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Elliott Wave Trading

  • #5,901
  • Aug 5, 2013 1:09am Aug 5, 2013 1:09am
Wave count of NASDAQ after late May bottom....
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  • #5,902
  • Aug 5, 2013 1:09am Aug 5, 2013 1:09am
Quoting Uturn2
{quote} Thanks Ian, I was wondering about the length of wave -iii- of a. I measured it longer than wave -i-, but of course it is way short of 176%. Cheers, U2
Basically, I think a small adjustment earlier on the development could be seen in a different structure that maintains this recovery as a correction...
No I haven't got the wave structure wrong! I've corrected it!
  • #5,903
  • Edited 2:00pm Aug 5, 2013 11:29am | Edited 2:00pm
Five waves unfolded perfectly. So, we can label "Wave A" and look for "Wave B"
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  • #5,904
  • Aug 6, 2013 10:07am Aug 6, 2013 10:07am
Quoting Ian Copsey
{quote} Basically, I think a small adjustment earlier on the development could be seen in a different structure that maintains this recovery as a correction...


Hi Ian,
I have reproduced your Monthly GOLD Chart from 13th November 2012 onto my own.
[To be clear, the text beyond the 1920 high is mine and not Ian's.
I wouldn't want to mislead anyone.]
Refer link for Ian's Chart and Levels:
Ian Copsey GOLD Chart from 13th November 2012

I am therefore looking at this as a correction of the uptrend
Green (a)/(b) of Green (iii) of (C) Blue.
It appears to be unfolding as an abc correction [now in wave -c- green, down].
The 161.8% abc Fib. Expansion comes in at 1158.4,
which is nicely within your target range of 1138 - 1262.
Cheers,
and thank you for your encouragement.
[as you say: "You have to measure"]
U2
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Wait, or you will be slaughtered!
  • #5,905
  • Edited 7:03am Aug 7, 2013 6:07am | Edited 7:03am
I think I was mostly correct about Gbp/Usd

The pair is facing high volatility
And I am sorry Ian here, I think it wasn't Harmonic's iii's B.....


As I said, it was fairly possible since eur/usd didn't crack down
Now, How it will cross 1.57 that is what I am looking for.

[Edit:- I would like to see if anyone here post a brief HEW count of daily or 4h on gbp/usd]


Well, I am going for vacation soon....

**Gbp/usd is in circle of circle of circle.... of zigzags..
  • #5,906
  • Aug 7, 2013 7:26am Aug 7, 2013 7:26am
Quoting hirenfxtrade
Hello all traders, For all your replies and appreciations on my posts....., Gbp/Usd on elliott wave perspective could be on very sharp rise for this week, It might cross 1.57 If you are keep geting divergences keep buying.. (above is invalid if it breaks below 1.52600) (FYI:This is not a gamblers paradise & [edit:- not like pandora's box (laughs)]
Well, Gbp/usd is still 300 pips away from 1.5750 crack

You got divergence? enter in it........
  • #5,907
  • Aug 7, 2013 11:56am Aug 7, 2013 11:56am
Quoting hirenfxtrade
I think I was mostly correct about Gbp/Usd The pair is facing high volatility And I am sorry Ian here, I think it wasn't Harmonic's iii's B..... As I said, it was fairly possible since eur/usd didn't crack down Now, How it will cross 1.57 that is what I am looking for. [Edit:- I would like to see if anyone here post a brief HEW count of daily or 4h on gbp/usd] Well, I am going for vacation soon.... **Gbp/usd is in circle of circle of circle.... of zigzags..
Well, I am on holiday but from what I've just seen it does still look like a Wave -b- of Wave -iii-... can always break down but the next upside level (1.5537-55 - should be the higher) will provide a reaction and the subsequent support area then is quite clear also. Even in the rally in Wave -c- of -iii- we had a deep Wave b of Wave iii! So I have no idea why you don't think it's a deep Wave b of iii!
No I haven't got the wave structure wrong! I've corrected it!
  • #5,908
  • Aug 7, 2013 4:35pm Aug 7, 2013 4:35pm
HEW GOLD DLY Chart:
Wave (iii)(a/b) correction in the Long Term Uptrend.
Cheers,
U2
[enjoy your break Ian]
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Wait, or you will be slaughtered!
  • #5,909
  • Aug 8, 2013 2:44am Aug 8, 2013 2:44am
HEW GOLD 4H Chart?
Cheers,
U2
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Wait, or you will be slaughtered!
  • #5,910
  • Edited 7:21am Aug 8, 2013 6:46am | Edited 7:21am
Quoting Uturn2
HEW GOLD 4H Chart? Cheers, U2 {image}
GOLD 4H HEW Chart:
Labeling Edited.
Wave (iii) [down] minimum target [176.4% Expansion of wave (i) = 1212.99?
Cheers,
U2
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Wait, or you will be slaughtered!
  • #5,911
  • Aug 8, 2013 10:35am Aug 8, 2013 10:35am
Quoting hirenfxtrade
{quote} Well, Gbp/usd is still 300 pips away from 1.5750 crack You got divergence? enter in it........
Update of Gbp/Usd

There are now much more chances of a failure of this rising impulse. So, I must issue a warning
This is very strong & moving market so failure could happen.

