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AUD/USD

  • #60,461
  • Jul 21, 2013 9:52pm Jul 21, 2013 9:52pm
Seems low volatiliy... Correct me if i m wrong, if today's home sales is better than expect 0.93 might hit or if worse, we might see 0.917
Logics do not apply in FOREX
  • #60,462
  • Jul 22, 2013 2:16am Jul 22, 2013 2:16am
I am long from 0,91911, possible "carry trade", usually I am intraday trader, but it might be good trade for long time, with positive swaps and also end of long-standing downtrend.
  • #60,463
  • Jul 22, 2013 2:38am Jul 22, 2013 2:38am
Quoting qwerty47
I am long from 0,91911, possible "carry trade", usually I am intraday trader, but it might be good trade for long time, with positive swaps and also end of long-standing downtrend.
qwerty: what gives the clue that the predominant bearish trend is ending?
Can't see nothing similar from my system.


Danny
  • #60,464
  • Jul 22, 2013 3:05am Jul 22, 2013 3:05am
Quoting bskwak1124
Seems low volatiliy... Correct me if i m wrong, if today's home sales is better than expect 0.93 might hit or if worse, we might see 0.917
Hi, if the home sales data is better than expected, shouldn't it be be good for usd and bad for aud?
  • #60,465
  • Jul 22, 2013 3:10am Jul 22, 2013 3:10am
Quoting Lucky_FX
{quote} Hi, if the home sales data is better than expected, shouldn't it be be good for usd and bad for aud?
exactly
  • #60,466
  • Jul 22, 2013 3:12am Jul 22, 2013 3:12am
Quoting Danny Maina
{quote} qwerty: what gives the clue that the predominant bearish trend is ending? Can't see nothing similar from my system. Danny
Totally agree with you - The trend is likely to continue than to reverse
  • #60,467
  • Jul 22, 2013 6:01am Jul 22, 2013 6:01am
Quoting Lucky_FX
{quote} Hi, if the home sales data is better than expected, shouldn't it be be good for usd and bad for aud?
If home sales are better than expected then its a big lie... but yeah that would be good for usd.

I am pretty connected to home market and I can say there is NO WAY home sales went up. Mortgage rate killed a lot of buyers that had already made offers on homes. The way they underwrite loans here is even a 0.25% increase in mortgage rate will cause a buyer not to be able to afford the home. Considering rates increased 1.0% at the peak (pulled back a bit now), I can't see many homes being closed.
  • #60,468
  • Jul 22, 2013 6:54am Jul 22, 2013 6:54am
Quoting Lucky_FX
{quote} Hi, if the home sales data is better than expected, shouldn't it be be good for usd and bad for aud?
My apology, you are correct. Sorry for wrong information, is other way round. If better than expected, 0.917, worse than expected 0.93

thank you lucky FX
Logics do not apply in FOREX
  • #60,469
  • Jul 22, 2013 7:14am Jul 22, 2013 7:14am
AU M15

long scalp 1:1 looking for 15 pips
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: LS1515.PNG Size: 33 KB
  • #60,470
  • Jul 22, 2013 7:26am Jul 22, 2013 7:26am
Quoting mogulmedia
Short term I think Aussie is still sinking which is fine for me as I've taken many bearish entries from the pipdaq setups over recent weeks. Looking for US$ strength next week - hopefully!
Hey mogul

US $ is just struggling to get stronger at this moment...
  • #60,471
  • Jul 22, 2013 7:46am Jul 22, 2013 7:46am
Quoting chazzle
AU M15 long scalp 1:1 looking for 15 pips {image}
slow PA, closed early
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: cle.PNG Size: 34 KB
  • #60,472
  • Jul 22, 2013 7:48am Jul 22, 2013 7:48am
Quoting Danny Maina
{quote} qwerty: what gives the clue that the predominant bearish trend is ending? Can't see nothing similar from my system. Danny
Reluctance of RBA to ease their monetary policy and the strong fall of audusd on D1, W1 or MN1 must correct. And also Fibonacci retracement helps me.
  • #60,473
  • Jul 22, 2013 7:51am Jul 22, 2013 7:51am
We have to sell the AUD/USD now right ?
  • #60,474
  • Jul 22, 2013 7:57am Jul 22, 2013 7:57am
Quoting chazzle
{quote} slow PA, closed early {image}
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: clee.PNG Size: 32 KB
  • #60,475
  • Jul 22, 2013 8:03am Jul 22, 2013 8:03am
At .9242 right now, I think we're headed down to .8930 from right about here.
  • #60,476
  • Jul 22, 2013 8:13am Jul 22, 2013 8:13am
Quoting Zappa
At .9242 right now, I think we're headed down to .8930 from right about here.
down
  • #60,477
  • Jul 22, 2013 9:20am Jul 22, 2013 9:20am
Nearly blew my account with that unexpected data release.

My final trade, if this doesnt work out, i am taking a break.


Short @0.9261
NO SL
Target @0.9070
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audusd.ecnh1.png Size: 59 KB
  • #60,478
  • Jul 22, 2013 9:24am Jul 22, 2013 9:24am
Quoting Lucky_FX
Nearly blew my account with that unexpected data release. My final trade, if this doesnt work out, i am taking a break. Short @0.9261 NO SL Target @0.9070 {image}
Good luck. I continue my long and targeting 0.928.
  • #60,479
  • Jul 22, 2013 9:28am Jul 22, 2013 9:28am
Quoting Lucky_FX
Nearly blew my account with that unexpected data release. My final trade, if this doesnt work out, i am taking a break. Short @0.9261 NO SL Target @0.9070 {image}
I think we'll be alright. Now if .9292 gets hit then I'm wrong and I'm moving on to something else. I think this is still a good short from here, though.
  • #60,480
  • Jul 22, 2013 9:31am Jul 22, 2013 9:31am
Short 0.925... Tp at 0.918
Logics do not apply in FOREX
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