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AUD/USD

  • #60,321
  • Jul 16, 2013 6:33am Jul 16, 2013 6:33am
Quoting Erebus
{quote} Are you expecting this? {image}
Yeah was gonna post that its touched the 20EMA again on Daily...see where it closes, if lower I agree with your chart, reckon its another seller indicator!
  • #60,322
  • Jul 16, 2013 7:41am Jul 16, 2013 7:41am
weekly chart shown us 4 times rejection.down and down!!!
  • #60,323
  • Jul 16, 2013 7:52am Jul 16, 2013 7:52am
Correct me if i am wrong, seems like 0.927 to 0.9350 should be more realistic... Higher up might trigger shorts...
Logics do not apply in FOREX
  • #60,324
  • Jul 16, 2013 8:26am Jul 16, 2013 8:26am
Quoting bskwak1124
Correct me if i am wrong, seems like 0.927 to 0.9350 should be more realistic... Higher up might trigger shorts...
traders are still like 65% long this aud and 35% short means you could be right as but as this thing is rising im noticing the long % is dropping for some reason maybe the fact retail is moving to short and accepting losses while commercial is building long positions which could mean the opposite
  • #60,325
  • Jul 16, 2013 8:28am Jul 16, 2013 8:28am
Quoting namitak007
short 0.9191

another short 0.922

A bit surprised with the move though but lets hope for 0.90
  • #60,326
  • Jul 16, 2013 9:43am Jul 16, 2013 9:43am
Quoting namitak007
{quote} another short 0.922 A bit surprised with the move though but lets hope for 0.90

Aussie is controlled by the RBA. Interpretations of slow of easing policy has provided strength to Aussie. Expectations of August rate cut decreased 15% after the minutes. The trade is overcrowded by shorts.
Trade what you see, not what you think!
  • #60,327
  • Jul 16, 2013 10:10am Jul 16, 2013 10:10am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audusdm30.png Size: 52 KB

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audusdh15.png Size: 60 KB

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audusddaily.png Size: 35 KB


everybody knows
  • #60,328
  • Jul 16, 2013 11:06am Jul 16, 2013 11:06am
And now down ....
  • #60,329
  • Jul 16, 2013 11:09am Jul 16, 2013 11:09am
Not too su about that
  • #60,330
  • Jul 16, 2013 11:27am Jul 16, 2013 11:27am
Quoting OMGtrader
{quote} Aussie is controlled by the RBA. Interpretations of slow of easing policy has provided strength to Aussie. Expectations of August rate cut decreased 15% after the minutes. The trade is overcrowded by shorts.
Where can you see #s like "expectation of rate cut"

Before the news I saw people saying "71% chance of rate cut"

Where can I see this?
  • #60,331
  • Jul 16, 2013 11:30am Jul 16, 2013 11:30am
Quoting OMGtrader
{quote} Aussie is controlled by the RBA. Interpretations of slow of easing policy has provided strength to Aussie. Expectations of August rate cut decreased 15% after the minutes. The trade is overcrowded by shorts.
pray for those looking at 0.88 or even 0.83 just not a good r:r
  • #60,332
  • Jul 16, 2013 11:43am Jul 16, 2013 11:43am
Coming days are important as Benny boy will testify on monetary policy and beige book. Looking for hints of backlog of tappering that may be pushed back to next year. If so, should bold weakness in the usd. Aussie can see an very meaningful rebound.
Trade what you see, not what you think!
  • #60,333
  • Jul 16, 2013 11:58am Jul 16, 2013 11:58am
Trend officialy changed since friday at 0.90. I dont see a rate cut soon so feel free to continue longs.
  • #60,334
  • Jul 16, 2013 12:07pm Jul 16, 2013 12:07pm
Quoting tomersror
Trend officialy changed since friday at 0.90. I dont see a rate cut soon so feel free to continue longs.
little bit early to conclude. we need one more drop and see the reaction of buyers. this should confirm trend change.
As Above, So Below
  • #60,335
  • Jul 16, 2013 2:10pm Jul 16, 2013 2:10pm
AUS_Sep I think now Trend is Change and AUS will Go up side its Better line For Long
I am also with Long on Different Point and want to Place 3 more Trade at 9100 area
Lets see what will Happen I am sure Long Holder will Gain Green PipSsZz
Best of Luck all
  • #60,336
  • Jul 16, 2013 3:07pm Jul 16, 2013 3:07pm
Good to see some different opinions on charts I'm still long AU and short EA.
FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #60,337
  • Jul 16, 2013 4:31pm Jul 16, 2013 4:31pm
S AUD .92486

Will be holding overnight, may close depending on what benny says tomorrow
  • #60,338
  • Jul 16, 2013 5:14pm Jul 16, 2013 5:14pm
awaiting for it to hit the nxt supply zone @9274-9306 . manual stop
  • #60,339
  • Jul 16, 2013 6:03pm Jul 16, 2013 6:03pm
Quoting Clazsic
awaiting for it to hit the nxt supply zone @9274-9306 . manual stop
If we make it there I plan to add on as well
  • #60,340
  • Jul 16, 2013 6:49pm Jul 16, 2013 6:49pm
Quoting edindzeko
{quote} Where can you see #s like "expectation of rate cut" Before the news I saw people saying "71% chance of rate cut" Where can I see this?
You can see the "expectation of rate cut" here ; http://www.asx.com.au/sfe/targetratetracker.htm
It's updated daily , about an hour after the close , around 5.30.pm SYD .
If you have access to an SFE trading platform you can get it "live" .
Otherwise , click on the the ASX 30 Day Interbank Cash Rate Futures link for a 20 min delayed feed .
Each 0.05 movement in price roughly calculates to 0.025% in expectation .
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