A break below 1.54820 could change the picture, You shouldn't hold long if that happens...
Otherwise, keep long till 1.57 & above


[the idea been taken from Frost & Prechter's book]

Good luck traders !!
See you after Mid. sep !
  • #5,912
  • Aug 8, 2013 4:24pm Aug 8, 2013 4:24pm
Quoting hirenfxtrade
{quote} Update of Gbp/Usd There are now much more chances of a failure of this rising impulse. So, I must issue a warning This is very strong & moving market so failure could happen. A break below 1.54820 could change the picture, You shouldn't hold long if that happens... Otherwise, keep long till 1.57 & above [the idea been taken from Frost & Prechter's book] Good luck traders !! See you after Mid. sep !
The 1.5555 target was the 561.8% projection in Wave iii. That it made it all the way to 1.5573 is still ok as it's the 585.4% projection.

Now you need to work out where Wave iv can retrace and I think your 1.5482 level is way too high...
No I haven't got the wave structure wrong! I've corrected it!
  • #5,913
  • Aug 8, 2013 4:42pm Aug 8, 2013 4:42pm
Quoting Ian Copsey
{quote} The 1.5555 target was the 561.8% projection in Wave iii. That it made it all the way to 1.5573 is still ok as it's the 585.4% projection. Now you need to work out where Wave iv can retrace and I think your 1.5482 level is way too high...

thought you were on a summer break Ian
  • #5,914
  • Aug 8, 2013 5:03pm Aug 8, 2013 5:03pm
Quoting jaylovin
{quote} thought you were on a summer break Ian
99.9% of the time!
No I haven't got the wave structure wrong! I've corrected it!
  • #5,915
  • Aug 12, 2013 11:10am Aug 12, 2013 11:10am
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  • #5,916
  • Aug 13, 2013 7:17am Aug 13, 2013 7:17am
Quoting hirenfxtrade
{quote} Update of Gbp/Usd There are now much more chances of a failure of this rising impulse. So, I must issue a warning This is very strong & moving market so failure could happen. A break below 1.54820 could change the picture, You shouldn't hold long if that happens... Otherwise, keep long till 1.57 & above [the idea been taken from Frost & Prechter's book] Good luck traders !! See you after Mid. sep !
I got time to pop in here while watching chart

There is a saying (Or I just made it):- " When you are right about a direction then and only then the probability of being wrong increase about direction of that direction"

This is what probably happening with gbp/usd's speculation of mine.

gbp/usd can still achieve that high mark of 1.57

(Above came from calculating divergences _ However, channels and trend lines yet to get cross & most probably some *positive news*)
Good luck traders are in the tunnel of cable
  • #5,917
  • Aug 14, 2013 4:40pm Aug 14, 2013 4:40pm
Possible Base 15m EURUSD?
Ready to rally?
Cheers,
U2
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Wait, or you will be slaughtered!
  • #5,918
  • Aug 14, 2013 10:44pm Aug 14, 2013 10:44pm
Quoting Uturn2
Possible Base 15m EURUSD? Ready to rally? Cheers, U2 {image}
Uturn2
Forget that zigzag plot. It's throwing you off track! You have a 3-wave Wave c there... Measure!
No I haven't got the wave structure wrong! I've corrected it!
  • #5,919
  • Aug 16, 2013 6:03am Aug 16, 2013 6:03am
Quoting Ian Copsey
{quote} Uturn2 Forget that zigzag plot. It's throwing you off track! You have a 3-wave Wave c there... Measure!
Ian

GOLD 4H Chart [measured]:
Looks like a HEW Impulse Structure [to me].
Cheers,
U2
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Wait, or you will be slaughtered!
  • #5,920
  • Aug 16, 2013 7:00am Aug 16, 2013 7:00am
Quoting Uturn2
{quote} Ian GOLD 4H Chart [measured]: Looks like a HEW Impulse Structure [to me]. Cheers, U2 {image}
15m GOLD Chart:
Cheers,
U2
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Wait, or you will be slaughtered!
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