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Market is ever changing?

  • #41
  • Aug 26, 2013 10:31pm Aug 26, 2013 10:31pm
Quoting Xhale
{quote} This.

Markets always and forever change..........


and will always change...............................

what shouldn't change so much is your method

simply adjust your thought process to agree.

that's it
When the Joker is in the deck.. fear not and play it well
  • #42
  • Aug 26, 2013 11:36pm Aug 26, 2013 11:36pm
Quoting Slim Buffett
{quote} Hello Ishtana...... Firstly, I don't believe there is anything that can be guaranteed 100%. I mean, get real, you know it and I know it. {quote} You can only HOPE to know what's next. Do you think that you want to trade like Forrest Gump and think that you never know what comes next. ??? Might be the greatest idea of all time but if so, why would you be concerned about your particular method? {quote} ...... and that statement is reason for concern. Think about it for a minute.. All the best
There has never been a day where EUR/USD doesn't move for at least one fraction of pip. Not at the beginning of time, not at the end. That's one 100% change, guaranteed. =) Anyone willing to bet against this?

See that's the thing about me Slim, I pick the reversal at swing points, but I have no idea how far price will move, so my TP is always conservative. I don't understand what warrants big and long sustained move. I'm looking at studying more in depth on the fundamentals. People keep saying this is the reason behind major prolonged moves.

It is a concern my friend. I've thought about it for more than a minute.
  • #43
  • Aug 27, 2013 12:27am Aug 27, 2013 12:27am
Quoting Ishtana
{quote} There has never been a day where EUR/USD doesn't move for at least one fraction of pip. Not at the beginning of time, not at the end. That's one 100% change, guaranteed. =) Anyone willing to bet against this?
OK, Ishtana, so you're trying to prove a point. As I said..... the market moves up or down...
Even that isn't 100% guaranteed. There's no need to go into detail there as you're speaking
of probability versus guarantee.
The two are HUGELY different.


Quoting Ishtana
{quote}See that's the thing about me Slim, I pick the reversal at swing points, but I have no idea how far price will move, so my TP is always conservative. I don't understand what warrants big and long sustained move. I'm looking at studying more in depth on the fundamentals. People keep saying this is the reason behind major prolonged moves. It is a concern my friend. I've thought about it for more than a minute.
That's a great idea, but rather than setting a conservative TP, have you tried moving your S/L
(or trailing stop, as it may by). Well.... it probably doesn't matter that much.

There are times when you can study what's happening
and it matters
other times nothing matters except your trading method
and what you're willing to lose (win)

kapish ??
When the Joker is in the deck.. fear not and play it well
  • #44
  • Aug 27, 2013 12:33am Aug 27, 2013 12:33am
Quoting Slim Buffett
{quote} OK, Ishtana, so you're trying to prove a point. As I said..... the market moves up or down... Even that isn't 100% guaranteed. There's no need to go into detail there as you're speaking of probability versus guarantee. The two are HUGELY different. {quote} That's a great idea, but rather than setting a conservative TP, have you tried moving your S/L (or trailing stop, as it may by). Well.... it probably doesn't matter that much. There are times when you can study what's happening and it matters other times nothing matters except your trading method and what you're willing to lose (win) kapish ??
Capisce Godfather.

Well, to start with I have to share my computer with 4 people so my EA cannot manage my trade.

I don't have access to VPN, and don't know how to set one up, and most probably cannot yet afford one.

I know for sure that the regular trailing stop doesn't work now that I know how price behaves.

The only thing that works for me is manual jump stop loss but that means I have to check the screen almost every hour. That, I can't afford.

I'm not sacrificing my life outside forex for forex. I love forex, but I'm not obsessed by it.
  • #45
  • Aug 27, 2013 12:55am Aug 27, 2013 12:55am
Quoting Ishtana
{quote} Capisce Godfather.
Please don't call me that ever again else you'll be jinxed by the cards that are dealt you.

Quoting Ishtana
{quote}Well, to start with I have to share my computer with 4 people so my EA cannot manage my trade.

Then you're not managing your business or what's really important. ?? yOU let others ............
you finish that thought.

Quoting Ishtana
{quote} I don't have access to VPN, and don't know how to set one up, and most probably cannot yet afford one. I know for sure that the regular trailing stop doesn't work now that I know how price behaves. The only thing that works for me is manual jump stop loss but that means I have to check the screen almost every hours. That, I can't afford. I'm not sacrificing my life outside forex for forex. I love forex, but I'm not obsessed by it.
Almost anyone that's trading can afford VPN and it's easy to set up.
I don't have one because I don't want it yet.
I don't wish to be obsessed
(?) If I am, I'll get over it
Trade-offs apply...........
Make choices..... adopt a longer term strategy or SACRIFICE ???

