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  • #63,421
  • Aug 30, 2013 12:28pm Aug 30, 2013 12:28pm
Quoting 2+2=4ex
{image}


u keep posting this info....

but this is only info form Oanda!

how big is Oanda in comparison to the whole Forex market?

could tat number really be 50 / 50

or maybe more short then long?

You are only showing a small percentage of how the entire market is positioned....

we need a deeper book then Oanda

have a good weekend.....I have spent the day with the family doing some fun stuff.....we have been @ Ceasars for the week - so I am going downstairs now like KillerWhale and going to have some fun!

Good weekend to everyone....

Cheers,

Faller.
I don't trust any move - when you have profit...take it.
  • #63,422
  • Aug 30, 2013 1:19pm Aug 30, 2013 1:19pm
Quoting Faller
{quote} u keep posting this info.... but this is only info form Oanda! how big is Oanda in comparison to the whole Forex market? could tat number really be 50 / 50 or maybe more short then long? You are only showing a small percentage of how the entire market is positioned.... we need a deeper book then Oanda have a good weekend.....I have spent the day with the family doing some fun stuff.....we have been @ Ceasars for the week - so I am going downstairs now like KillerWhale and going to have some fun! Good weekend to everyone.... Cheers, Faller....
At your request Mr Faller - a MUCH deeper book:
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  • #63,423
  • Aug 30, 2013 2:52pm Aug 30, 2013 2:52pm
if a large trader read this position...
said there are lot position aud net short, so a lot of people must close this position before the reversal...if i don't to start to close my position short the risk of fire is big. AUD TREND IS SHORT NOW..but the risk it's the close a lot of position fast and a big short squeeze is near the dooor.
A lot of bads news are priced now...if ther'arent a lot bads for the future ...there is only one way...a big pullback is coming.
remember all the time...buy the rumors sell the news.
i think the bottom is near...because the net short now is very big, in the alst two months it's a tarding range with a lot volume, now it's possible a break out 0f 88,50 ...but i think is a big trap if ther'arent fresh sellers...
the bottom is near ... we must to be careful, because it's three days and 89 support is very hard....if change the mood there is a definitly reversal for the next months.
bye
  • #63,424
  • Aug 30, 2013 4:33pm Aug 30, 2013 4:33pm

Check this shite out. Both USDJPY positions in the green, but because my broker's closing spread is heinously fecking ridiculous, ended friday with underwater-above water positions.


Looks like my broker was trying to get some SLs before the weekend.



I also have an Aussie short ITM, but because of the size of the position and insanely wide spread, it is not technically profitable.

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When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #63,425
  • Aug 30, 2013 9:51pm Aug 30, 2013 9:51pm
Quoting Faller
{quote} u keep posting this info.... but this is only info form Oanda! how big is Oanda in comparison to the whole Forex market? could tat number really be 50 / 50 or maybe more short then long? You are only showing a small percentage of how the entire market is positioned.... we need a deeper book then Oanda have a good weekend.....I have spent the day with the family doing some fun stuff.....we have been @ Ceasars for the week - so I am going downstairs now like KillerWhale and going to have some fun! Good weekend to everyone.... Cheers, Faller....
Is the information only from Oanda? Yes

Is Oanda one of the larger retail brokers? Yes

Is it reasonable to think to think that the majority of retail traders "think" alike across all brokers? I think so

Do with this information what you like.

Maybe you can connect the dots, or maybe you can't.

Have a nice weekend also.
  • #63,426
  • Aug 30, 2013 10:03pm Aug 30, 2013 10:03pm
Quoting 2+2=4ex
{quote} Is the information only from Oanda? Yes Is Oanda one of the larger retail brokers? Yes Is it reasonable to think to think that the majority of retail traders "think" alike across all brokers? I think so Do with this information what you like. Maybe you can connect the dots, or maybe you can't. Have a nice weekend also.

I wipe my arse with info like that......

thanks....it was kind of itchy after the hot humid day we had here......LOL!!!!!!

info is info.......

charts are charts.....

I have no opinion......but my arse is less itchy now!

Have a good weekend!

Faller.
I don't trust any move - when you have profit...take it.
  • #63,427
  • Aug 30, 2013 10:23pm Aug 30, 2013 10:23pm
aussie COT chart. The commercial net position has plateaued for a while at 100k that is historical max level. Expect commercials to close some of their open long positions soon, aussie would then bounce hard because large specs would also close their short positions.

