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NZD/USD

  • #2,021
  • May 22, 2013 8:02pm May 22, 2013 8:02pm
Quoting inpatient
{quote} For me 'Short' Euro will weaken over the medium term Kiwi will strengthen from what is on over sold position. 1.594 to 1.55 at least
Agreed. I'm becoming short biased, too. Also agree with your target. 1.5574 area is what I'm eyeing on.
Time turns trend. - W.D. Gann
  • #2,022
  • May 22, 2013 8:05pm May 22, 2013 8:05pm
Quoting inpatient
{quote} shrimps are already on the bar b mate
I was thinking more of this
Attached Image
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #2,023
  • May 22, 2013 8:05pm May 22, 2013 8:05pm
Quoting inpatient
{quote} true and more likely that NZ will move before the US (especially if the housing market dont cool itself down) Inflation in the US will exceed anything close to what the NZ economy will suffer and i wouldnt expect to see a role reversal on interest rate differentials once all that money held by companies and banks is actually released into the market

housing won't cool easily. NZ has serious impediments to new construction. capricious resource consents, incredibly onerous building consent requirements and inefficient consent approval process. you'd have to be a masochist to try new construction here. add to that the new rules for building professionals, that drive up the price of construction and severely limit competition in the market.
  • #2,024
  • May 22, 2013 8:13pm May 22, 2013 8:13pm
Quoting inpatient
{quote} I dont like the interest rate predictions for the Aussie and have resisted any temptation to go long on the AUDNZD too which i have seen promoted on some threads. i think the drop from 0.85 plus was warranted but the increased drop has more to do with dollar strength which i think is being overstated right now. Even bernanke admits that the unemployment number in the US when you factor out the fall in the active workforce as a percentage of population is really nowhere near as good as it looks. Plus at what cost with all the QE, in reality...

You said what I think, but have said it better than I would.
FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #2,025
  • May 22, 2013 8:15pm May 22, 2013 8:15pm
Quoting iNZane
{quote} housing won't cool easily. NZ has serious impediments to new construction. capricious resource consents, incredibly onerous building consent requirements and inefficient consent approval process. you'd have to be a masochist to try new construction here. add to that the new rules for building professionals, that drive up the price of construction and severely limit competition in the market.

I hear what you are saying and agree with most of it, but what about the 39,000 new homes that the govt. just promised?
FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #2,026
  • May 22, 2013 8:17pm May 22, 2013 8:17pm
Quoting bogus
{quote} I hear what you are saying and agree with most of it, but what about the 39,000 new homes that the govt. just promised?

well, it's exactly that: a government promise (without any plan to actually deliver on that promise)
  • #2,027
  • May 22, 2013 8:21pm May 22, 2013 8:21pm
Quoting iNZane
{quote} well, it's exactly that: a government promise (without any plan to actually deliver on that promise)

I wouldn't want to build. Prices have shot up in the last 10 years.
FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #2,028
  • May 22, 2013 8:32pm May 22, 2013 8:32pm
Quoting bogus
{quote} I wouldn't want to build. Prices have shot up in the last 10 years.

part of the proposed building boom (in auckland) is based on building density increase, including 3 storey apartment blocks in currently single family detached housing areas. even if they change the master plan to allow such construction, resistance by the neighborhoods would be huge. there will be costs to fighting that resistance. the government plan is simply talk. councils and environment courts control building and resource consents, not the government.
  • #2,029
  • May 22, 2013 8:47pm May 22, 2013 8:47pm
Guys just drink scotch and relax.That's what I am doing now.
http://i1.mirror.co.uk/incoming/arti...-641797720.jpg
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #2,030
  • May 22, 2013 9:09pm May 22, 2013 9:09pm
Quoting Davit
Guys just drink scotch and relax.That's what I am doing now.{image}

Cheers mate, but its a bit early for us. Just had lunch. What ya drinking?
FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #2,031
  • May 22, 2013 9:17pm May 22, 2013 9:17pm
Quoting bogus
{quote} Cheers mate, but its a bit early for us. Just had lunch. What ya drinking?

one of my favorites.Smokey,salty and sweet.
http://www.maltego.de/WebRoot/Store1...12_0020_oP.jpg
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #2,032
  • May 22, 2013 9:18pm May 22, 2013 9:18pm
Quoting inpatient
{quote} For me 'Short' Euro will weaken over the medium term Kiwi will strengthen from what is on over sold position. 1.594 to 1.55 at least
I'll be looking at that around 1.6080 or so at the weekly channel/resistance.
Just be aware we have moved up quite strongly from the broken monthly channel retest
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: eurnzdmonthly.png Size: 26 KB
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #2,033
  • May 22, 2013 10:27pm May 22, 2013 10:27pm
Quoting Davit
Guys just drink scotch and relax.That's what I am doing now.{image}

hehe. the way my kiwi longs are going this may be the best course of action.
  • #2,034
  • May 22, 2013 10:46pm May 22, 2013 10:46pm
Quoting iNZane
{quote} hehe. the way my kiwi longs are going this may be the best course of action.


looks like were all hoping to be saved by the whole number.8
Money never sleeps...
  • #2,035
  • May 22, 2013 10:48pm May 22, 2013 10:48pm
Quoting Davit
{quote} one of my favorites.Smokey,salty and sweet.{image}

Haven't tried that but will give it a try. I'm drinking Talisker at the moment (not right now).
FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #2,036
  • May 22, 2013 10:50pm May 22, 2013 10:50pm
Flicking through the dollar pairs and it looks like we have found some support.

Fingers and toes crossed brothers....
Money never sleeps...
  • #2,037
  • May 22, 2013 10:52pm May 22, 2013 10:52pm
Quoting inpatient
Flicking through the dollar pairs and it looks like we have found some support. Fingers and toes crossed brothers....

I've got a Tp just before the .80, next support and tp is .7960
Attached Image
FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #2,038
  • May 22, 2013 10:56pm May 22, 2013 10:56pm
you guys noticed UJ is falling.
Its a good sign
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #2,039
  • May 23, 2013 1:58am May 23, 2013 1:58am
the most sage advise of the day was to get a drink and relax.
  • #2,040
  • May 23, 2013 4:59am May 23, 2013 4:59am
Quoting inpatient
This looks like quite a bounce, or dare I say maybe even a reversal? Lets see is it has some legs.

looks JPY centered for now, let's see if the USD gets weaker in europe today, then i'll have more confidence this is a reversal
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