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Let's Trade Options

  • #1,001
  • Edited 5:57pm Jul 7, 2013 11:56am | Edited 5:57pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote}Looking at a Aug USO bear spread, sell $32 puts on the bottom, will consider entry tomorrow. ... maybe sell Aug $32 puts @ $0.19 buy Sep $32 puts @ $0.38 - $0.19 net debit
Oil is gonna drop if USD strength persists, Sep $32 puts now $0.30, $33 @ $0.45, will wait to see a turn to sell Aug puts as they come up...

...oil pushing $104/bbl in early Asian Monday....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #1,002
  • Jul 8, 2013 12:09am Jul 8, 2013 12:09am
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/dollar...002951262.html

Asian shares hit two-week low on Fed taper fears after jobs data

....oh my gawd da tapirs is comin'!

http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-ABHWIHNhfK...54866d04_o.jpg
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #1,003
  • Jul 8, 2013 6:16am Jul 8, 2013 6:16am
Days to watch for volatility - wednesday FOMC minutes= GLD/GDX/TLT


Friday - Wells fargo and J P Morgan second quater earnings release before markets open
  • #1,004
  • Jul 8, 2013 6:35am Jul 8, 2013 6:35am
Area to watch on the DOW is around 15240 can it get above and hold or will it get rejected.

price is at 15207 atm
  • #1,005
  • Edited 9:06am Jul 8, 2013 6:53am | Edited 9:06am
Quoting Cecil Gee
Days to watch for volatility - wednesday FOMC minutes= GLD/GDX/TLT Friday - Wells fargo and J P Morgan second quater earnings release before markets open
Thanks for the pm, CG. I expect TLT to catch a bounce, showing some this morning. I will be looking for 10y yield to slide back <2.60 and my TLT calls to profit.

Have a good week, off to the mill...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #1,006
  • Jul 8, 2013 7:03am Jul 8, 2013 7:03am
Quoting Cecil Gee
Area to watch on the DOW is around 15240 can it get above and hold or will it get rejected. price is at 15207 atm
15251 now
  • #1,007
  • Jul 8, 2013 7:12am Jul 8, 2013 7:12am
My list for this week

Puts RUT 1010 only for today and close today.
APPL vertical spread for credit 435/440 Aug 13 looking for 1.5 (actual 1.20)
CAT sell Vertical spread Aug 13 77.5/80 for 0.70 limit (actual 0.63)

JPM maybe friday
  • #1,008
  • Jul 8, 2013 8:07am Jul 8, 2013 8:07am
Quoting Cecil Gee
Area to watch on the DOW is around 15240 can it get above and hold or will it get rejected. price is at 15207 atm
DOW went as high as 15262 and has been trading around 40-50 area and now 12235, see if it closes below 15240

for puts
  • #1,009
  • Jul 8, 2013 9:32am Jul 8, 2013 9:32am
Quoting successlife
My list for this week Puts RUT 1010 only for today and close today. APPL vertical spread for credit 435/440 Aug 13 looking for 1.5 (actual 1.20) CAT sell Vertical spread Aug 13 77.5/80 for 0.70 limit (actual 0.63) JPM maybe friday
I'll be looking to take a long term trade perhaps 6 months out on IWM after seeing the RUT charts, looking to take December $90 puts only if i can get them at the right price

IWM is trading just above 100
  • #1,010
  • Jul 8, 2013 9:38am Jul 8, 2013 9:38am
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} I'll be looking to take a long term trade perhaps 6 months out on IWM after seeing the RUT charts, looking to take December $90 puts only if i can get them at the right price IWM is trading just above 100
make that september, if i can get in for less than 50c in a week or two. Need more time to decay
  • #1,011
  • Jul 8, 2013 12:56pm Jul 8, 2013 12:56pm
Just put in a pending order to take advantage of a retrace on JPM before there earnings result on friday

order put for JPM $52.50 put for 12c fridays expiration, at the minute it trading at 13c so hoping it gets filled before close in 5 minutes

