrow and the next day. Could provide a pull back for a better exit, or indeed be a catalyst for reversal.

edit: I'm short here and will be doing just that, however; the gravestone that printed on the 1H suggests we may have hit the top. Also backing this up is the Daily resistance.
  • #64,647
  • Sep 10, 2013 8:06am Sep 10, 2013 8:06am
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} Check the calendar. Lots of potential volatility tomorrow and the next day. Could provide a pull back for a better exit, or indeed be a catalyst for reversal. edit: I'm short here and will be doing just that, however; the gravestone that printed on the 1H suggests we may have hit the top. Also backing this up is the Daily resistance.
i have short 9308 stop 20. 12 pips risks. further sell stop below to be activating below 9287 for the day. or wait for no more support, but support turn resistance like a hns formation on pullback right shoulder.

i see thursday to be volatile instead..

tmr there's only Westpac Consumer Sentiment.

my main focus for tmr will be gbp.
  • #64,648
  • Sep 10, 2013 8:13am Sep 10, 2013 8:13am
gold hanging on tightrope (tl 1)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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the cautious seldom err....C
  • #64,649
  • Sep 10, 2013 8:15am Sep 10, 2013 8:15am
Quoting 5percent
{quote} i have short 9308 stop 20. 12 pips risks. further sell stop below to be activating below 9287 for the day. or wait for no more support, but support turn resistance like a hns formation on pullback right shoulder. i see thursday to be volatile instead.. tmr there's only Westpac Consumer Sentiment. my main focus for tmr will be gbp.
I see this as well, however; I swing the daily supply/depand so my trades were developed weeks ago (or days, I cant remember).

Tomorrow is AUD unemployment specifically. I'll be looking for volatility there (not that it matters for my trading style anyway). Thursday US news will provide lots of volatility (hopefully)

edit: im showing westpac sentiment today. We must be in different time zones.
  • #64,650
  • Sep 10, 2013 8:19am Sep 10, 2013 8:19am
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} I see this as well, however; I swing the daily supply/depand so my trades were developed weeks ago (or days, I cant remember). Tomorrow is AUD unemployment specifically. I'll be looking for volatility there (not that it matters for my trading style anyway). Thursday US news will provide lots of volatility (hopefully) edit: im showing westpac sentiment today. We must be in different time zones.
westpac is like in another 9-10hours time.

today is still 10/9/2013.

westpac is 11/9/2013.

aud unemployment is 12/9/2013.
  • #64,651
  • Sep 10, 2013 8:34am Sep 10, 2013 8:34am
Quoting 5percent
{quote} westpac is like in another 9-10hours time. today is still 10/9/2013. westpac is 11/9/2013. aud unemployment is 12/9/2013.
West pac is 10/9/2013 for me
  • #64,652
  • Sep 10, 2013 8:37am Sep 10, 2013 8:37am
is this a valid AB=CD pattern?Attachment
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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the cautious seldom err....C
  • #64,653
  • Sep 10, 2013 8:48am Sep 10, 2013 8:48am
fvck! my position on this after 4 hrs
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: pic 7.png Size: 59 KB
the cautious seldom err....C
  • #64,654
  • Sep 10, 2013 8:53am Sep 10, 2013 8:53am
Quoting pips29
fvck! my position on this after 4 hrs{image}
that range is sad!
  • #64,655
  • Sep 10, 2013 9:22am Sep 10, 2013 9:22am
Quoting pips29
is this a valid AB=CD pattern?1271576 {image}
pips29,

I didn't learn this kind of pattern:
Can you explain?
And, can you estimate on this retracement down to where to long again?

(Won't quote your word for, just curious) Thanks.
Simple is powerful all the time.
  • #64,656
  • Sep 10, 2013 9:31am Sep 10, 2013 9:31am
G/U has broken yesterday's High and done only 1/2 of daily range. more upside???
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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the cautious seldom err....C
  • #64,657
  • Sep 10, 2013 9:41am Sep 10, 2013 9:41am
Quoting RiverTrader
{quote} pips29, I didn't learn this kind of pattern: Can you explain? And, can you estimate on this retracement down to where to long again? (Won't quote your word for, just curious) Thanks.
Mr RiverTrader, I am not good in this type of thing except the interpretation that from the bottom ab line you just use the same line and place it at c and you get the projection. I think cd line could be longer than ab because ab happens at bottom. There are many experts here. Perhaps someone would be kind enuf to assist you. I even get the names of candles mixed up(pointed out by someone last week and got laughed at). I only know how to apply, whether correctly or not I do not know but most of the time it works in my favour. sorry ,can't help you much
the cautious seldom err....C
  • #64,658
  • Sep 10, 2013 10:01am Sep 10, 2013 10:01am
Quoting pips29
{quote} Mr RiverTrader, I am not good in this type of thing except the interpretation that from the bottom ab line you just use the same line and place it at c and you get the projection. I think cd line could be longer than ab because ab happens at bottom. There are many experts here. Perhaps someone would be kind enuf to assist you. I even get the names of candles mixed up(pointed out by someone last week and got laughed at). I only know how to apply, whether correctly or not I do not know but most of the time it works in my favour. sorry ,can't...
OK, TYVM, that's good enough for me.
But, are we already in the movement of retrace down, or still up trend?
(I didn't mean that you have to know everything, just like to hear 2nd opinion.)
Simple is powerful all the time.
  • #64,659
  • Sep 10, 2013 10:03am Sep 10, 2013 10:03am
Quoting RiverTrader
{quote} OK, TYVM, that's good enough for me. But, are we already in the movement of retrace down, or still up trend? (I didn't mean that you have to know everything, just like to hear 2nd opinion.)
IMO I don't see downtrend yet
the cautious seldom err....C
  • #64,660
  • Sep 10, 2013 10:05am Sep 10, 2013 10:05am
after 5 hrs. Fvck is this a marathon?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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the cautious seldom err....C
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