In my experience, nothing is gained without sacrificing something.
"I'm not sacrificing my life outside forex for forex." When you learn
how to absolutely and for real, do that, please let me know. It would be
the greatest breakthrough to date.

kapish, godmother ????
When the Joker is in the deck.. fear not and play it well
  • #46
  • Edited 1:30am Aug 27, 2013 1:10am | Edited 1:30am
Quoting Slim Buffett
{quote} Please don't call me that ever again else you'll be jinxed by the cards that are dealt you. {quote} Then you're not managing your business or what's really important. ?? yOU let others ............ you finish that thought. {quote} Almost anyone that's trading can afford VPN and it's easy to set up. I don't have one because I don't want it yet. I don't wish to be obsessed (?) If I am, I'll get over it Trade-offs apply........... Make choices..... adopt a longer term strategy or SACRIFICE ??? In my experience, nothing is gained without sacrificing...
LOL. To call someone a Godfather is a sign of respect. Don't you watch the movie Godfather? It's like one of the best mafia movies I've seen in my entirely life.

Aight Slim Shady, you make the call =)

Dude, I'm not a millionaire. Do you think if I have the money I won't do something about it? I'm a struggling musician for Pete's sake. Do you think I'm not longing to have a computer on my own, preferably a trading station of my own? With multiple monitors and fancy stuff? Although my trading is winning, I can't withdraw any money yet. It would be like pulling out the root as soon as you see the first blossom.

That's the funny thing about trading. You can be successful, and yet still broke. It's gonna take a while for me to make a sizeable capital and take anything above that level. When I trade 10 lots then keep winning 20-30 pips like I'm doing now, then I can start to sort my own and others affairs.

I spend day and night studying forex. I have sacrificed that much in that way. But if I got a booty call, I don't want to sacrifice that for 30 pips =) That's too valuable to sacrifice. LOL! I prefer tits to pips.

And I wouldn't sacrifice a gig for 30 pips either. There's something therapeutic in playing music together. It's the chicken soup for the soul. It is irreplaceable by anything.
  • #47
  • Aug 27, 2013 2:11am Aug 27, 2013 2:11am
Quoting Ishtana
{quote} LOL. To call someone a Godfather is a sign of respect. Don't you watch the movie Godfather? It's like one of the best mafia movies I've seen in my entirely life.
Of course but I don't need/want respect here on this forum. If so I would be much more
respectful myself.
What I believe is that everyone should try and think for themselves, right or wrong. Eventually
you'll prove to yourself (most important) about right or wrong.


Quoting Ishtana
{quote}Aight Slim Shady, you make the call =)
That's MUCH more appropriate. Thank you.


Quoting Ishtana
{quote}Dude, I'm not a millionaire. Do you think if I have the money I won't do something about it?
I don't think anything about it it.

Quoting Ishtana
{quote} I'm a struggling musician for Pete's sake. Do you think I'm not longing to have a computer on my own, preferably a trading station of my own? With multiple monitors and fancy stuff? Although my trading is winning, I can't withdraw any money yet. It would be like pulling out the root as soon as you see the first blossom. That's the funny thing about trading. You can be successful, and yet still broke. It's gonna take a while for me to make a sizeable capital and take anything above that level. When I trade 10 lots then keep winning 20-30...
Everyone is always a struggling something. If you're determined enough...... or maybe if I piss you off enough
by saying that you're wasting your time.... maybe you'll get what you want.
So what's it gon'na be .... you gon'na whine and cry 'cuz "you're torn between 2 lovers"... forex and music

Well..... I'd choose tits (and sex) over Forex as well but I'm just thinking.......
In the really long term............
I think you catch my drift

"some days I pray to the god of sex and drugs and rock-n-roll"

How long can that last and what good is it without FUNDS ??
When the Joker is in the deck.. fear not and play it well
  • #48
  • Aug 27, 2013 8:41am Aug 27, 2013 8:41am
Market has never changed. Trending, ranging, swinging, spikes........ are just part of its routine.
  • #49
  • Aug 27, 2013 9:18am Aug 27, 2013 9:18am
What I see are tons of opinions about what "change" means to different people. Zero quantitative insight This is quite sad as something like market change can be easily defined and calculated. Does anyone on this forum care about analysing the statistical properties of the pairs they trade (distribution of returns, market efficiency, serial correlations, etc) ? Is there no one with a serious quantitative insight here?
  • #50
  • Aug 27, 2013 9:23am Aug 27, 2013 9:23am
Quoting Ishtana
Relax... I'm not teaching or sharing. Nope, I just wonder what people would say to this question: If market is ever changing, what's the point of studying one particular strategy? Or a matter of fact, any strategy at all? You could easily spent thousands on a course/strategy/method/guru, studying it for the whole year, demoing with great success. But by the time you've mastered it, market has changed again, the loop hole inefficiencies have been closed, and therefore the strategy is no longer profitable. Such a waste. They say you have to have an...
I agree to some of what you said ... But ... beside adapting to how the market changes if you follow good money management tools and sticking only to the basics ( Support and Resistance and Trendlines ) you'll be more than fine. And the adapting will be easier like never before. After all this is some newbie talking
Winners never quit and quitters never win. Vince Lombardi
  • #51
  • Aug 27, 2013 9:46am Aug 27, 2013 9:46am
The change does not affect the whole forex as an entity. We talk about trending and ultimately you need to be continually adjusting your strategies to the dynamics of the markets. Anyway nothing is steady in this tectonic shift and economic upheaval and so is forex.

