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AUD/USD

  • #61,121
  • Jul 31, 2013 4:57pm Jul 31, 2013 4:57pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EUR_AUD_dzienny.png Size: 61 KB
  • #61,122
  • Jul 31, 2013 4:57pm Jul 31, 2013 4:57pm
if the one hour candle closes abouve 8962 then we are going up .if not down for sometime .
  • #61,123
  • Jul 31, 2013 5:04pm Jul 31, 2013 5:04pm
Quoting booze007
if the one hour candle closes abouve 8962 then we are going up .if not down for sometime .

Nope stops are being cleaned out because they can not get them tomorrow or for a while. Trying to get everything they can before it's too late to get the stops!
  • #61,124
  • Jul 31, 2013 5:10pm Jul 31, 2013 5:10pm
Quoting Robby
{quote} Nope stops are being cleaned out because they can not get them tomorrow or for a while. Trying to get everything they can before it's too late to get the stops!
is this hope v expectation? how do you know for sure that that's what is happening
  • #61,125
  • Jul 31, 2013 5:18pm Jul 31, 2013 5:18pm
Quoting samirs
{quote} is this hope v expectation? how do you know for sure that that's what is happening

Right before the stops were cleared some of the systems were being reset and the us $ did not move except on aud/usd. On 2 trading systems I logged the bid / ask jump 100 tick away from each other to the downside. This triggers the stops down below and it's done normally right after market open when most trading systems are not online and it is very easy to move. If you have a move in the AUD or USD you will have it move across the board. So AUD will move across JPY, CAD, USD, EUR, GBP, NZD at the same time not just ONE. If you have stop removal you will have what happened just now. One market get's halted or the network becomes non routeable and the bid / ask widen to hit the stops.
  • #61,126
  • Jul 31, 2013 5:25pm Jul 31, 2013 5:25pm
Quoting Robby
{quote} Right before the stops were cleared some of the systems were being reset and the us $ did not move except on aud/usd. On 2 trading systems I logged the bid / ask jump 100 tick away from each other to the downside. This triggers the stops down below and it's done normally right after market open when most trading systems are not online and it is very easy to move. If you have a move in the AUD or USD you will have it move across the board. So AUD will move across JPY, CAD, USD, EUR, GBP, NZD at the same time not just ONE. If you have stop...
Hi Robby,

Interesting. Are you talking about stops around the figure? and reset that happens around timezone change?
  • #61,127
  • Jul 31, 2013 5:32pm Jul 31, 2013 5:32pm
Quoting Surgical
{quote} Hi Robby, Interesting. Are you talking about stops around the figure? and reset that happens around timezone change?

I know everything thinks this is fair market but the market is not fare and will always be mutilated by the central banks and big banks / brokers. That is just the way it is.
  • #61,128
  • Jul 31, 2013 5:34pm Jul 31, 2013 5:34pm
I was one of these stopped out. Tightened stop just minutes earlier. Here is ASK chart, not supporting your theory. Hope they do not do this to stop out couple of contracts

My view is still market should be unable to take another low if it is not weak. So I do not expect large upswing any more.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ask.JPG Size: 123 KB
  • #61,129
  • Jul 31, 2013 5:41pm Jul 31, 2013 5:41pm
falling knife+prolonged weakness=end of cycle
  • #61,130
  • Jul 31, 2013 5:45pm Jul 31, 2013 5:45pm
Quoting seaman2
I was one of these stopped out. Tightened stop just minutes earlier. Here is ASK chart, not supporting your theory. Hope they do not do this to stop out couple of contracts My view is still market should be unable to take another low if it is not weak. So I do not expect large upswing any more. {image}

On the inter-banking system goes by tick data is not time frame data like 1min, etc. How your broker want to recode and display the data to your software is upto that broker or data vendor you are using to get your currency feed from. The inter-banking systems show the bid / ask and the ID numbers so you can tell who is the guilty one or ones! You are seeing a second or third hand display of the data.
  • #61,131
  • Jul 31, 2013 5:55pm Jul 31, 2013 5:55pm
2 days ago Stevens mentioned prices will fall for a while..I guess he meant this.
  • #61,132
  • Jul 31, 2013 5:56pm Jul 31, 2013 5:56pm
Robby, your views on euraud ? I have euraud position still open looking for some retracement.
Intraday only.
  • #61,133
  • Jul 31, 2013 6:00pm Jul 31, 2013 6:00pm
Quoting Robby
{quote} On the inter-banking system goes by tick data is not time frame data like 1min, etc. How your broker want to recode and display the data to your software is upto that broker or data vendor you are using to get your currency feed from. The inter-banking systems show the bid / ask and the ID numbers so you can tell who is the guilty one or ones! You are seeing a second or third hand display of the data.
fair enough. Price now is below 8936 where I was stopped out with market fully functioning. I still believe this kind of manipulation can only be done in weak market and indicates market is weaker than expected.

Future PA will answer whether I was idiot to tighten the stop.
  • #61,134
  • Jul 31, 2013 6:00pm Jul 31, 2013 6:00pm
Quoting navk
Robby, your views on euraud ? I have euraud position still open looking for some retracement.

This is AUD/USD thread.
The coincidental success is more dangerous than the expected failure
  • #61,135
  • Jul 31, 2013 6:02pm Jul 31, 2013 6:02pm
Quoting navk
Robby, your views on euraud ? I have euraud position still open looking for some retracement.
I know you're asking Robby but I'll chime in with my .02 - EA ran further than AU this week, I think "if"/when it pulls back it will be greater magnitude. ECB meeting not far away so keep your eyes on that.

I like the play from a R:R standpoint but I'm waiting until the meeting to make my move on this pair.
  • #61,136
  • Jul 31, 2013 6:03pm Jul 31, 2013 6:03pm
Quoting Afarensis
it is going down 0.86
Why you say that?
  • #61,137
  • Jul 31, 2013 6:06pm Jul 31, 2013 6:06pm
1600 pip drop in 4 months. Christmas is coming to those that hold long to at least December. Santa Pip is coming to town
  • #61,138
  • Jul 31, 2013 6:07pm Jul 31, 2013 6:07pm
AUS_Sep I Dun knw why going down side more n more But H4 show me tha it will Go up side 9215 is my TP
little more DOWN and then move back up side Month closing is done so now
AUS should show Up side Movement


Good luck to all of you
AUS_ Gives u Good chance to get Green pipxxx
  • #61,139
  • Jul 31, 2013 6:07pm Jul 31, 2013 6:07pm
Quoting edindzeko
{quote} I know you're asking Robby but I'll chime in with my .02 - EA ran further than AU this week, I think "if"/when it pulls back it will be greater magnitude. ECB meeting not far away so keep your eyes on that. I like the play from a R:R standpoint but I'm waiting until the meeting to make my move on this pair.

That is right. Tho we are at the top end of the range for EA 1.48-1.49 should be around the top of the move. EU is at an weekly down line were it should hold and move down. This will put pressure on EA to move south too. When AU is let go then you will get a even bigger push down on EA.

My opinion on EUR/AUD
  • #61,140
  • Jul 31, 2013 6:13pm Jul 31, 2013 6:13pm
Quoting edindzeko
{quote} I know you're asking Robby but I'll chime in with my .02 - EA ran further than AU this week, I think "if"/when it pulls back it will be greater magnitude. ECB meeting not far away so keep your eyes on that. I like the play from a R:R standpoint but I'm waiting until the meeting to make my move on this pair.

Yeah euro sellers could turn in after ECB, tomorrow, yes. let us see.
Intraday only.
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