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AUD/USD

  • #63,641
  • Sep 2, 2013 5:54pm Sep 2, 2013 5:54pm
Hi

By the end of this week i like to see auzi around.9150


cheers
  • #63,642
  • Sep 2, 2013 6:06pm Sep 2, 2013 6:06pm
Quoting lazy
Hi By the end of this week i like to see auzi around.9150 cheers
Me too...
  • #63,643
  • Sep 2, 2013 6:06pm Sep 2, 2013 6:06pm
All depends on fundamentals. Sure looks good to go long but anything could happen.
  • #63,644
  • Sep 2, 2013 6:27pm Sep 2, 2013 6:27pm
Quoting lazy
Hi By the end of this week i like to see auzi around.9150 cheers
is this a prediction or wishlist?
  • #63,645
  • Sep 2, 2013 7:05pm Sep 2, 2013 7:05pm
Quoting lazy
Hi By the end of this week i like to see auzi around.9150 cheers
.9180 would be nice.............

Can I put our order in ?
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #63,646
  • Sep 2, 2013 7:10pm Sep 2, 2013 7:10pm
Quoting santuary123
{quote} Oyeah forgot US holiday @@ Can i ask 1 question?I cant understand.. "why from morning till evening (Indonesian time) is still up trend then when the night being down trend? Oyeah i want give my analysis.. Please correct if my analysis wrong sir.. If retail sales + cash rate good for ausi i think can go to .905 but my 1st target is .902 if can break 2nd target is .905 Then if GDP & trade balance for ausi nice too + bad news for US can go to 0.92 (3rd my target).. But i'm want see how many points are going up and down when the news GDP (Ausi)...
There may be various factors. I am not sure of the time difference between Indonesia and major market sessions, but if you notice - as I have mentioned - that AUD went up with the decline of yen even though the US dollar had a great day. Traditionally, this makes sense because AUD is a "risk" currency. I believe the London, or just prior, is when the yen really sold off.

.9050 is plausible. .9000 is still resistance as a close above is needed for substantial movement IMO. I posted the first chart last night, and resistance held up. .9000 in regards to a close, and .9020 in regards to the spike above (high I have is .9014).

I also assume if Congress comes back tomorrow or Wednesday with a vote of no attack on Syria, there will be a hard risk on, which may boost AUD.

Than again, retail sales are in a few hours. They have missed the last four months. The consumer is really hurting, and I am sure the devaluation of their currency is not helping. Considering the RBA just cute rates, I wouldn't expect that to come into play until the next reporting in order to give more fundamentals - not saying they will or won't because I just don't know.

Good ratial sales, .9050 seems reasonable, but the Aussie doesn't hold these moves for long.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2013-09-01-TOS_CHARTS1.png Size: 106 KB
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #63,647
  • Sep 2, 2013 7:22pm Sep 2, 2013 7:22pm
0.8950 again. Classic pump and dump trade today.
  • #63,648
  • Sep 2, 2013 7:23pm Sep 2, 2013 7:23pm
Very obvious .889x is good support.. and there is support TL on weekly chart..
Target .94...
  • #63,649
  • Sep 2, 2013 7:25pm Sep 2, 2013 7:25pm
Anyone going short.
  • #63,650
  • Sep 2, 2013 7:27pm Sep 2, 2013 7:27pm
I was looking to enter in around 0.8970 this afternoon and missed my entry because of lack of focus and have been left behind watching this float upwards since instead of having the option of taking profits into tonights activity or letting a free trade ride.

My plan of action now is to see if we get worse than expected numbers and if so I am looking to buy on any retrace.
  • #63,651
  • Sep 2, 2013 7:35pm Sep 2, 2013 7:35pm
Nikkei futures up almost 4% currently. I don't know how much longer that will persist. If it pulls back, I am thinking the AUD will too
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #63,652
  • Sep 2, 2013 7:49pm Sep 2, 2013 7:49pm
Quoting Pip Anon
{quote} Lol we may get a close above .9000 @ 9... I am just worried about retail. May set up some limits
Dude.... You got to stop trusting that retail sentiment chart.... Doesnt mean shit.
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #63,653
  • Sep 2, 2013 7:51pm Sep 2, 2013 7:51pm
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} Dude.... You got to stop trusting that retail sentiment chart.... Doesnt mean shit.
Lol k.
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #63,654
  • Sep 2, 2013 7:52pm Sep 2, 2013 7:52pm
Quoting Pip Anon
{quote} Than again, retail sales are in a few hours. They have missed the last four months. The consumer is really hurting, and I am sure the devaluation of their currency is not helping. Considering the RBA just cute rates, I wouldn't expect that to come into play until the next reporting in order to give more fundamentals - not saying they will or won't because I just don't know. Good ratial sales, .9050 seems reasonable, but the Aussie doesn't hold these moves for long. {image}

Retail sales data for July are expected to have notched a solid increase in part due to support from sporting events in the month and the ‘School Kids Bonus’ installment paid in July.
  • #63,655
  • Sep 2, 2013 7:54pm Sep 2, 2013 7:54pm
Partial profits taken at 9020 woop woop
and if this thing has juice to clear 0.9050, we could potenyially see audusd up to 0.92 to complete The swing up on h4 chart william%range
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #63,656
  • Sep 2, 2013 7:57pm Sep 2, 2013 7:57pm
the market theme this week has been unwinding of haven bids from last week, and global growth. might see AUD raging higher with equities.
  • #63,657
  • Sep 2, 2013 7:59pm Sep 2, 2013 7:59pm
Quoting fxtyrant
Partial profits taken at 9020 woop woop and if this thing has juice to clear 0.9050, we could potenyially see audusd up to 0.92 to complete The swing up on h4 chart william%range
congratulations to you. I have target at .9020 from .89 too, but I have to admit I jumped ship at .90 round number when I see that PA is not strong.
The true fact is market doesn't care, risk mgt is important.
  • #63,658
  • Sep 2, 2013 8:04pm Sep 2, 2013 8:04pm
Quoting Ssm
{quote} congratulations to you. I have target at .9020 from .89 too, but I have to admit I jumped ship at .90 round number when I see that PA is not strong.
Ah well still good profit
now i wait for nzdusd the laggard
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #63,659
  • Sep 2, 2013 8:20pm Sep 2, 2013 8:20pm
Quoting Balmain Boy
{quote} Retail sales data for July are expected to have notched a solid increase in part due to support from sporting events in the month and the ‘School Kids Bonus’ installment paid in July.
back to school spending? Dont they start school in dec/jan in aus?
  • #63,660
  • Sep 2, 2013 8:25pm Sep 2, 2013 8:25pm
Quoting fxtyrant
Partial profits taken at 9020 woop woop and if this thing has juice to clear 0.9050, we could potenyially see audusd up to 0.92 to complete The swing up on h4 chart william%range
You using a SL at all?
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