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AUD/USD

  • #62,521
  • Aug 19, 2013 11:02pm Aug 19, 2013 11:02pm
I really think this pair is going to be a long squeeze. US yields are going to continue to rise with expectation of Taper and Debt ceiling issue something to consider as well. Let alone rising oil prices and equity unwinds. For the short term anyway...
The coincidental success is more dangerous than the expected failure
  • #62,522
  • Aug 19, 2013 11:13pm Aug 19, 2013 11:13pm
Quoting 2+2=4ex
Alien and I know why... {image}
ToO FUnNy.........
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #62,523
  • Aug 19, 2013 11:19pm Aug 19, 2013 11:19pm
next move please
Get Rich or Die Tryin
  • #62,524
  • Aug 19, 2013 11:30pm Aug 19, 2013 11:30pm
close below, looking for lower. A "squeeze" may happen, but I doubt at these levels. Remember the range over the last couple months has been .90-.93

Like to reach mid-.89s
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2013-08-20-TOS_CHARTS.png Size: 120 KB
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #62,525
  • Aug 19, 2013 11:31pm Aug 19, 2013 11:31pm
Quoting Pip Anon
close below, looking for lower. A "squeeze" may happen, but I doubt at these levels. Remember the range over the last couple months has been .90-.93 Like to reach mid-.89s {image}
Aye. Was just thinking about that a couple of minutes ago.
The coincidental success is more dangerous than the expected failure
  • #62,526
  • Aug 19, 2013 11:40pm Aug 19, 2013 11:40pm
Quoting ninner
{quote} however, if you look at the weekly COT the net non commericals are net short...that meanns the commercials are long...i think i would rather be on that side than with the non commercials....
As of the last reporting date, August 13th, commercials were net long. That is correct. However, over the previous period (August 6th) non-commercial net short positions were reduced by a net difference of 14,058 contracts. Commercials net long position was reduced by a net difference of 19,459 contracts. We have to wait for this weeks report to see if decay of commercials long position (and non-commercial shorts) continued. If so, then look for further depreciation of Australian dollar.
  • #62,527
  • Aug 19, 2013 11:40pm Aug 19, 2013 11:40pm
Quoting Neqrotik
{quote} Aye. Was just thinking about that a couple of minutes ago.
About lower? Basically, .92 held as resistance. Last two weeks there were two closes at .92 and two a few pips over. I think it will get dragged down another 75-100 pts, which london could do, and then rip up to retest .92.

Dollar is likely to trade lower until wednesday, but AUDUSD hasn't correlated well with that. It's kinda on an island in the middle of nowhwere...
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #62,528
  • Aug 19, 2013 11:45pm Aug 19, 2013 11:45pm
I am usually conservative with my PT's. As you see on my TradeTracker I have a limit at .9025 or something like that. Once I get a feelin that I am getting closer to heavy hands in the opposite direction I cash in and GTFO. There really is no way to quantify how much heavy hands or any of that. I just use simple instinct when I look at my fibs and can see some short-term overextension. I avoid big moves as much as possible.
The coincidental success is more dangerous than the expected failure
  • #62,529
  • Aug 19, 2013 11:51pm Aug 19, 2013 11:51pm
Quoting Pip Anon
{quote} About lower? Basically, .92 held as resistance. Last two weeks there were two closes at .92 and two a few pips over. I think it will get dragged down another 75-100 pts, which london could do, and then rip up to retest .92. Dollar is likely to trade lower until wednesday, but AUDUSD hasn't correlated well with that. It's kinda on an island in the middle of nowhwere...
yer.. money is moving to Eur..
  • #62,530
  • Aug 19, 2013 11:56pm Aug 19, 2013 11:56pm
Quoting HelloOz
{quote} yer.. money is moving to Eur..
I noticed that. I mean if you notice, Aussie never really pops unless there is nothing on the books for the week. It's like when you ask the average looking girl in your analytical geometry class to the prom because your pretty GF moved away two weeks prior.

Or am I the only one?
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #62,531
  • Aug 20, 2013 12:13am Aug 20, 2013 12:13am
Yen might have a nice day today!
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #62,532
  • Aug 20, 2013 12:20am Aug 20, 2013 12:20am
Quoting Pip Anon
{quote} I noticed that. I mean if you notice, Aussie never really pops unless there is nothing on the books for the week. It's like when you ask the average looking girl in your analytical geometry class to the prom because your pretty GF moved away two weeks prior. Or am I the only one?
you are the only one..
i have a family...
  • #62,533
  • Aug 20, 2013 12:33am Aug 20, 2013 12:33am
Quoting HelloOz
{quote} you are the only one.. i have a family...
Hahaha me to.. oh the early years
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #62,534
  • Aug 20, 2013 2:35am Aug 20, 2013 2:35am
I think probably the AUD/USD reaches 0.8870 , what is your opinion??,tomorrow we have news on USD I think will make it possible to achieve price 0.8870
..
  • #62,535
  • Aug 20, 2013 2:42am Aug 20, 2013 2:42am
Quoting Pip Anon
close below, looking for lower. A "squeeze" may happen, but I doubt at these levels. Remember the range over the last couple months has been .90-.93 Like to reach mid-.89s {image}
Well my chart is like a treasure map!!
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #62,536
  • Aug 20, 2013 2:50am Aug 20, 2013 2:50am
Quoting Dream_trader
Im short from 0.9180, now SL 0.9170, TP 0.9020. News made good job and I think it will go to target. Earlier that price I will not go long in long term (mean - few days).
I made short on monday at the same price and here you go - as I said. Position closed with nice profit.
Buy 0.9020; TP1 0.9220; TP2 0.9370; SL 0.8940. Addition buy from 0.8990.
  • #62,537
  • Aug 20, 2013 3:35am Aug 20, 2013 3:35am
Second Ret. is on the way.......
Keep and eye for more opportunities
to go short
  • #62,538
  • Aug 20, 2013 7:57am Aug 20, 2013 7:57am
RBA's meetings minutes helped push the AUD downwards before now currently recovering.
  • #62,539
  • Aug 20, 2013 8:14am Aug 20, 2013 8:14am
Quoting nahman
RBA's meetings minutes helped push the AUD downwards before now currently recovering.
Thanks for the in depth analysis
  • #62,540
  • Aug 20, 2013 8:19am Aug 20, 2013 8:19am
Quoting nahman
RBA's meetings minutes helped push the AUD downwards before now currently recovering.
Rather recovering, to me is this pair doesn't know where to go. Btw, i m just watching this pair.
Logics do not apply in FOREX
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