Just study the pattern and see how you can integrate it with your strategies. Patience......is the key...
  • #52
  • Aug 27, 2013 9:50am Aug 27, 2013 9:50am
Of course the market is ever changing as the variables it represents are ever changing. What will always stay the same is people and the fact that liquidity is finite.
Time hides Nothing
  • #53
  • Aug 30, 2013 8:14am Aug 30, 2013 8:14am
I think market always change and there are ups and downs in the market so we should aware of these changes.
  • #54
  • Sep 1, 2013 7:10am Sep 1, 2013 7:10am
It is the markets which general role is to up and down. It is flowing and will be flown in future too.........
  • #55
  • Sep 2, 2013 2:01am Sep 2, 2013 2:01am
Quoting Ishtana
Relax... I'm not teaching or sharing. Nope, I just wonder what people would say to this question: If market is ever changing, what's the point of studying one particular strategy? Or a matter of fact, any strategy at all? You could easily spent thousands on a course/strategy/method/guru, studying it for the whole year, demoing with great success. But by the time you've mastered it, market has changed again, the loop hole inefficiencies have been closed, and therefore the strategy is no longer profitable. Such a waste. They say you have to have an...

Markets aren't forever changing. Peoples memories are just forever short.
  • #56
  • Sep 3, 2013 3:47am Sep 3, 2013 3:47am
Quoting Owl
{quote} A dragon feathered snake you mean...
You are both wrong The market is a pig. Ride a big nasty pig!
  • #57
  • Sep 3, 2013 3:55am Sep 3, 2013 3:55am
Quoting erik1
My personal methods generate billions of strategies based on PA, machine learning and TA and perform systematic evaluations of many different ways to create/change them. Know that this is not simple. Strategies need to be changed and you need to know how to do this. If it was as easy as purchasing a commercial system, then everyone would be rich. It takes far more than that to succeed in mechanical trading. There is no set and forget solution, no mechanical system that will always work, the market evolves, as so should your systems/strategies. If...
Can you elaborate on this.. Let me picture a general view: (7 currency indexes, 21 pairs, decision process is only with the movement of indexes on a different TFs. Different attributes, again only on indexes.) Direction which im interested in Is the problem and a challenge when to turn off the strategy..Im working on a TRade Manager atm and looking for a mechanical player which would consider different scenarios. Just dont know how to handle that. Im planning to see the larger picture of net positions and risk on every particular currency and ill try to limit the risk here.) Also limit repeatable trades, when already we experianced TPs or SLs.
Well, any suggestion and opinion on this matter appreciated
  • #58
  • Sep 3, 2013 3:55am Sep 3, 2013 3:55am
Quoting Ishtana
{quote} ...Yeah, I got suspended recently by a senior member when I was teaching my method. I think he/she is not too comfortable with the truth I was sharing, which most probably against his/her own super understanding of forex. Hey who am I to say a senior member is wrong? ... I got bullied by one of them who abused the in-built bullying system. What's the point of having moderators when senior members can suspend people like that? Twee contacted me and he said the suspension was unwarranted for. The suspension was lifted and the senior member...
can you tell the truth now?
  • #59
  • Sep 3, 2013 4:45am Sep 3, 2013 4:45am
i dont know why someones say this stupid things that market is ever changing !
Markets Never Change !The only and The Only Thing that change is Length of Movements for Example Its possible at 2008 we have 300 pip daily range at Eur/usd And in years later its possible we have 100 pips Daily range.
Markets Always and Always are the same And If one Strategy work sometimes and dont work in another period This is not by changing in markets This is by that all of these technical anaylises that we see in forums are all bullshit ,total crap ! you guys really thing that big boys or banks Trade by these stupid indicators or anything else you can see it clearly in charts ? omg !
all markets in the world have the same formula and they never change ! Any system that you cr8 work for some period and may work not at another period and why ? Because These system dont have any Relations with Formulas of financial markets ! Then all of them are randomess Some of Theme working at Trend Period And Some of Theme work at Range period , For example possible we have 3-4 years of range period in a Pair and those range systems work very good at these 3-4 years and in years later that pair will go to trend Cycle and From that time Trend Systems working very good !
Wake Up dont fool Yourself with that kind of thinks !
You Must Love CandleSticks
  • #60
  • Sep 3, 2013 4:58am Sep 3, 2013 4:58am
hm, then you need only 2 strategies: one for trending and one for range. 100% prooofffeed
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