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  • #63,428
  • Aug 30, 2013 10:47pm Aug 30, 2013 10:47pm
Quoting Pip Anon
Check this shite out. Both USDJPY positions in the green, but because my broker's closing spread is heinously fecking ridiculous, ended friday with underwater-above water positions. Looks like my broker was trying to get some SLs before the weekend. I also have an Aussie short ITM, but because of the size of the position and insanely wide spread, it is not technically profitable. {image}
Hey Pip, my broker does the same thing. You ought to see the spreads they put up right before technical information. I use Alpari but if I could find a different broker that was more on the level playing field I would switch in a heartbeat. If you or anyone knows of a really good broker please share the info. Thanks and have a good weekend.
  • #63,429
  • Aug 31, 2013 8:38pm Aug 31, 2013 8:38pm
I think Aud will spike up in monday morning.
  • #63,430
  • Aug 31, 2013 8:59pm Aug 31, 2013 8:59pm
If tmr all data comes out good, 0.925 should be an easy target.
Logics do not apply in FOREX
  • #63,431
  • Aug 31, 2013 9:04pm Aug 31, 2013 9:04pm
Quoting bskwak1124
If tmr all data comes out good, 0.925 should be an easy target.

Well said
  • #63,432
  • Aug 31, 2013 9:06pm Aug 31, 2013 9:06pm
Breakdown of the CNY PMI if anyone is interested, new orders jumps out at me as pretty strong so that is good, small move higher (15-20 pips maybe) in early trade but HSBC and other data due so could all change
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  • #63,433
  • Sep 1, 2013 2:12am Sep 1, 2013 2:12am
EWP
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  • #63,434
  • Sep 1, 2013 2:16am Sep 1, 2013 2:16am
Quoting Faller
{quote} u keep posting this info.... but this is only info form Oanda! how big is Oanda in comparison to the whole Forex market? could tat number really be 50 / 50 or maybe more short then long? You are only showing a small percentage of how the entire market is positioned.... we need a deeper book then Oanda have a good weekend.....I have spent the day with the family doing some fun stuff.....we have been @ Ceasars for the week - so I am going downstairs now like KillerWhale and going to have some fun! Good weekend to everyone.... Cheers, Faller....
Figures seem to be consistent with the AUD/USD trades reported in "Trades" tab on FF.

  1. 70% 146 traders
  2. 62 traders 30%

  • #63,435
  • Sep 1, 2013 3:45am Sep 1, 2013 3:45am
Quoting JeremyWS
Breakdown of the CNY PMI if anyone is interested, new orders jumps out at me as pretty strong so that is good, small move higher (15-20 pips maybe) in early trade but HSBC and other data due so could all change {image}
HSBC China Manufacturing PMI came in far better than expectation at 51 vs 50.6
no coincidence there since its been weeks we have been hearing of China's Easing of its capital control, possibly gona allow liquidity to flow back in the chinese economy....
the question is... Will this flood back into the Australian Economy?
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #63,436
  • Sep 1, 2013 7:43am Sep 1, 2013 7:43am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} HSBC China Manufacturing PMI came in far better than expectation at 51 vs 50.6 no coincidence there since its been weeks we have been hearing of China's Easing of its capital control, possibly gona allow liquidity to flow back in the chinese economy.... the question is... Will this flood back into the Australian Economy?
what came out this morning was the NBS / CFLP PMI, the HSBC non-official one is coming out in about 12 hours. less important as its non-official but arguably it's more accurate.

Either way, I doubt a slightly better PMI has another quantifiable effect on Australia, but that doesn't matter, the markets see the directionality of it an conclude - even if it is not the case.
  • #63,437
  • Sep 1, 2013 1:08pm Sep 1, 2013 1:08pm
My first quote is unchanged over the weekend, no gap...
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  • #63,438
  • Sep 1, 2013 1:38pm Sep 1, 2013 1:38pm
Quoting JeremyWS
My first quote is unchanged over the weekend, no gap... {image}
Hi,
UP? or DOWN?
my system shows up, but if price keep at the price above 0.88500. please see attached.
Thank you.
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  • #63,439
  • Sep 1, 2013 1:47pm Sep 1, 2013 1:47pm
Quoting Foren
{quote} Hi, UP? or DOWN? my system shows up, but if price keep at the price above 0.88500. please see attached. Thank you. {image}
well all I can say is that so far it is flat. Long term down, short term flat/maybe a little up. But obviously that can change.
  • #63,440
  • Sep 1, 2013 1:59pm Sep 1, 2013 1:59pm
Bids emerging, now up 0.4% or so.
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