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AUD/USD

  • #64,301
  • Sep 6, 2013 9:26am Sep 6, 2013 9:26am
Quoting edindzeko
{quote} I had same feelings but pussed out. USDJPY was the real money maker on USD weakness... Nice trades though, very impressive.
too bad im only a young immature kid who knows nothing... meanwhile im also pissing a lot of BIG boys in here who trade "real" money and that they think they know something... oh wells...
gona go away again....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #64,302
  • Sep 6, 2013 9:30am Sep 6, 2013 9:30am
Quoting AJhustler88
{quote} what is your prediction for AUD/USD next week with the FOMC? I havent come to a conclusion yet b/c of the election uncertainty.
Look... NFP was bad..... not the fact that we came out 169k was bad.... well its slightly disappointing to not have reached the expecation of 180k...
but what happened was JULY NFP which was round 160k prior to today's release got revised DOWN to 104k!!! friggin 56k job were unexpectedly loss like that...
and participation rate actually continued falling down....
yea unemployment rate lowered.. big deal thats because less people are participating into job search....

Along with Syria's tension and US decision to intervene... US will need to spend money that they dont really have... so really they cant afford to stop the printing press as soon as september... even if they do taper, it will be so small that it doesnt cause much dollar strength...
my guess is FOMC is gona look at the data and say hmmmm, maybe we have been a bit too optimistic prematurely... time to step back and sit on our hands a bit.... so lets delay taper till december....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #64,303
  • Sep 6, 2013 9:32am Sep 6, 2013 9:32am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} too bad im only a young immature kid who knows nothing... meanwhile im also pissing a lot of BIG boys in here who trade "real" money and that they think they know something... oh wells... gona go away again....
Stick around man, there is only 1 person you butted heads with in this thread and I think thats over... we can all benefit
  • #64,304
  • Sep 6, 2013 9:34am Sep 6, 2013 9:34am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} Look... NFP was bad..... not the fact that we came out 169k was bad.... well its slightly disappointing to not have reached the expecation of 180k... but what happened was JULY NFP which was round 160k prior to today's release got revised DOWN to 104k!!! friggin 56k job were unexpectedly loss like that... and participation rate actually continued falling down.... yea unemployment rate lowered.. big deal thats because less people are participating into job search.... Along with Syria's tension and US decision to intervene... US will need...
Participation rate at a 35 year low is very scary

The real issue is the 10yr yield. I mentioned it before. 3.0 is being avoided at all cost, I think 3.5 could be deadly.

Agree about taper, its not gonna happen which will cause USD to sell off big. 9/18 is gonna be a HUGE day
  • #64,305
  • Sep 6, 2013 9:38am Sep 6, 2013 9:38am
Quoting edindzeko
{quote} Stick around man, there is only 1 person you butted heads with in this thread and I think thats over... we can all benefit
I agree mate.
The true fact is market doesn't care, risk mgt is important.
  • #64,306
  • Sep 6, 2013 9:40am Sep 6, 2013 9:40am
I still do not really understand why a Liberal win will strengthen Aussie.
Sorry, do not understand Australia politics well.
Anybody care to explain?
The true fact is market doesn't care, risk mgt is important.
  • #64,307
  • Sep 6, 2013 9:49am Sep 6, 2013 9:49am
Closed my GBPCAD check my trade explorer for details.
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #64,308
  • Sep 6, 2013 9:50am Sep 6, 2013 9:50am
Quoting fxtyrant
Hey guys, so ive gone away for 2 days.. cleared my head... came back and last time after taking profit on AUDUSD and NZDUSD i was holdign on to GBPCAD... Held my GBPCAD shorts through NFP. Longed EURUSD due signal prior to NFP Shorted USDCHF due to EURUSD USDCHF correlation... the trades are making me wet.... {image} {image} {image}
I got signal to short usd/chf too. and specially due to correlation with eurusd as you said but did not trade it.
my trades today were nzd longs against usd
  • #64,309
  • Sep 6, 2013 10:24am Sep 6, 2013 10:24am
Quoting Fx-gtg
{quote} I got signal to short usd/chf too. and specially due to correlation with eurusd as you said but did not trade it. my trades today were nzd longs against usd
lessons to be learned. i did not trade my signals either, FXTyrant did and he is very green because of it

