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AUD/USD

  • #62,781
  • Aug 22, 2013 6:35am Aug 22, 2013 6:35am
Quoting Saintly FX
Time to go long ppl. The downtrend is finished, hopefully.
not so sure just yet....I still think that second rate cut is not priced in fully.
  • #62,782
  • Aug 22, 2013 6:37am Aug 22, 2013 6:37am
Quoting Saintly FX
Time to go long ppl. The downtrend is finished, hopefully.

i dont know if downtrend is finished or not.. i cant see that far .. but e/a fall is good for a/u bull
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #62,783
  • Aug 22, 2013 6:50am Aug 22, 2013 6:50am
Quoting Pip Anon
{quote} What's 50 pips in the big scheme of things Charts pre and post Chinese data, pretty much did what I thought. Rejected at .91 after a decline to .8931. It might keep attempted to attack .91, but DX is still inflated post-FOMC {image} {image}
I was just agreeing with you son..............
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #62,784
  • Aug 22, 2013 6:52am Aug 22, 2013 6:52am
Quoting Hyperion
I am watching the Asian currencies crater (and their stock markets to a degree) and I fear the loose but apparent corelation with the Kiwi and Aussie Dollars will drag them lower too. Below is an overlay of the Aussie and the IDR. Same picture with INR, PHP et al... (IDR scale is on right and inverted)... feels like deja vu all over again! {image}
If past ='s future, it tells me the AUD is going to fall another 800 pips.....................
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #62,785
  • Aug 22, 2013 7:03am Aug 22, 2013 7:03am
Quoting Davit
{quote} Are you paying attention? Feds already announced they will cut QE. It will start very soon.They already know they must The real reason why they are not announcing exact date because they don't want wall street severe volatility.
Has anyone ever thought the the Fed does it's own insider trading?

It prints it's own money.

It print's it's own news, right or wrong.

It can control it's own Destiny...............IMO

and trade to profit from others................
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #62,786
  • Aug 22, 2013 7:14am Aug 22, 2013 7:14am
I foresee this pair hitting approx 92/93 in September then tumbling down to around 85 in December.

Don't ask me why or how, because, I don't know. It's just a 'feeling'.
  • #62,787
  • Aug 22, 2013 8:24am Aug 22, 2013 8:24am
Quoting Mozzy
{quote} Hahahaaa, nice gif. Which site did you get that from?
I don't know which site it was. I just google image searched "boobs gif" and picked that one.
  • #62,788
  • Aug 22, 2013 8:30am Aug 22, 2013 8:30am
.9041 looks like a good spot to short, if not there then .909 area, targeting that 8850 area.
  • #62,789
  • Aug 22, 2013 8:30am Aug 22, 2013 8:30am
Quoting lazy
{quote} Hi you beauty wow cheers
I hope you don't think that was me. I'm a guy, dude.

Quoting HelloOz
{quote} Hey Sexy.. whats the ratio now? 50:50? {image}
Sexy? (see above)
Attached Image
  • #62,790
  • Aug 22, 2013 8:42am Aug 22, 2013 8:42am
Quoting TauTrader
{quote} Good day, We do have a little bit of negative correlation between USD/CAD and AUD/USD - something to the tune of 70% over the past 20 months ( on average). I think USD/CAD is gunning for 1.07 - so 200 pips to go. This is keeping AUD depressed. The good news is that USD/CAD also has a downside target of 1.0180 in coming months - so AUD can FLY then.. just as frustrated. But understand why. All the best
Agree....but trade is 'long' for sure...
  • #62,791
  • Aug 22, 2013 8:42am Aug 22, 2013 8:42am
Take a look at AUDJPY & AUDCHF also...

