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AUD/USD

  • #60,341
  • Jul 16, 2013 6:56pm Jul 16, 2013 6:56pm
expecting something like this on aususd weekly, so another 100 pips up are promised for now...after that, retest of the bottom..
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...89#post6824689
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  • #60,342
  • Jul 16, 2013 6:58pm Jul 16, 2013 6:58pm
Sellers need to close this 4H candle to solidify the rejection of .9251 otherwise .9275 is on the board.
  • #60,343
  • Jul 16, 2013 7:05pm Jul 16, 2013 7:05pm
Quoting Pharm0r
Sellers need to close this 4H candle to solidify the rejection of .9251 otherwise .9275 is on the board.
1H was a solid rejection, however; the 4H couldnt follow suit. Trade went to risky so I've closed both out until we supply a little higher or solidify a rejection on the 4H. Chart included
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  • #60,344
  • Jul 16, 2013 7:22pm Jul 16, 2013 7:22pm
I am one of the many sellers from 0.92500-0.92600

EUR/USD got reversal from 1.31700 area and it will likely to go bottom until and maybe even after bernanke.

I've been adding shorts and more shorts...
TP 0.90x

100 tick AUD/USD

(solid H&S formation, if 0.92350-0.92300 is broken than more sellers will come)
Attached Image
  • #60,345
  • Jul 16, 2013 7:55pm Jul 16, 2013 7:55pm
Quoting Balmain Boy
{quote} You can see the "expectation of rate cut" here ; http://www.asx.com.au/sfe/targetratetracker.htm It's updated daily , about an hour after the close , around 5.30.pm SYD . If you have access to an SFE trading platform you can get it "live" . Otherwise , click on the the ASX 30 Day Interbank Cash Rate Futures link for a 20 min delayed feed . Each 0.05 movement in price roughly calculates to 0.025% in expectation .
Really appreciate the links! Thanks
  • #60,346
  • Jul 17, 2013 5:26am Jul 17, 2013 5:26am
Quoting openyoureyes
I am one of the many sellers from 0.92500-0.92600 EUR/USD got reversal from 1.31700 area and it will likely to go bottom until and maybe even after bernanke. I've been adding shorts and more shorts... TP 0.90x 100 tick AUD/USD (solid H&S formation, if 0.92350-0.92300 is broken than more sellers will come) {image}
With you there too with short at top of the range/channel on Daily. I know it's a good trade entry but now just hoping Bernanke doesn't blow my SL, I've got it wide & reduced positions until we see the aftermath. I know he'll likely want to talk down the USD...which would work against us here. but hey, anything can happen when that man speaks.
  • #60,347
  • Jul 17, 2013 5:42am Jul 17, 2013 5:42am
Quoting chaosclio
{quote} With you there too with short at top of the range/channel on Daily. I know it's a good trade entry but now just hoping Bernanke doesn't blow my SL, I've got it wide & reduced positions until we see the aftermath. I know he'll likely want to talk down the USD...which would work against us here. but hey, anything can happen when that man speaks.
Yeah, anything can happen here.

I'm not adding more shorts, holding on to my shorts from 0.92600-0.92500
  • #60,348
  • Jul 17, 2013 5:59am Jul 17, 2013 5:59am
Quoting openyoureyes
{quote} Yeah, anything can happen here. I'm not adding more shorts, holding on to my shorts from 0.92600-0.92500
and target ?
  • #60,349
  • Jul 17, 2013 6:14am Jul 17, 2013 6:14am
Quoting alam88009
{quote} and target ?
TP1 0,91600
TP2 0,91000

setting tight SL for all trades,
this could kill an account if it goes north after the speech...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #60,350
  • Jul 17, 2013 6:21am Jul 17, 2013 6:21am
Quoting openyoureyes
{quote} TP1 0,91600 TP2 0,91000 setting tight SL for all trades, this could kill an account if it goes north after the speech... {image}

it go down dont worry
  • #60,351
  • Jul 17, 2013 6:33am Jul 17, 2013 6:33am
Quoting gurirandhawa
{quote} it go down dont worry
I hope too DOWNNN......
200 - 300 pips will be very nice move
  • #60,352
  • Jul 17, 2013 6:41am Jul 17, 2013 6:41am
4H confirmed a rejection. I'm short, but BB could fuck everything in the markets up today, so I'll gain a position after that.
  • #60,353
  • Jul 17, 2013 6:49am Jul 17, 2013 6:49am
not adding more like I said,
but I think this is going down hard in 1-2 hours.

100 tick AUD/USD
Attached Image
  • #60,354
  • Jul 17, 2013 6:58am Jul 17, 2013 6:58am
Took a short position at 0.921, tp at 0.915. Very low volatility and slow movement today, perhaps tmr too. Not much of data this week. 0.91 might be hit this week or early next week.
Logics do not apply in FOREX
  • #60,355
  • Jul 17, 2013 7:00am Jul 17, 2013 7:00am
agree,

1st of august will be very decisive, until that I expect 0,91-0,90 even 0,89
I'll be looking for long opportunities

aud/cad
aud/nzd
aud/usd
  • #60,356
  • Jul 17, 2013 7:18am Jul 17, 2013 7:18am
I've had this sentiment for AUD/USD for quite awhile now.

Definitely looking to go long, but I see in all likelihood one more push down to perhaps somewhere in the 0.89-0.91 area, before a really, really nice long that will be good for the months ahead.
  • #60,357
  • Jul 17, 2013 7:42am Jul 17, 2013 7:42am
going up
  • #60,358
  • Jul 17, 2013 7:42am Jul 17, 2013 7:42am
If this 1H candle is blocked again at .9250 we're in for a strong downward movement.
  • #60,359
  • Jul 17, 2013 7:48am Jul 17, 2013 7:48am
Quoting Pharm0r
If this 1H candle is blocked again at .9250 we're in for a strong downward movement.
.9250 broken, approaching strong selling 9282-9292
  • #60,360
  • Jul 17, 2013 7:48am Jul 17, 2013 7:48am
Everything is positive for a up trend. I'm just afraid, that Bernanke as usual can tell some nice comment about bright economy of the USA then we'll go down, very quickly
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