For me I know I did not trade because my confidence was low after some losing trades, but FX does not wait for confidence to be re-instilled... missed opportunities feel worse than losing trades though. If im wrong often enough Ill just give up and say FX is not for me.
  • #64,310
  • Sep 6, 2013 10:48am Sep 6, 2013 10:48am
I believe this candlestick pattern is called 3 crows? With the large up candle followed by 3 down candles to the bottom and then back up to top on the fifth candle. If you have not been stopped out yet on the short side, it would be prudent to close them out and get ready to buy dips instead of selling rallies.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audusd.jpg Size: 156 KB
Ecclesiastes 1:9
  • #64,311
  • Sep 6, 2013 11:14am Sep 6, 2013 11:14am
Quoting edindzeko
{quote} lessons to be learned. i did not trade my signals either, FXTyrant did and he is very green because of it For me I know I did not trade because my confidence was low after some losing trades, but FX does not wait for confidence to be re-instilled... missed opportunities feel worse than losing trades though. If im wrong often enough Ill just give up and say FX is not for me.
It' s about choosing the right pair
  • #64,312
  • Sep 6, 2013 1:21pm Sep 6, 2013 1:21pm
so what happens to audusd if tony abbot wins the autralian elections?
  • #64,313
  • Sep 6, 2013 2:33pm Sep 6, 2013 2:33pm
Quoting Fx-gtg
{quote} It' s about choosing the right pair
Whats your method of screening to determine the best pair?
  • #64,314
  • Sep 6, 2013 8:22pm Sep 6, 2013 8:22pm
hey tyrant, what does your crystal ball tell you. I see a shot up to about 93 then the kings crown kicks in.
  • #64,315
  • Sep 6, 2013 8:42pm Sep 6, 2013 8:42pm
Quoting Ssm
I still do not really understand why a Liberal win will strengthen Aussie. Sorry, do not understand Australia politics well. Anybody care to explain?
liberals are seen as business friendly - > hope for more well paid jobs.

people are really concerneed about property prices because of huge leverage and bad economy can crack prices. And you will have sea of negative net worth.

Typical property purchased for 500K many years ago, valued at 2M, current loan outstanding 1.4M. 30 pc drop makes this family NAV = 0.
  • #64,316
  • Sep 6, 2013 9:10pm Sep 6, 2013 9:10pm
my father never borrowed a dime in his life. I try to do the same althought i have not much. Hopefully, i can learn this well enough to survive. All our governments are killing us.
  • #64,317
  • Sep 6, 2013 10:38pm Sep 6, 2013 10:38pm
Quoting forexalien
{quote} It's great practice and you can make a pile of money on a small account once you get good.......... This chart is this weeks trades, I was not here Sunday and Monday, but up $172 on a $1200 dollar account from ............a $200 starting point.......... {image}
and this week finished off like this................
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 9_6_13 stellar week.JPG Size: 89 KB
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #64,318
  • Sep 6, 2013 10:52pm Sep 6, 2013 10:52pm
Quoting forexalien
{quote} and this week finished off like this................ {image}
Alien, what are you doing here? It's the weekend! Just joking.

Anyway, nice job on the profit to loss ratio this last week. I see you were trading AUD long.
  • #64,319
  • Sep 6, 2013 11:19pm Sep 6, 2013 11:19pm
Quoting 2+2=4ex
{quote} Alien, what are you doing here? It's the weekend! Just joking. Anyway, nice job on the profit to loss ratio this last week. I see you were trading AUD long.
Arent u the guy that just spammed pics of collapsing buildings? Go away. Youre a false prophet just leading people to their deaths. Tell me more about how shorting AUD worked out for u this week.
The best dam pilot in the sky
  • #64,320
  • Sep 7, 2013 12:25am Sep 7, 2013 12:25am
Quoting forexalien
{quote} and this week finished off like this................ {image}
Nice result Alien, you've done well.

Do you only use stochastics as outlined in previous post?

have a good weekend.
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