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AUD/USD

  • #61,541
  • Aug 4, 2013 11:50pm Aug 4, 2013 11:50pm
Quoting Pip Anon
{quote} Lol, I live in North Atlanta. Heard a women today say she did not know the Uk was an "island."
i thought UK is 1.5 island?

lol...
  • #61,542
  • Aug 4, 2013 11:52pm Aug 4, 2013 11:52pm
Quoting Neqrotik
{quote} Mmmhmm. I bet dat gurl got some cheelren thankin' da same damn thang.
Lol the shite people say just amazes me. Usually, I am not one to "judge," but in the 12 years of "forced" education how do you not retain anything?

Hey, as long as you can blame whitey what more do you need? F++k n+++a, b+++h n+++a lol What is surprising, well not really, are the kids

She sank like a stone lol
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #61,543
  • Aug 4, 2013 11:53pm Aug 4, 2013 11:53pm
I still like my downside target in the 8688 area. Trade is still moving down nicely although this last downleg is scary. Somewhat resembles a blow off bottom so I am moving down stops to protect profits.

The RBA may not deliver the goods this week. Looks like economists are calling for Unch but trade has built in 25 bp cut. The fast movers may cause a spike up, and may even create a short term reversal.

Moving stops to 9011, based on the August high of 8991 and 20 pips for cushion. Started at 9090 so 79 pips locked in. Don't want to let a winner turn to loser;-((
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUSUSD.jpg Size: 165 KB
Ecclesiastes 1:9
  • #61,544
  • Aug 5, 2013 12:00am Aug 5, 2013 12:00am
Stretched the chart out 10Y and .876 is looking good (if it holds)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2013-08-05-TOS_CHARTS.png Size: 63 KB
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #61,545
  • Aug 5, 2013 12:14am Aug 5, 2013 12:14am
Why the RBA doesn't have to cut rates tomorrow

Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/business/why-the-rba-doesnt-have-to-cut-rates-tomorrow-20130805-2r8fq.html
  • #61,546
  • Aug 5, 2013 12:19am Aug 5, 2013 12:19am
Reports of over 25bps cut by RBA priced in. May see a jump if rates hold.

http://www.fxstreet.com/news/forex-n...8-ee25726edb80
  • #61,547
  • Aug 5, 2013 1:06am Aug 5, 2013 1:06am
Slow movement and low volatility... Lets see where it will go when London opens.... Short 0.886 and still holding
Logics do not apply in FOREX
  • #61,548
  • Aug 5, 2013 1:22am Aug 5, 2013 1:22am
A reversal is imminent
The fragrance remains in the hands of those that gves the rose
  • #61,549
  • Edited 1:46am Aug 5, 2013 1:23am | Edited 1:46am
Some of the technicals still look pretty bearish, but I won't be surprised if the upcoming news within the next 24 hours + cash rate (if they hold) blast this pair upwards.

It seems like it still needs that spark or two to start reversing.
  • #61,550
  • Aug 5, 2013 1:29am Aug 5, 2013 1:29am
I am with you JollyBean, I think they will hold and we will jump.. I am closing existing shorts now and going long.
A genius is born every minute, me I am lucky if my socks match.
  • #61,551
  • Aug 5, 2013 1:36am Aug 5, 2013 1:36am
Quite a Pinbar reversal on H4 but will be having a sell limit just above today's high, that was a minor SS last6 week.
  • #61,552
  • Aug 5, 2013 1:36am Aug 5, 2013 1:36am
Quoting whackdiddy
I am with you JollyBean, I think they will hold and we will jump.. I am closing existing shorts now and going long.
Be careful, that we may or may not see that spark.
  • #61,553
  • Aug 5, 2013 1:50am Aug 5, 2013 1:50am
Quoting Pip Anon
Stretched the chart out 10Y and .876 is looking good (if it holds) {image}
Yes, I see that now on a weekly. It may cause some trouble for the downside. Thanks for pointing that out, I will be watching when (if) we get there;-)
Ecclesiastes 1:9
  • #61,554
  • Aug 5, 2013 1:56am Aug 5, 2013 1:56am
All good, I rode that run and then hopped out at peak and now short again.

Majority of media in Aus are saying the interest rate cut is a sure thing.
Personally I would not be surprised if it held at current level.
A genius is born every minute, me I am lucky if my socks match.
  • #61,555
  • Aug 5, 2013 1:57am Aug 5, 2013 1:57am
Quoting whackdiddy
All good, I rode that run and then hopped out at peak and now short again. Majority of media in Aus are saying the interest rate cut is a sure thing. Personally I would not be surprised if it held at current level.
  • #61,556
  • Aug 5, 2013 2:05am Aug 5, 2013 2:05am
Attached Image
  • #61,557
  • Aug 5, 2013 2:06am Aug 5, 2013 2:06am
Quoting newbegger
{quote} Yes, I see that now on a weekly. It may cause some trouble for the downside. Thanks for pointing that out, I will be watching when (if) we get there;-)
It's amazing what you can find if you look further enough. It may or may not get there. It's ideally only 120 or so pips. That could happen just prior to the rate decision
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #61,558
  • Aug 5, 2013 2:09am Aug 5, 2013 2:09am
Quoting Pip Anon
{quote} It's amazing what you can find if you look further enough. It may or may not get there. It's ideally only 120 or so pips. That could happen just prior to the rate increase.
Was this for me or everybody?
  • #61,559
  • Aug 5, 2013 2:16am Aug 5, 2013 2:16am
Quoting 2+2=4ex
{quote} Was this for me or everybody?
Lol everyone Although I would hate to agree with Oanda, I think 150-200 more pips lower and we could see some bounce. Only problem with Oanda's crew is they've been early every week. I was once told "being early is the same as being wrong."

So, we'll see I think there may not be negative reaction if a rate cut happens, but I think if there is negative guidance that could drop the pair.
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #61,560
  • Aug 5, 2013 2:25am Aug 5, 2013 2:25am
Quoting 2+2=4ex
{image}
I think it'd actually be possible to develop a trading system around nothing else but this and be profitable.

Say if I was a hardcore contrarian trader, perhaps I'd just open a trade whenever 70% or greater goes in the opposite direction.

Not sure how that would work out
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