The bullish performance can be also very interesting ST / MT..
  • #62,792
  • Aug 22, 2013 8:53am Aug 22, 2013 8:53am
Quoting Red Herring
{quote} Agree....but trade is 'long' for sure...
good day to you, sir

We may be in for lower first - but target remains 0.9284 - building, building, building

regards
  • #62,793
  • Aug 22, 2013 11:15am Aug 22, 2013 11:15am
Quoting forexalien
{quote} I was just agreeing with you son..............
I'm aware. I was being facetious.
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #62,794
  • Aug 22, 2013 11:34am Aug 22, 2013 11:34am
Quoting forexalien
{quote} Has anyone ever thought the the Fed does it's own insider trading? It prints it's own money. It print's it's own news, right or wrong. It can control it's own Destiny...............IMO and trade to profit from others................

of course, why wouldnt they?
  • #62,795
  • Aug 22, 2013 11:40am Aug 22, 2013 11:40am
Anyone trading the 'Roo now?

Contemplating long at 90
  • #62,796
  • Aug 22, 2013 11:48am Aug 22, 2013 11:48am
I'm still in short .. wont go long until London session tomorrow .. this downturn should play out thru NY and Tokyo .. look to exit short and go long around 0.8934
  • #62,797
  • Aug 22, 2013 11:50am Aug 22, 2013 11:50am
Quoting borngreat007
I'm still in short .. wont go long until London session tomorrow .. this downturn should play out thru NY and Tokyo .. look to exit short and go long around 0.8934
stacking multiple shorts,
now I have 4 stacsks,

TP 0,8956

won't go long
  • #62,798
  • Aug 22, 2013 12:03pm Aug 22, 2013 12:03pm
Good to catch these things as they come. playing it by ear. Although I disagree with even uttering a "Taper" with with no inclusion of a recovery or the Fed lowering their standard of what a recovery is.

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-0...ends-june-2014

But this has certainly been a good specimen that exposes how biases influence markets. But we'll see that if in doing so it influences fundamentals.
The coincidental success is more dangerous than the expected failure
  • #62,799
  • Aug 22, 2013 12:52pm Aug 22, 2013 12:52pm
Quoting Neqrotik
Good to catch these things as they come. playing it by ear. Although I disagree with even uttering a "Taper" with with no inclusion of a recovery or the Fed lowering their standard of what a recovery is. http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-0...ends-june-2014 But this has certainly been a good specimen that exposes how biases influence markets. But we'll see that if in doing so it influences fundamentals.
This is what I think: The taper is bull, and Bernanke back himself into a corner by tying a taper to economic performance. In the same since, he believes the economy is growing, albeit slow, but believes easy money is still needed. To me, that is contra-indicative. Allow the economy to grow on it's own, even if it is slow.

It is the equivalent of today's society being medicaid for the common flu instead of taking a short-term pain to build of an immunity.

The market believes the same thing. Economy is growing, but god forbid you remove the needle of hopium from the market's vein.

The taper is an excuse to say it will happen, but there is never a hard deadline because the market would crash. Bernanke says by the end of the year given the economy improves more. So there may be, maybe not, be a taper.

I blame the politicians for not doing their shit, and blame Bernanke for not keeping shite real. If we need to take some wacks, lets take them.

Two shinning, or dimmly lit, lights are housing and jobs. The housing market won't survive because foreign money is begining to withdraw from the market, and it is likely markets will increase rates. As the mortgage rate increases, housing will slow. Maybe not a crash, but not parabolic growth we've seen of late.

The jobs is a catch 22: there have not been chronic layoffs like we seen a few years ago, but companies are lean. They demand more out of their employees thus not needing extra hands. When an educated individual needs two part-time jobs to get by the labor market isn't fecking healthy.

But this is the new America.
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #62,800
  • Aug 22, 2013 1:05pm Aug 22, 2013 1:05pm
Quoting Pip Anon
{quote} This is what I think: The taper is bull, and Bernanke back himself into a corner by tying a taper to economic performance. In the same since, he believes the economy is growing, albeit slow, but believes easy money is still needed. To me, that is contra-indicative. Allow the economy to grow on it's own, even if it is slow. It is the equivalent of today's society being medicaid for the common flu instead of taking a short-term pain to build of an immunity. The market believes the same thing. Economy is growing, but god forbid you remove the...
Well said m8.

But what you (and I) think is different from what we will see on the charts in the short-term... so we just continue to play the game until the wheels fall off
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