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AUD/USD

  • #60,441
  • Edited 3:34pm Jul 18, 2013 3:13pm | Edited 3:34pm
AUD/USD SHORT somewhere 0.9191~. Oanda and FF traders LONG....
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  • #60,442
  • Jul 18, 2013 7:48pm Jul 18, 2013 7:48pm
I would love a reversal in the next 12 hours, overnight rally above a trendline, and bullish weekly close tomorrow.

Risk free positions currently. Bids underneath, my own.

If we get a hourly close above .92 were going higher. Not in overbought conditions, but expensive in comparison to previous high.


I think we might be in for an gentle climb tonight, or rocket.

At resistance currently. .91800, exciting!!!
  • #60,443
  • Jul 18, 2013 8:27pm Jul 18, 2013 8:27pm
Gud mornig to all from india .
  • #60,444
  • Jul 18, 2013 8:37pm Jul 18, 2013 8:37pm
Quoting gurirandhawa
Gud mornig to all from india .
GM from India too!
"be content with your pay" - John the Baptist
  • #60,445
  • Jul 18, 2013 10:11pm Jul 18, 2013 10:11pm
Another day of low volatility and slow movement... If going upside, 0.933. Downward, 0.90...
No buying nor selling today for me.... Just watching...
Logics do not apply in FOREX
  • #60,446
  • Jul 18, 2013 10:19pm Jul 18, 2013 10:19pm
Caught a 1H bearish divergence. It sits at 38.2 retracement of the move up from 0.89977 after touching 50. I'm shorting it to 0.9115 where the 61.8 is at. If it runs out at 0.912/25, I will close it as well.

Let's see how well this divergence will do.
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A 1 pip gain is better than a 1 pip loss.
  • #60,447
  • Jul 19, 2013 2:38am Jul 19, 2013 2:38am
buy 9195 on stop with 30 pips stop. it is going for this TL today or weekend gapping.

that would make lovely bottom
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  • #60,448
  • Jul 19, 2013 4:18am Jul 19, 2013 4:18am
Yes. Yes, that's what I want. Go for 93 then I will review. Still buy gold 1300 pending !

I'll have another bottle

This is for real and 1 will be here sooner than you think
  • #60,449
  • Jul 19, 2013 5:06am Jul 19, 2013 5:06am
Anyone offering any opinion on where this goes? The pop from the China rate news slaughtered my short position. but the pair still looks awfully weak..probably retrace back to 0.9175 levels till end of the day?
  • #60,450
  • Jul 19, 2013 6:19am Jul 19, 2013 6:19am
Quoting hksry
Anyone offering any opinion on where this goes? The pop from the China rate news slaughtered my short position. but the pair still looks awfully weak..probably retrace back to 0.9175 levels till end of the day?
I see .919-.925 for the rest of the day. Wherever we are in 3 hours it will probably oscillate around there...
  • #60,451
  • Jul 19, 2013 7:25am Jul 19, 2013 7:25am
There were buyers at the 50% at also at the median line sliding parallel. Lets see how it pans out.
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The things that we love tell us what we are Thanks Redsword11 and Tim Morge
  • #60,452
  • Jul 19, 2013 10:07am Jul 19, 2013 10:07am
Doubt we will see much more volatility this week. Will stay above 0.919,/38.2 swing level.

Counting on an opening higher , retest of trend line around, and break --> break could come either way due to triangle - strong bullish move if so.

Closing the week higher is already a good sign though.

One position from 9.9148 SL at 9.1565.

Could have had another, but I used a larger size than I really was comfortable with - and went to break-even too soon.

Retested then rose while I was dreaming...
  • #60,453
  • Jul 19, 2013 10:31am Jul 19, 2013 10:31am
until now, 6 week only longing AUdUsd, good profit, and it will be until 9350...w formation still valid!
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...52#post6828352
have a nice weekend
  • #60,454
  • Jul 20, 2013 1:48am Jul 20, 2013 1:48am
Hi Guys

I have shorted the pair yesterday and bagged some pips...
  • #60,455
  • Jul 21, 2013 7:50am Jul 21, 2013 7:50am
Short term I think Aussie is still sinking which is fine for me as I've taken many bearish entries from the pipdaq setups over recent weeks.

Looking for US$ strength next week - hopefully!
  • #60,456
  • Jul 21, 2013 10:24am Jul 21, 2013 10:24am
Quoting mogulmedia
Short term I think Aussie is still sinking which is fine for me as I've taken many bearish entries from the pipdaq setups over recent weeks. Looking for US$ strength next week - hopefully!
I wouldn't count on USD strength this week. Monday morning USD will take a hit w/ Existing Home Sales falling off huge.

It won't get any better as the week goes on, Wednesday is new home sales, also gonna be down.

Thursday is durable goods... the list goes on and on. Dunno how you could realistically expect USD strength this week.


The FOMC's basis of their recent optimistic report was a housing recovery. That got squashed in mid-June when mortgage rates soared from 3.5% up to 4.4%. The housing "recovery" is over before it started.
  • #60,457
  • Jul 21, 2013 1:47pm Jul 21, 2013 1:47pm
Quoting mogulmedia
Short term I think Aussie is still sinking which is fine for me as I've taken many bearish entries from the pipdaq setups over recent weeks. Looking for US$ strength next week - hopefully!

Pretty light on the Aussie and US news next week. Not expecting much USD strength though.
Trade what you see, not what you think!
  • #60,458
  • Jul 21, 2013 2:18pm Jul 21, 2013 2:18pm
Quoting edindzeko
{quote} I wouldn't count on USD strength this week. Monday morning USD will take a hit w/ Existing Home Sales falling off huge. It won't get any better as the week goes on, Wednesday is new home sales, also gonna be down. Thursday is durable goods... the list goes on and on. Dunno how you could realistically expect USD strength this week. The FOMC's basis of their recent optimistic report was a housing recovery. That got squashed in mid-June when mortgage rates soared from 3.5% up to 4.4%. The housing "recovery" is over before it started.
^ This. I'm in the US and am currently in the process of buying a home. I'm waiting until rates go down next month. Anyone who is buying (and realtors) expect the rate to go down so no one is buying/refinancing until rate drops back down to the 3's.
  • #60,459
  • Jul 21, 2013 5:04pm Jul 21, 2013 5:04pm
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} ^ This. I'm in the US and am currently in the process of buying a home. I'm waiting until rates go down next month. Anyone who is buying (and realtors) expect the rate to go down so no one is buying/refinancing until rate drops back down to the 3's.
what will happen IF the fed raise rates in 2015??
do you think it will hurt alot of owners?
  • #60,460
  • Jul 21, 2013 6:07pm Jul 21, 2013 6:07pm
Quoting HelloOz
{quote} what will happen IF the fed raise rates in 2015?? do you think it will hurt alot of owners?
That's too far away to even contemplate at this point. If the fed increased rates right now its pretty obvious what would happen, the economy would crash.

I think the possibility of increasing QE is greater than the possibility of increasing rates.
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