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  • #64,081
  • Sep 4, 2013 8:42pm Sep 4, 2013 8:42pm
Quoting 2+2=4ex
{quote} We're going to really see how strong/weak Aussie is.
Exactly and I´m not optimistic.
  • #64,082
  • Sep 4, 2013 8:46pm Sep 4, 2013 8:46pm
Price has already made up the 20 pip drop from the news release.
  • #64,083
  • Sep 4, 2013 8:48pm Sep 4, 2013 8:48pm
Hi

do not look for price level just take a bite and go away. come back next day do the same fx is a yoo yoo go up and down


cheers
  • #64,084
  • Sep 4, 2013 8:51pm Sep 4, 2013 8:51pm
Quoting lazy
Hi do not look for price level just take a bite and go away. come back next day do the same fx is a yoo yoo go up and down cheers
Good luck with that!
  • #64,085
  • Sep 4, 2013 8:53pm Sep 4, 2013 8:53pm
last month was revised down from 0.60B to 0.24B..
  • #64,086
  • Sep 4, 2013 8:53pm Sep 4, 2013 8:53pm
It's funny how Aussie doesn't give a shit about news. Nonetheless, those revisions and that rally... strange things. Even if I managed to predict Long move, never thought it would be that sudden (btw. initial TP was at ~0.9250, though I've left only 1 small long to see if that happens). At this point I might say "highier it goes, harder it falls".
  • #64,087
  • Sep 4, 2013 8:55pm Sep 4, 2013 8:55pm
Quoting Xeet
It's funny how Aussie doesn't give a shit about news.
Notice the difference from 2 months ago

Any bad news was "sell sell sell"

This should be a clue...
  • #64,088
  • Sep 4, 2013 9:00pm Sep 4, 2013 9:00pm
Aussie in my opinion will be back at/above parity <12months maybe 6. I really think we have seen bottom at 88.47 and any dip is an opportunity to get long
  • #64,089
  • Sep 4, 2013 9:06pm Sep 4, 2013 9:06pm
Quoting SpartanTrade
Aussie in my opinion will be back at/above parity <12months maybe 6. I really think we have seen bottom at 88.47 and any dip is an opportunity to get long
Might happen. I can't say if it was THE bottom. It is still hard to predict Syrias (maybe minor, maybe none or maybe huge on a speculative basis) influence and most importantly, tapering's influence. As long as those two things are not sorted, it's hard to say if it was the bottom.
  • #64,090
  • Sep 4, 2013 9:07pm Sep 4, 2013 9:07pm
Quoting samirs
9080 may be a good correction level to buy if it gets there
this is the 38.2; I see it a little deeper to 9060 if we get it.
  • #64,091
  • Sep 4, 2013 9:11pm Sep 4, 2013 9:11pm
Quoting samirs
{quote} most here may be thinking about next 6-12 hours ...may be days....
and that's fair enough. There may be a few position traders out there building a net position whether long or short. Personally im long with
TP1 98.00 before xmas
TP 2 1.00 early 2014
TP3 1.03 H1 2014
  • #64,092
  • Sep 4, 2013 9:12pm Sep 4, 2013 9:12pm
Hi samirs,
just out of curiousity, where do you get your sentiments from?
mine (dukascopy) show the reverse
consumers long @ 72.56
providers are short

cheers
Attached Images
  • #64,093
  • Sep 4, 2013 9:15pm Sep 4, 2013 9:15pm
Quoting SpartanTrade
{quote} and that's fair enough. There may be a few position traders out there building a net position whether long or short. Personally im long with TP1 98.00 before xmas TP 2 1.00 early 2014 TP3 1.03 H1 2014


I would reconsider that analysis,


IF job number comes in decent on friday and IF fed tapers, I think this baby is heading to the 85 area. might see this rally last to 93 but thats about it imo
  • #64,094
  • Sep 4, 2013 9:25pm Sep 4, 2013 9:25pm
Quoting edindzeko
{quote} Wave 3 is fizzling but lets see what happens in 2 hours with USD Beige Book Either that gives us enough juice to get through 92 or we start your wave 4 down. Next 12-24 hours I am watching for wave down for sure
That sounds about right.............
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #64,095
  • Sep 4, 2013 10:01pm Sep 4, 2013 10:01pm
While we wait for the future to unfold it's secrets, tak a good read through this. And have a good laugh, I had it for sure.


http://21stcenturywire.com/2013/06/0...ats-in-europe/
  • #64,096
  • Sep 4, 2013 10:02pm Sep 4, 2013 10:02pm
Looks like upward momentum has really petered out...closed long now and ready to get short
  • #64,097
  • Sep 4, 2013 10:04pm Sep 4, 2013 10:04pm
Quoting edindzeko
Looks like upward momentum has really petered out...closed long now and ready to get short

Short @ 0.91717. SL @ BE -3
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: short.png Size: 8 KB
  • #64,098
  • Sep 4, 2013 10:13pm Sep 4, 2013 10:13pm
I still have my pending at 0.907 curious how far can this go down. Will this long continue next week? We have chinese data and meeting next week and election this week. As i have always posted here before, it may hit 0.92~0.925, during election and from here, is purely base on external effects.... If chinese data comes out better than forecast... 0.95 is a possible target but i think it is possible, if we have a retracement first, to cool off the rapid incline, and secondly is lunar Chinese New Year, demand is def there to boost chinese trade balance...however there is still a downside risk of tapering(which i think they will delay with all the suddent bad data coming out) and intervention(i fcking hope they dont), if these two happens, retest of last week low is highly possible...
Logics do not apply in FOREX
  • #64,099
  • Sep 4, 2013 10:18pm Sep 4, 2013 10:18pm
Quoting bskwak1124
I still have my pending at 0.907 curious how far can this go down. Will this long continue next week? We have chinese data and meeting next week and election this week. As i have always posted here before, it may hit 0.92~0.925, during election and from here, is purely base on external effects.... If chinese data comes out better than forecast... 0.95 is a possible target but i think it is possible, if we have a retracement first, to cool off the rapid incline, and secondly is lunar Chinese New Year, demand is def there to boost chinese trade balance...however...
I really wasn't serious with that short above, just a random scalp on m1 chart (decided to close last long). Though, I do believe that shorts will bring some money at some point in the near future. And I agree that 0.91500 has to break for that to happen.
  • #64,100
  • Sep 4, 2013 10:29pm Sep 4, 2013 10:29pm
There seems to be uncertainty on both sides of the table - in US and AUS.

One thing I just heard: the Coalition (who seem to have the Aussie federal election in the bag) seeks to fund it's Paid Parental Scheme partly from investors - via way of franking credits. ie investors will have to pay tax on their share dividends, in addition to the company they are investing in. To me, this doesn't seem pro-AUD.
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