Hello all,
an updated view on the Dollar Index. The current price dynamics is very important as price could repeat last year's move (now, repeats in history are very rare, but that could still happen). Let me show you what I mean:
The 84.70 area is the first target of the 81.40 area of support that found participation at the beginning of May (corresponding to Euro’s lower low at 1.3240). The 84.70 area lines up with previous highs in the Dollar Index which could suggest profit taking from those levels. If history repeats (it rarely does though) we could see something similar to what happen last year in the Dollar Index.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=1201482&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1369689939
The above picture shows the two current scenarios I could anticipate:
Scenario 1. Price could continue lower into the 83 area of support and then violently bounce higher into the 84.70 area of 1st target of the 81.40 long entry area. Then price could fail the next traditional measured move higher and start a series of lower lows and lower highs.
Scenario 2. After trading the 83 area, price could continues above the previous 84.70 profit level into the 85.30 area, 1st target of the 83 area long setup. If that happens profit taking could be seen at those levels (and we would deal with that at the proper time).
On my blog you can find the video explaining the scenarios I have just provided above: http://elitefive.wordpress.com/2013/...lish-language/
Let me know what you think.
Cheers
-fibstalker
an updated view on the Dollar Index. The current price dynamics is very important as price could repeat last year's move (now, repeats in history are very rare, but that could still happen). Let me show you what I mean:
The 84.70 area is the first target of the 81.40 area of support that found participation at the beginning of May (corresponding to Euro’s lower low at 1.3240). The 84.70 area lines up with previous highs in the Dollar Index which could suggest profit taking from those levels. If history repeats (it rarely does though) we could see something similar to what happen last year in the Dollar Index.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=1201482&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1369689939
The above picture shows the two current scenarios I could anticipate:
Scenario 1. Price could continue lower into the 83 area of support and then violently bounce higher into the 84.70 area of 1st target of the 81.40 long entry area. Then price could fail the next traditional measured move higher and start a series of lower lows and lower highs.
Scenario 2. After trading the 83 area, price could continues above the previous 84.70 profit level into the 85.30 area, 1st target of the 83 area long setup. If that happens profit taking could be seen at those levels (and we would deal with that at the proper time).
On my blog you can find the video explaining the scenarios I have just provided above: http://elitefive.wordpress.com/2013/...lish-language/
Let me know what you think.
Cheers
-fibstalker
"markets traded by programs/HFT offer a significant trading edge..."