JPM Jul 2013 52.500 put (JPM130712P00052500)
-OPR
0.13 http://l.yimg.com/a/i/us/fi/03rd/down_r.gif 0.15(53.57%) 3:33PM EDT

JPM is trading at $54.68


JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM)
-NYSE
54.68 http://l.yimg.com/a/i/us/fi/03rd/up_g.gif 0.69(1.28%) 3:55PM EDT - Nasdaq Real Time Price
  • #1,012
  • Jul 8, 2013 1:01pm Jul 8, 2013 1:01pm
Quoting Cecil Gee
Just put in a pending order to take advantage of a retrace on JPM before there earnings result on friday order put for JPM $52.50 put for 12c fridays expiration, at the minute it trading at 13c so hoping it gets filled before close in 5 minutes JPM Jul 2013 52.500 put (JPM130712P00052500) -OPR 0.13 {image} 0.15(53.57%) 3:33PM EDT JPM is trading at $54.68 JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) -NYSE 54.68 {image} 0.69(1.28%) 3:55PM EDT - Nasdaq Real Time Price
bought for 13c instead jpm $52.50 put

jpm traded at $54.73
  • #1,013
  • Jul 8, 2013 1:05pm Jul 8, 2013 1:05pm
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} make that september, if i can get in for less than 50c in a week or two. Need more time to decay
Event risks late summer are the Jackson Hole meetings (last days of August?) and the Sept FOMC meeting (9/17-18). If jobs data continues to look good maybe we see outright announcement of QE pullback around then. Then there are those who say we'll see QE5 announced then. Either way, position further out to catch the best of the cataclysm, say Oct at the earliest.

Do you like the leveraged index ETF's? - see SDS, SPXS, etc....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #1,014
  • Jul 8, 2013 1:10pm Jul 8, 2013 1:10pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote} Event risks late summer are the Jackson Hole meetings (last days of August?) and the Sept FOMC meeting (9/17-18). If jobs data continues to look good maybe we see outright announcement of QE pullback around then. Then there are those who say we'll see QE5 announced then. Either way, position further out to catch the best of the cataclysm, say Oct at the earliest. Do you like the leveraged index ETF's? - see SDS, SPXS, etc....
I like SDS, they have everything i look for in a instrument
  • #1,015
  • Jul 8, 2013 1:13pm Jul 8, 2013 1:13pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote} Event risks late summer are the Jackson Hole meetings (last days of August?) and the Sept FOMC meeting (9/17-18). If jobs data continues to look good maybe we see outright announcement of QE pullback around then. Then there are those who say we'll see QE5 announced then. Either way, position further out to catch the best of the cataclysm, say Oct at the earliest. Do you like the leveraged index ETF's? - see SDS, SPXS, etc....
don't like spxs, its harder to trade our style
  • #1,016
  • Jul 8, 2013 1:20pm Jul 8, 2013 1:20pm
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} I like SDS, they have everything i look for in a instrument
Do you see Oct & Nov expiries on SDS with your broker?
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #1,017
  • Jul 8, 2013 1:24pm Jul 8, 2013 1:24pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote} Do you see Oct & Nov expiries on SDS with your broker?
nope, will check and ask tomorrow for reasons
  • #1,018
  • Jul 8, 2013 1:29pm Jul 8, 2013 1:29pm
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} nope, will check and ask tomorrow for reasons
SPXS has Oct 19 expiry, $14 calls are $0.35, will come down if the S&P jacks itself into 1,7xx...

Tough to see the miners fall even tho gold was up today. I've got Jul NUGT calls looking to mess up my month...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #1,019
  • Jul 9, 2013 2:50pm Jul 9, 2013 2:50pm
one more gap up like today and slw will have cleared all resistance. it is doomed to accelerate upward ...
  • #1,020
  • Jul 9, 2013 3:16pm Jul 9, 2013 3:16pm
Quoting Starry
one more gap up like today and slw will have cleared all resistance. it is doomed to accelerate upward ...
if the pm's can put together a multi-day rally maybe the miners can follow? My lesson learned on the volatile leveraged pm ETF's: don't be too shy about cashing in a healthy profit when you can, else it can be snatched away in a heartbeat...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
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